Robert Kwiatkowski

Robert Kwiatkowski P Knoxville Smokies

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%18.3%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	31	1	70	300	39	20	3	3%	2.3	9.6%	7.9%	1.8%	1.5%	3.58	4.12	—
2021	24	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	31	1	70	300	39	20	3	3%	2.3	13.0%	6.7%	6.3%	1.0%	3.58	3.40	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	30	0	33	171	25	18	1	0%	1.1	11.3%	12.1%	-0.8%	0.7%	6.75	4.09	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	30	0	33	171	25	18	1	0%	1.1	14.6%	10.5%	4.1%	0.6%	6.75	3.61	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	3	59	238	50	18	7	9%	1.7	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	3.8%	4.10	4.88	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	3	59	238	50	18	7	9%	1.7	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	3.8%	4.10	4.88	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	3	59	238	50	18	7	9%	1.7	21.0%	7.6%	13.4%	2.9%	4.10	3.86	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.4%	2.86	4.03	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.3%	2.4%	2.86	4.03	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	79	321	71	25	7	6%	2.2	22.1%	7.8%	14.3%	2.2%	2.86	3.41	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	15.9%	13.6%	2.3%	1.4%	4.12	4.23	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	15.9%	13.6%	2.3%	1.4%	4.12	4.23	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	15	0	20	97	19	12	1	0%	1.3	19.6%	12.4%	7.2%	1.0%	4.12	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CHC	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.3%	10.3%	7.9%	2.8%	4.78	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CHC	20	0	21	90	17	10	3	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	3.0%	4.84	4.91	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	CHC	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	3.0%	4.84	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	7	28	5	3	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	3.0%	4.84	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	90	30	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	3.0%	4.84	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		146	6	261	1127	161	107	24	4%	1.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	2.1%	3.93	4.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	5	200	862	123	82	18	4%	1.8	14.3%	9.5%	4.8%	2.1%	3.93	4.26	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Kwiatkowski (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	18.3%	10.3%	2.8%	—	4.91	18.4%	7.9%	21	+0.13	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	81
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	81
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	79
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	78
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	78
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	78
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77