Livan Reinoso
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 167158vR 149
ERA6.65
FIP6.65
K%14.5%
BB%23.0%
K-BB%-8.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.24 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 38 | 0 | 66 | 305 | 83 | 51 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.1% | 19.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 4.39 | 4.34 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 38 | 0 | 66 | 305 | 83 | 51 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.2% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 0.7% | 4.39 | 3.30 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 41 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 47 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.1% | 17.7% | -2.6% | 1.5% | 3.98 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 41 | 0 | 54 | 240 | 47 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 15.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 3.98 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 50 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.9% | 21.2% | -5.3% | 2.1% | 4.14 | 5.59 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 50 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.9% | 19.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.14 | 4.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 26 | 0 | 33 | 149 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 43 | 68 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.5% | 23.0% | -8.5% | 2.7% | 6.65 | 6.65 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.5% | 23.0% | -8.5% | 2.7% | 6.65 | 6.65 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 103 | 445 | 75 | 87 | 12 | — | — | 16.8% | 19.6% | -2.7% | 2.7% | 6.27 | 6.18 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.5% | 23.0% | -8.5% | 2.7% | 6.65 | 6.27 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 44 | 62 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 21.8% | -6.5% | 2.8% | 6.47 | 6.50 | -1.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 43 | 58 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 21.1% | -5.4% | 3.0% | 6.40 | 6.47 | -1.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 40 | 53 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 20.8% | -5.1% | 3.2% | 6.44 | 6.54 | -1.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 21.8% | -6.5% | 2.8% | 6.47 | 6.50 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 24 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 21.1% | -5.4% | 3.0% | 6.40 | 6.47 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 27 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 20.8% | -5.1% | 3.2% | 6.44 | 6.54 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 0 | 104 | 441 | 69 | 93 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 21.2% | -5.6% | 3.0% | 6.44 | 6.13 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 132 | 178 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 21.2% | -5.6% | 3.0% | 6.44 | 6.13 | -1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 150 | 0 | 215 | 975 | 170 | 182 | 16 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 18.7% | -1.2% | 1.6% | 4.35 | 4.89 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 0 | 200 | 907 | 159 | 169 | 15 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.5% | 18.7% | -1.2% | 1.6% | 4.35 | 4.89 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Livan Reinoso (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.65 | 14.5% | 23.0% | 2.7% | — | 6.50 | 15.5% | -5.7% | 194 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Mike Hepple R 2025 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 87 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 81 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 80 |
| Haden Erbe R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 78 |
| Ted Stuka R 2025 · 7.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 7.54 | 15.2% | 36.8% | 1.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.51 | 105 | 77 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 76 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 76 |
| Connor Law R 2026 · 6.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.22 | 16.2% | 17.2% | 4.2% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 110 | 76 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.72 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.59 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 31 | -1.13 | 3.64 | 204 | 75 |
| J.P. Massey R 2024 · 5.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.64 | 15.5% | 16.8% | 3.1% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 195 | 74 |
| Stevie Branche R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 74 |
| CJ Weins R 2024 · 5.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.65 | 15.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 113 | 74 |
| Alejandro Torres R 2024 · 6.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.52 | 18.3% | 20.1% | 4.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 103 | 74 |
| Christopher Troye R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.50 | 19.1% | 22.9% | 2.0% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 158 | 73 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2025 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
| Roel Garcia III R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.46 | 10.7% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 252 | 72 |
| Jaycob Deese R 2025 · 5.90 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.90 | 13.4% | 13.9% | 4.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 185 | 72 |
| Tyler Cleveland R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.00 | 16.2% | 18.9% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.66 | 256 | 72 |
| Nick Mikolajchak R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.84 | 16.2% | 14.7% | 4.1% | .267 | 9.35 | 5.9% | -0.1% | 12 | +3.51 | 3.96 | 168 | 72 |
| Harrison Cooney R 2025 · 6.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.57 | 18.8% | 21.9% | 4.2% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.82 | 186 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 15.3% | 21.7% | 1.13 | 6.49 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |