Chance Huff
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 129
ERA5.73
FIP5.73
K%14.2%
BB%15.0%
K-BB%-0.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 2.9% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 0.93 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 2.9% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 0.93 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 28 | 9 | 84 | 373 | 57 | 37 | 10 | 32% | 3.0 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 0.4% | 4.1% | 6.13 | 5.78 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 28 | 9 | 84 | 373 | 57 | 37 | 10 | 32% | 3.0 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 6.13 | 4.62 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 37 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 44 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.7% | 18.9% | -4.3% | 3.7% | 4.29 | 6.27 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 37 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 44 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 16.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 5.42 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 5 | 67 | 293 | 56 | 33 | 4 | 12% | 1.6 | 15.4% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.90 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 5 | 67 | 293 | 56 | 33 | 4 | 12% | 1.6 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 3.90 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 27 | 0 | 34 | 162 | 36 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 17.7% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 6.68 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 42 | 44 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 15.0% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 15.0% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 104 | 458 | 78 | 70 | 11 | — | — | 17.0% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.04 | 5.50 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.2% | 15.0% | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.73 | 5.35 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 44 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 14.5% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 44 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 14.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.57 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 14.5% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.61 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 26 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 14.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.57 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 44 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.59 | 5.24 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 131 | 122 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 5.59 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 142 | 15 | 244 | 1094 | 160 | 152 | 33 | 11% | 1.7 | 14.6% | 13.9% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.30 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 12 | 200 | 895 | 131 | 125 | 27 | 11% | 1.7 | 14.6% | 13.9% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chance Huff (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 14.2% | 15.0% | 2.8% | — | 5.62 | 15.3% | 1.0% | 136 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 88 |
| Trey Haley R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 86 |
| Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.61 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .294 | 4.31 | 18.2% | 3.7% | 31 | -1.30 | 4.31 | 164 | 84 |
| Mike Hepple R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 83 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .331 | 9.13 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.87 | 4.53 | 108 | 82 |
| Rob Huber R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 82 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.84 | 13.7% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 185 | 81 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 81 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 81 |
| Justin Camp R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 81 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 1.4% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 172 | 81 |
| Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.80 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 3.7% | .283 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 118 | -0.76 | 3.79 | 554 | 81 |
| Tyler Burch R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 81 |
| Kender Villegas R 2024 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 81 |
| Gregory Infante R 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 80 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 80 |
| Jake Johansen R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 15.9% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .273 | 3.69 | 12.8% | 4.9% | 48 | -1.14 | 3.69 | 162 | 79 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 90 | -0.38 | 3.33 | 286 | 79 |
| David Holman R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.21 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.04 | 5.04 | 129 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 14.9% | 14.6% | 1.12 | 5.64 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |