Joe Nahas
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%20.9%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 2.40 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 0.8 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 1.90 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 93 | 398 | 89 | 32 | 17 | 48% | 3.7 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.27 | 6.04 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 12 | 93 | 398 | 89 | 32 | 17 | 48% | 3.7 | 22.4% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 4.27 | 4.60 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 24 | 5 | 86 | 375 | 74 | 40 | 9 | 21% | 3.6 | 15.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.19 | 5.25 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 24 | 5 | 86 | 375 | 74 | 40 | 9 | 21% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 72 | 323 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 11% | 2.0 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.98 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 4 | 72 | 323 | 59 | 38 | 6 | 11% | 2.0 | 18.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 4.98 | 4.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 286 | 74 | 26 | 8 | 6% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 4.02 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 2 | 69 | 286 | 74 | 26 | 8 | 6% | 2.2 | 25.9% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 3.59 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 13 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 6.27 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 13 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 14.1% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 6.27 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.24 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 78 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 131 | 25 | 341 | 1479 | 245 | 159 | 59 | 19% | 2.6 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.57 | 5.23 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 15 | 200 | 868 | 144 | 93 | 34 | 19% | 2.6 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.57 | 5.23 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joe Nahas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.62 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 21 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 81 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 78 |
| Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 78 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 77 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 77 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 77 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 76 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 76 |
| Joe Vogatsky R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.82 | 21.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.82 | 120 | 76 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 75 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 75 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 75 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 75 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.38 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 3.31 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.07 | 3.31 | 222 | 75 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 75 |