Joe Nahas
P South Bend Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 36 | 4 | 72 | 4.98 | 4.12 | 18.3% | 11.8% | — | K 14.3% · BB 13.3% · FIP 4.70 | |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 4.02 | 3.59 | 25.9% | 9.1% | — | K 21.4% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.72 | |
| 2025 | 25 | A+CHC | 13 | 0 | 19 | 6.27 | 3.85 | 14.1% | 4.7% | — | K 10.9% · BB 5.4% · FIP 4.33 | |
| 2026 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBCHC | — | — | 0 | 4.48 | 4.48 | 19.9% | 8.0% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 28 | MLBCHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4.51 | 4.55 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 2.40 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 1.90 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 93 | 398 | 89 | 32 | 17 | 48% | 3.7 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.27 | 5.87 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 93 | 398 | 89 | 32 | 17 | 48% | 3.7 | 22.4% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 4.27 | 4.60 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | 24 | 5 | 86 | 375 | 74 | 40 | 9 | 21% | 3.6 | 15.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.19 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | 24 | 5 | 86 | 375 | 74 | 40 | 9 | 21% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 72 | 323 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 11% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.98 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 72 | 323 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 11% | 2.0 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 4.98 | 4.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 286 | 74 | 26 | 8 | 6% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 4.02 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 286 | 74 | 26 | 8 | 6% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 4.02 | 4.72 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 286 | 74 | 26 | 8 | 6% | 2.2 | 25.9% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 3.59 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | 13 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 6.27 | 4.33 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | 13 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 6.27 | 4.33 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | 13 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.1% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 6.27 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 17 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 62 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 131 | 25 | 341 | 1479 | 245 | 159 | 55 | 19% | 2.6 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.57 | 5.09 | 0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 77 | 15 | 200 | 868 | 144 | 93 | 32 | 19% | 2.6 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.57 | 5.09 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+South Bend Cubs · 19 IPFIP 3.80 → 4.33 (+0.53)K% 14.1% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.12% | — | ×0.770 | 10.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.71% | — | ×1.150 | 5.41% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.35% | ÷1.106 | ×1.250 | 2.66% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 121).
Result: FIP 3.80 → 4.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATennessee Smokies · 58 IPFIP 3.54 → 4.72 (+1.18)K% 26.4% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.36% | — | ×0.810 | 21.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.37% | — | ×1.100 | 9.21% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.93% | ÷0.854 | ×1.200 | 4.12% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 71).
Result: FIP 3.54 → 4.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 11 IPFIP 3.91 → 5.04 (+1.13)K% 23.4% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.40% | — | ×0.770 | 18.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.77% | — | ×1.150 | 14.68% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.13% | ÷0.909 | ×1.250 | 2.92% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 3.91 → 5.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+South Bend Cubs · 46 IPFIP 2.84 → 3.44 (+0.60)K% 20.0% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.00% | — | ×0.770 | 15.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.28% | — | ×1.150 | 12.97% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.197 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 139).
Result: FIP 2.84 → 3.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATennessee Smokies · 26 IPFIP 5.94 → 6.63 (+0.69)K% 15.6% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.62% | — | ×0.810 | 12.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.50% | — | ×1.100 | 13.75% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.69% | ÷1.082 | ×1.200 | 5.20% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 5.94 → 6.63, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 86 IPFIP 4.10 → 5.13 (+1.02)K% 19.7% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.73% | — | ×0.770 | 15.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.67% | — | ×1.150 | 12.27% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.40% | ÷0.938 | ×1.250 | 3.20% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 88).
Result: FIP 4.10 → 5.13, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 55 IPFIP 5.18 → 6.75 (+1.57)K% 20.8% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 20.81% | — | ×0.770 | 16.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.79% | — | ×1.150 | 7.81% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.43% | ÷0.928 | ×1.250 | 7.31% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 86).
Result: FIP 5.18 → 6.75, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 23 IPFIP 2.09 → 3.20 (+1.10)K% 32.4% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 32.38% | — | ×0.740 | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.52% | — | ×1.180 | 11.24% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.95% | ÷0.977 | ×1.300 | 1.27% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 95).
Result: FIP 2.09 → 3.20, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).