Logan Martin
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 226 lbs
AA
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%14.8%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50% | 2.0 | 38.7% | 9.7% | 29.0% | 3.2% | 2.25 | 2.83 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50% | 2.0 | 38.7% | 9.7% | 29.0% | 3.2% | 2.25 | 2.85 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 25 | 17 | 102 | 424 | 97 | 32 | 7 | 68% | 4.1 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 25 | 17 | 102 | 424 | 97 | 32 | 7 | 68% | 4.1 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 3.62 | 3.03 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 91 | 378 | 78 | 36 | 5 | 100% | 4.2 | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 3.45 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 91 | 378 | 78 | 36 | 5 | 100% | 4.2 | 20.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 3.45 | 3.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 15 | 6 | 40 | 155 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 40% | 2.6 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.18 | 5.68 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 110 | 451 | 88 | 49 | 13 | — | — | 19.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 14.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 48 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 5.01 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 49 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 48 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 46 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 5.01 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 7 | 7 | 44 | 186 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 6.3 | 16.8% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.4 | 17.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.07 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 30 | 179 | 754 | 126 | 84 | 21 | 97% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 4.66 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 141 | 94 | 24 | 96% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 47 | 241 | 988 | 176 | 102 | 24 | 71% | 3.7 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 3.44 | 4.23 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 39 | 200 | 820 | 146 | 85 | 20 | 71% | 3.7 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 3.44 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 14.8% | 11.4% | 2.6% | — | 4.99 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 206 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 84 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .276 | 5.13 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 40 | +0.72 | 4.13 | 405 | 83 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 83 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 81 |
| Casey Steward R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 81 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 81 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 81 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 80 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 79 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 79 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 79 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 79 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 79 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 79 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 78 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 78 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 78 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.23 | 11.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .375 | 4.59 | 15.1% | 7.3% | 113 | +0.36 | 4.23 | 241 | 78 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 78 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 68 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 1.08 | 5.03 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |