Robert Kwiatkowski
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%20.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A | Salem Red Sox | 31 | 1 | 70 | 300 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 3% | 2.3 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.58 | 4.28 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Salem Red Sox | 31 | 1 | 70 | 300 | 39 | 20 | 3 | 3% | 2.3 | 13.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 3.58 | 3.40 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 30 | 0 | 33 | 171 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.3% | 12.1% | -0.8% | 0.7% | 6.75 | 4.09 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 30 | 0 | 33 | 171 | 25 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 6.75 | 3.61 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 59 | 238 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 16.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.10 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 3 | 59 | 238 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 21.0% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 79 | 321 | 71 | 25 | 7 | 6% | 2.2 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 2.86 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 79 | 321 | 71 | 25 | 7 | 6% | 2.2 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 2.2% | 2.86 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 15 | 0 | 20 | 97 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.9% | 13.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 4.12 | 4.31 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 15 | 0 | 20 | 97 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 4.12 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.30 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 90 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 146 | 6 | 261 | 1127 | 161 | 107 | 25 | 4% | 1.8 | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.93 | 4.32 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 5 | 200 | 862 | 123 | 82 | 19 | 4% | 1.8 | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.93 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Kwiatkowski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.68 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 21 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 80 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 80 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 80 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 79 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 79 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 79 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 79 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 79 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 78 |