Chris Clark
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.9 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 87 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%16.6%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP87
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 147 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 6 | 6 | 19 | 86 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.2 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 4.66 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 6 | 6 | 19 | 86 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 3.2 | 25.6% | 5.8% | 19.8% | 1.2% | 4.66 | 2.27 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 22 | 22 | 105 | 473 | 102 | 58 | 12 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.6% | 14.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.09 | 5.58 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 22 | 22 | 105 | 473 | 102 | 58 | 12 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 6.09 | 4.30 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 26 | 145 | 630 | 153 | 47 | 15 | 93% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.32 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 26 | 145 | 630 | 153 | 47 | 15 | 93% | 5.2 | 24.3% | 7.5% | 16.8% | 2.4% | 4.73 | 3.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 20 | 7 | 60 | 235 | 55 | 19 | 8 | 35% | 3.0 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.03 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 83 | 0 | 87 | 366 | 61 | 39 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 147 | 601 | 116 | 58 | 19 | — | — | 19.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.84 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 15 | 15 | 88 | 371 | 66 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 4.94 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 15 | 15 | 88 | 371 | 68 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 4.88 | 4.86 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 14 | 14 | 86 | 365 | 67 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 4.87 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TB | 14 | 14 | 84 | 354 | 65 | 35 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.94 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 80 | 338 | 61 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 45 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 52 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 71 | 300 | 55 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.85 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 51 | 307 | 1296 | 236 | 129 | 40 | 96% | 5.8 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.51 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 84 | 26 | 97% | 5.8 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 61 | 329 | 1424 | 252 | 147 | 46 | 80% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 4.70 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 37 | 200 | 865 | 153 | 89 | 28 | 80% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Clark (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.89 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 262 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 90 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 90 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 88 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 87 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 87 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .248 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 123 | +1.30 | 4.30 | 232 | 86 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 84 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 84 |
| Matt Ager R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 83 |
| Enmanuel Pinales R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 321 | 83 |
| Brooks Hall R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 83 |
| Brett Daniels R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .266 | 4.39 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 152 | +0.41 | 3.98 | 270 | 83 |
| Carlos Frías R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 83 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 83 |
| Zach Lewis R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.04 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 266 | 82 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 82 |
| Braden Olthoff R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.57 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 108 | 82 |
| Forrest Snow R 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 82 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 82 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 85 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.21 | 4.95 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |