Oswald Medina — OGILVIE

Oswald Medina P FCL Phillies

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 145 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 98

ERA4.29

FIP4.29

K%22.4%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	14	14	58	223	65	6	4	100%	4.2	19.8%	3.4%	16.5%	2.3%	2.16	3.11	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	14	14	58	223	65	6	4	100%	4.2	29.1%	2.7%	26.5%	1.8%	2.16	2.07	—
2022	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	69	305	43	11	9	74%	3.6	10.0%	4.4%	5.6%	4.2%	4.96	5.11	—
2022	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	14	69	305	43	11	9	74%	3.6	14.1%	3.6%	10.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.03	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	28	119	24	6	4	100%	4.0	14.2%	6.0%	8.2%	4.5%	5.20	5.12	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	28	119	24	6	4	100%	4.0	14.2%	6.0%	8.2%	4.5%	5.20	5.12	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	28	119	24	6	4	100%	4.0	20.2%	5.0%	15.1%	3.4%	5.20	3.90	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	PHI	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	22.4%	8.3%	14.1%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	3	3	20	84	19	7	3	100%	6.7	22.9%	8.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.26	4.23	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	2	2	9	38	9	3	1	100%	4.5	22.9%	8.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.26	4.23	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	9	36	8	3	1	100%	8.6	22.9%	8.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.26	3.85	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	187	70	23	100%	5.9	22.9%	8.2%	14.7%	3.0%	4.26	3.85	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		40	35	155	647	92	28	23	88%	3.9	14.2%	4.3%	9.8%	3.6%	3.95	4.42	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	45	200	835	118	36	30	88%	3.9	14.2%	4.3%	9.8%	3.6%	3.95	4.42	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oswald Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	22.4%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.23	22.9%	14.7%	20	-0.06	—	—	—
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	84
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	84
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	82
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	81
Ryan Jennings R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP-	3.43	23.4%	11.9%	1.5%	.316	4.34	22.5%	9.8%	109	+0.91	3.43	142	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	77
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	77
Brandon Young R 2023 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP	4.49	17.9%	6.3%	3.8%	.338	3.90	20.6%	13.1%	353	-0.59	3.08	476	77
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	77
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	76
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	76
Engert Garcia R 2023 · 3.13 FIP	23	SP-	3.13	16.9%	5.5%	1.4%	.270	4.81	14.9%	-5.3%	79	+1.68	3.13	125	76
Chris Clark R 2023 · 3.29 FIP	21	SP	3.29	18.9%	6.9%	1.7%	.362	4.77	18.1%	7.5%	330	+1.48	3.29	349	75
Hunter Dollander R 2022 · 3.92 FIP	25	SP-	3.92	19.2%	5.7%	3.1%	.311	6.77	17.6%	-0.7%	51	+2.85	3.92	106	75
Octavio Acosta R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP	4.73	15.5%	5.6%	4.0%	.337	4.39	16.3%	4.8%	184	-0.34	3.88	333	75
James McArthur R 2021 · 3.81 FIP	24	SP-	3.81	19.7%	7.9%	2.5%	.310	4.14	21.6%	13.7%	194	+0.33	3.53	352	74
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	74
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	73
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	73