Gilberto Batista
P
Vancouver Canadians
+0.2
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.9 · 2030
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%12.5%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2030
K†5060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 11 | 9 | 41 | 161 | 54 | 8 | 3 | 22.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.54 | 3.93 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 12 | 8 | 37 | 163 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 1.6% | 3.38 | 3.99 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 23 | 8 | 85 | 371 | 83 | 22 | 15 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.96 | 4.88 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 3 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 14.29 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 66 | 281 | 59 | 24 | 9 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 72 | 317 | 65 | 31 | 9 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 5.30 | 4.17 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 65 | 24 | 9 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.35 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 72 | 306 | 70 | 24 | 9 | 22.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.22 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 74 | 313 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 23.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 76 | 24 | 10 | 23.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.08 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 76 | 24 | 10 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 4.06 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 74 | 315 | 76 | 24 | 9 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.07 | +0.9 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 75 | 24 | 9 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 4.10 | +0.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 72 | 303 | 72 | 23 | 9 | 23.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 70 | 293 | 70 | 23 | 9 | 23.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 4.20 | +0.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 67 | 23 | 9 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 4.23 | 4.28 | +0.6 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 63 | 22 | 9 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.31 | 4.36 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 59 | 22 | 9 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 4.40 | 4.46 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 56 | 21 | 9 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.50 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 49 | 25 | 169 | 731 | 132 | 62 | 24 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.44 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 30 | 200 | 865 | 156 | 73 | 28 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.44 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gilberto Batista (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 20.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.23 | 22.9% | 14.9% | 216 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Jared Karros R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.78 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .290 | 5.27 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.49 | 3.36 | 191 | 93 |
| RJ Petit R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.50 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | .270 | 3.45 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 177 | -1.05 | 3.09 | 231 | 91 |
| Alexis Rivero R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.86 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.05 | 14.0% | 3.4% | 143 | +1.19 | 3.86 | 280 | 91 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.56 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.32 | 4.10 | 196 | 91 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .305 | 3.40 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.57 | 2.58 | 408 | 90 |
| José López R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 543 | 90 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.91 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.06 | 3.85 | 156 | 90 |
| Peyton Remy R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.71 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.14 | 3.57 | 286 | 90 |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 90 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.43 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.19 | 4.24 | 225 | 89 |
| Jesus Lugo R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.79 | 17.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .243 | 6.27 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 45 | +2.48 | 3.79 | 113 | 89 |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 89 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.71 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | .295 | 5.34 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.63 | 4.71 | 137 | 89 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 89 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.45 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .331 | 6.10 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.65 | 4.45 | 283 | 88 |
| Shane Davis R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.20 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .313 | 4.20 | 20.9% | 6.7% | 55 | -1.00 | 4.20 | 129 | 88 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.16 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | .298 | 4.45 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.71 | 4.29 | 318 | 88 |
| Nick Fraze R 2028 · 4.53 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.53 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | .271 | 4.71 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | +0.18 | 3.87 | 278 | 88 |
| Ben Anderson R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.87 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% | .309 | 4.00 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -0.87 | 3.79 | 314 | 88 |
| Matthew Gorst R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.12 | 15.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | .269 | 3.91 | 16.6% | 8.0% | 130 | -0.21 | 3.24 | 199 | 88 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.7 | $4M | +$0.7M |
| Totals | $9M | $24M | +$15M | ||