Livan Reinoso — OGILVIE

Livan Reinoso P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 225 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160151vR 143

ERA6.66

FIP6.66

K%14.5%

BB%23.2%

K-BB%-8.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	8	30	7	5	0	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.52	3.24	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	8	30	7	5	0	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.7%	6.7%	0.0%	3.52	3.23	—
2023	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	38	0	66	305	83	51	2	0%	1.7	20.1%	19.7%	0.4%	0.8%	4.39	4.36	—
2023	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	38	0	66	305	83	51	2	0%	1.7	20.1%	19.7%	0.4%	0.8%	4.39	4.36	—
2023	24	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	38	0	66	305	83	51	2	0%	1.7	27.2%	16.7%	10.5%	0.7%	4.39	3.30	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	41	0	54	240	47	37	3	0%	1.3	15.1%	17.7%	-2.6%	1.5%	3.98	4.90	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	41	0	54	240	47	37	3	0%	1.3	15.1%	17.7%	-2.6%	1.5%	3.98	4.90	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	41	0	54	240	47	37	3	0%	1.3	19.6%	15.4%	4.2%	1.2%	3.98	4.13	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	251	50	48	4	0%	1.4	15.9%	21.2%	-5.3%	2.0%	4.14	5.54	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	251	50	48	4	0%	1.4	15.9%	21.2%	-5.3%	2.0%	4.14	5.54	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	251	50	48	4	0%	1.4	19.9%	19.1%	0.8%	1.6%	4.14	4.87	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	31	0	45	204	41	27	7	0%	1.5	16.3%	14.6%	1.7%	4.1%	6.20	5.83	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	31	0	45	204	41	27	7	0%	1.5	16.3%	14.6%	1.7%	4.1%	6.20	5.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	MIA	31	0	45	204	41	27	7	0%	1.5	20.1%	13.2%	6.9%	3.4%	6.20	4.96	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	MIA	6	0	6	25	4	6	1	0%	1.0	14.5%	23.2%	-8.7%	2.7%	6.66	6.66	-0.1
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	51	229	45	33	8	—	—	19.5%	14.3%	5.2%	3.3%	6.25	5.93	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65	0	68	287	44	63	8	0%	1.0	15.3%	22.0%	-6.7%	2.8%	6.48	6.51	-1.4
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIA	62	0	65	274	43	58	8	0%	1.0	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	3.0%	6.42	6.48	-1.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIA	25	0	26	110	17	24	3	0%	1.0	15.3%	22.0%	-6.7%	2.8%	6.48	6.51	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIA	34	0	36	152	24	32	5	0%	1.1	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	3.0%	6.42	6.48	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	40	56	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	21.5%	-6.1%	2.9%	6.45	6.11	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	130	182	26	0%	1.1	15.5%	21.5%	-6.1%	2.9%	6.45	6.11	-3.6
Career	—	MLE		155	0	227	1030	178	191	20	0%	1.5	17.3%	18.5%	-1.3%	1.9%	4.56	5.03	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	907	157	168	17	0%	1.5	17.3%	18.5%	-1.3%	1.9%	4.56	5.03	-4.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Livan Reinoso (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.66	14.5%	23.2%	2.7%	—	6.50	15.5%	-6.2%	133	-0.16	—	—	—
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	87
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	80
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	76
Ted Stuka R 2023 · 7.45 FIP	26	SU	7.45	15.2%	36.8%	1.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	5.36	105	76
Connor Law R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	27	SU	6.15	16.2%	17.2%	4.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	110	76
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	76
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	74
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	17.3%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.78	18.8%	7.7%	36	+0.07	3.75	214	74
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	73
Oscar Verdugo R 2017 · 6.31 FIP	27	SU	6.31	10.3%	13.8%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	144	73
Carlos Frías R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	27	SU	6.07	10.4%	13.0%	4.0%	.299	4.42	16.9%	5.8%	31	-1.65	3.58	204	73
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	72
Ricky Salinas R 2022 · 5.79 FIP	26	SU	5.79	14.3%	15.1%	3.6%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	274	72
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	71
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	71
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2023 · 6.20 FIP	25	SU	6.20	17.4%	22.9%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	71
Heath Bowers R 2018 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	15.0%	15.3%	3.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	133	71
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	71
Thomas St. Clair R 2019 · 6.24 FIP	25	SU	6.24	15.0%	25.9%	2.0%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	116	71
Danny Cody R 2022 · 6.32 FIP	25	SU	6.32	11.4%	18.3%	3.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	6.32	106	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	15.1%	22.2%	1.09	6.52
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77