Kyle Scott — OGILVIE

Kyle Scott P Lake County Captains

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 194 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%15.8%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	3	1	4	16	5	4	0	33%	1.2	31.2%	25.0%	6.2%	0.0%	2.45	3.63	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	3	1	4	16	5	4	0	33%	1.2	31.2%	25.0%	6.2%	0.0%	2.45	3.65	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	24	13	96	402	96	28	7	54%	4.0	17.7%	8.2%	9.5%	2.7%	3.00	4.12	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	24	13	96	402	96	28	7	54%	4.0	17.7%	8.2%	9.5%	2.7%	3.00	4.12	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	24	13	96	402	96	28	7	54%	4.0	23.9%	7.0%	16.9%	1.7%	3.00	2.92	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	26	0	42	189	39	19	2	0%	1.6	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	1.3%	3.00	3.94	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	26	0	42	189	39	19	2	0%	1.6	15.9%	11.6%	4.3%	1.3%	3.00	3.94	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	26	0	42	189	39	19	2	0%	1.6	20.6%	10.1%	10.6%	1.1%	3.00	3.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CLE	57	0	60	253	40	30	7	0%	1.1	15.8%	11.9%	3.9%	2.9%	5.23	5.23	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	57	0	60	251	43	29	7	0%	1.0	17.0%	11.6%	5.4%	2.9%	5.11	5.10	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	CLE	56	0	59	247	43	28	7	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.5%	6.0%	2.9%	5.06	5.08	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	25	0	26	110	19	13	3	0%	1.0	17.0%	11.6%	5.4%	2.9%	5.11	5.10	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	CLE	35	0	37	156	27	18	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.5%	6.0%	2.9%	5.06	5.08	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	46	30	8	0%	1.1	17.3%	11.5%	5.7%	2.9%	5.08	4.70	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	147	96	26	0%	1.1	17.3%	11.5%	5.7%	2.9%	5.08	4.70	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		53	14	142	607	106	59	13	26%	2.7	17.5%	9.7%	7.8%	2.2%	2.99	4.05	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	20	200	857	150	83	19	26%	2.7	17.5%	9.7%	7.8%	2.2%	2.99	4.05	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Scott (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	15.8%	11.9%	2.9%	—	5.09	17.2%	5.7%	118	-0.14	—	—	—
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	87
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	87
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	87
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	86
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	86
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	85
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	84
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	84
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	5.01	15.0%	4.8%	193	+0.58	3.37	401	84
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	84
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	84
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	83
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	83
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	83
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	83
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	82
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	16.7%	11.7%	1.12	5.13
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Jose Paniagua ('03)	1.8	60	17.3%	11.8%	1.01	4.49