Kyle Scott
P
Lake County Captains
+0.1
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 194 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2028
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%11.1%
IP51
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2028
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD3535
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 24 | 13 | 96 | 402 | 96 | 28 | 7 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 3.00 | 4.19 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 26 | 0 | 42 | 189 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 15.9% | 11.6% | 1.3% | 3.00 | 3.94 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 18.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 44 | 23 | 6 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.68 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 44 | 23 | 6 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 42 | 22 | 6 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 41 | 22 | 6 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 19.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 19.3% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 18.9% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 18.5% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 18.1% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 5.32 | 5.41 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 14 | 142 | 607 | 106 | 59 | 14 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 2.99 | 4.10 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 20 | 200 | 857 | 150 | 83 | 20 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 2.99 | 4.10 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Scott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 18.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.68 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 154 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.10 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.74 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.64 | 4.10 | 105 | 94 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.50 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.91 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 162 | +0.41 | 4.50 | 217 | 94 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 92 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.86 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .288 | 3.83 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | -0.03 | 3.40 | 134 | 92 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.16 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .262 | 4.19 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 66 | +0.03 | 4.16 | 135 | 91 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .309 | 3.25 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.62 | 2.78 | 312 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.56 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .237 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.44 | 4.56 | 120 | 90 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.9% | .341 | 4.72 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.14 | 4.04 | 404 | 89 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.75 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 124 | 89 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.96 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .332 | 5.16 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.20 | 3.96 | 148 | 89 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 89 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.14 | 4.44 | 100 | 88 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 88 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.84 | 3.90 | 132 | 88 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.6% | .335 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 8.5% | 129 | -0.77 | 3.43 | 183 | 88 |
| Tai Tiedemann R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.84 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .305 | 5.79 | 9.8% | -0.2% | 118 | +1.95 | 3.84 | 190 | 88 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.78 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .294 | 3.31 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.47 | 2.87 | 223 | 88 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 88 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 88 |
| Scott Oberg R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .273 | 2.95 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -2.21 | 2.59 | 302 | 88 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.