Pat Gallagher
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
+0.8
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 196 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.8 · 2026
ERA4.20
FIP4.20
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%12.0%
IP79
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 14 | 11 | 63 | 255 | 75 | 18 | 7 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 3.13 | 3.90 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 22 | 21 | 91 | 389 | 83 | 31 | 6 | 16.4% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 4.15 | 3.86 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 38 | 1 | 76 | 308 | 84 | 28 | 2 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 0.9% | 1.90 | 3.06 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 79 | 334 | 71 | 31 | 8 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 82 | 349 | 73 | 33 | 8 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 4.14 | 4.03 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 72 | 31 | 8 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 77 | 326 | 71 | 31 | 8 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.25 | 4.26 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 69 | 30 | 8 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 66 | 30 | 8 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 13 | 71 | 298 | 63 | 29 | 8 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 60 | 28 | 8 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.53 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 56 | 27 | 8 | 20.7% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 53 | 27 | 8 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.74 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 49 | 26 | 8 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 45 | 25 | 8 | 19.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 33 | 233 | 967 | 188 | 90 | 17 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 3.12 | 3.61 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 28 | 200 | 829 | 161 | 77 | 15 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 3.12 | 3.61 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pat Gallagher (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.20 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.26 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 231 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 93 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 91 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 90 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 89 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 89 |
| Seth Simmons R 2027 · 3.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.07 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .277 | 4.88 | 16.6% | 7.6% | 175 | +1.81 | 3.07 | 251 | 89 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.38 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .279 | 4.03 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 92 | +0.65 | 2.43 | 225 | 88 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2028 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 88 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 88 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 88 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.3% | .284 | 3.71 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.53 | 2.49 | 160 | 88 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 87 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 87 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.07 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.3% | .313 | 5.16 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.09 | 3.07 | 211 | 87 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 87 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 87 |
| Anthony Vizcaya R 2025 · 3.22 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.22 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .259 | 7.22 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 13 | +4.00 | 3.22 | 115 | 87 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .307 | 5.33 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 59 | +1.59 | 3.36 | 204 | 87 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.24 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 2.93 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.31 | 2.59 | 302 | 86 |
| Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.18 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .290 | 3.63 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.45 | 3.18 | 124 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | -$0.0M |
| Totals | $6M | $14M | +$8M | ||