Kyle Scott
P
Lake County Captains
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 194 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.24
FIP5.24
K%15.4%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 1.2 | 31.2% | 25.0% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.63 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 1.2 | 31.2% | 25.0% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 24 | 13 | 96 | 402 | 96 | 28 | 7 | 54% | 4.0 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 3.00 | 4.46 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 24 | 13 | 96 | 402 | 96 | 28 | 7 | 54% | 4.0 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.92 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 26 | 0 | 42 | 189 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.9% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 3.00 | 3.93 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 26 | 0 | 42 | 189 | 39 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 1.1% | 3.00 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 37 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 46 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 4.61 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 95 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 14 | 142 | 607 | 106 | 59 | 16 | 26% | 2.7 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 2.99 | 4.27 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 20 | 200 | 857 | 150 | 83 | 22 | 26% | 2.7 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 2.99 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Scott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.00 | 17.3% | 6.0% | 116 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 87 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 86 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 85 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 85 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 85 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 85 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 83 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.95 | 14.5% | -0.5% | 70 | +0.55 | 4.40 | 213 | 83 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 83 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 83 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Raymar Navarro R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.2% | .332 | 4.29 | 11.8% | 1.0% | 41 | +0.17 | 4.12 | 108 | 83 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2027 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 83 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 83 |
| Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 83 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.05 | 15.4% | 10.8% | 1.6% | .309 | 4.76 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 161 | +0.71 | 3.26 | 376 | 83 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 16.6% | 11.5% | 1.09 | 5.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |