Brandon White

P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 27 RHP 6'8" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.8 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1318ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	AMIA	19	15	81	4.98	3.14	20.4%	6.5%	—	K 15.1% · BB 7.7% · FIP 4.16
2025	25	A+MIA	23	12	93	4.06	3.21	18.8%	6.7%	—	K 14.4% · BB 7.7% · FIP 3.90
2026	26	MIX2 levels	24	22	106	5.11	3.58	26.3%	6.0%	—	K 22.2% · BB 5.6% · FIP 4.10
2027PROJ	27	MLBMIA	1	1	7	4.28	4.28	20.9%	5.7%	0.1
2028PROJ33% MLB	28	MLBMIA	4	4	22	4.25	4.28	21.0%	6.2%	0.3
2029PROJ47% MLB	29	MLBMIA	5	5	29	4.33	4.40	21.0%	6.6%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.9 / P90 1.9, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsErik Hiljus (age 28) · Ryan Watson (age 25) · Raynel Espinal (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

K%20.9%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%15.3%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	6	29	122	26	10	2	60%	2.9	16.7%	10.3%	6.3%	3.5%	5.02	4.93	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	6	29	122	26	10	2	60%	2.9	21.3%	8.2%	13.1%	1.6%	5.02	3.24	—
2024	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	19	15	81	353	72	23	6	79%	4.3	15.1%	7.7%	7.4%	2.5%	4.98	4.16	—
2024	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	19	15	81	353	72	23	6	79%	4.3	15.1%	7.7%	7.4%	2.5%	4.98	4.16	—
2024	24	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	19	15	81	353	72	23	6	79%	4.3	20.4%	6.5%	13.9%	1.7%	4.98	3.14	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	23	12	93	389	73	26	6	52%	4.0	14.4%	7.7%	6.8%	1.9%	4.06	3.90	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	23	12	93	389	73	26	6	52%	4.0	14.4%	7.7%	6.8%	1.9%	4.06	3.90	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	23	12	93	389	73	26	6	52%	4.0	18.8%	6.7%	12.1%	1.5%	4.06	3.21	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	106	452	119	27	16	92%	4.4	22.2%	5.6%	16.6%	3.9%	5.11	4.10	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	106	452	119	27	16	92%	4.4	22.2%	5.6%	16.6%	3.9%	5.11	4.10	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	106	452	119	27	16	92%	4.4	26.3%	6.0%	20.4%	3.5%	5.11	3.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	MIA	1	1	7	30	6	2	1	100%	7.0	20.9%	5.7%	15.3%	3.4%	4.28	4.28	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	68	285	60	18	10	100%	6.1	21.0%	6.2%	14.9%	3.4%	4.34	4.37	+0.8
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIA	10	10	63	265	56	17	9	100%	6.3	21.0%	6.6%	14.4%	3.6%	4.43	4.50	+0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIA	4	4	22	93	20	6	3	100%	5.5	21.0%	6.2%	14.9%	3.3%	4.25	4.28	+0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIA	5	5	29	122	26	8	4	100%	5.8	21.0%	6.6%	14.4%	3.4%	4.33	4.40	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	52	219	46	14	7	100%	5.8	21.0%	6.4%	14.6%	3.3%	4.29	3.97	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	178	54	27	100%	6.0	21.0%	6.4%	14.6%	3.3%	4.29	3.97	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		76	55	309	1316	230	95	38	72%	4.1	17.5%	7.2%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.14	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	36	200	853	149	62	25	72%	4.1	17.5%	7.2%	10.3%	2.9%	4.75	4.14	+2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 73 IPFIP 4.25 → 4.69 (+0.44)K% 24.8% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.77%	—	×0.860	21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.81%	—	×0.900	6.13%
HR / BF /BF	4.33%	÷1.000	×1.100	4.77%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.25 → 4.69, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 33 IPFIP 1.89 → 2.59 (+0.70)K% 30.2% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.23%	—	×0.810	24.49%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.88%	—	×1.100	4.26%
HR / BF /BF	1.55%	÷1.000	×1.200	1.86%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.89 → 2.59, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 93 IPFIP 3.21 → 3.90 (+0.70)K% 18.8% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.77%	—	×0.770	14.45%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.68%	—	×1.150	7.69%
HR / BF /BF	1.54%	÷1.006	×1.250	1.92%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).

Result: FIP 3.21 → 3.90, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 81 IPFIP 3.14 → 4.16 (+1.03)K% 20.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.40%	—	×0.740	15.09%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.52%	—	×1.180	7.69%
HR / BF /BF	1.70%	÷0.888	×1.300	2.49%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 78).

Result: FIP 3.14 → 4.16, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AJupiter Hammerheads · 19 IPFIP 3.68 → 4.93 (+1.25)K% 22.5% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.50%	—	×0.740	16.65%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.75%	—	×1.180	10.32%
HR / BF /BF	2.50%	÷0.924	×1.300	3.52%

Result: FIP 3.68 → 4.93, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Marlins · 10 IPFIP 2.40 → 3.14 (+0.74)K% 19.0% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.05%	—	×0.680	12.95%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.14%	—	×1.250	8.93%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.995	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).

Result: FIP 2.40 → 3.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon White (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.4%	—	4.43	21.0%	14.6%	130	+0.15	—	—	—
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	87
Ryan Watson R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	25	SP-	4.15	18.6%	4.9%	3.7%	.342	5.48	13.1%	5.4%	98	+1.33	4.15	165	81
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	80
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	79
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	79
Todd Redmond R 2013 · 4.14 FIP	28	SP-	4.14	23.5%	6.5%	4.0%	.266	3.57	17.0%	10.1%	170	-0.57	3.21	247	79
Braydon Tucker R 2024 · 3.25 FIP	25	SP-	3.25	18.3%	7.1%	1.5%	.291	4.70	15.3%	6.3%	208	+1.45	3.25	314	75
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	74
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	74
Brian Edgington R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	19.5%	6.5%	3.1%	.321	5.28	19.3%	7.0%	58	+1.29	3.99	171	73
Markus Solbach R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	27	SP	3.58	16.9%	6.1%	2.1%	.311	4.62	17.1%	9.1%	111	+1.04	3.34	391	73
Cole De Vries R 2012 · 4.73 FIP	27	SP	4.73	15.5%	4.8%	4.2%	.254	7.58	15.8%	4.0%	15	+2.85	4.73	103	73
Parker Curry R 2019 · 4.79 FIP	25	SP-	4.79	17.8%	5.4%	4.6%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	256	72
Connor Grey R 2021 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	22.1%	8.1%	2.8%	.286	4.37	16.2%	7.0%	104	+0.55	2.70	461	72
Mitch Myers R 2024 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	16.1%	5.8%	3.3%	.338	5.64	17.3%	8.5%	92	+1.35	3.56	432	72
Jared Mortensen R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP-	4.42	16.9%	7.8%	3.2%	.287	4.99	20.9%	2.1%	72	+0.57	4.42	200	72
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	72
Chase Whitley R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	27	SP-	4.10	19.5%	7.0%	3.2%	.217	3.22	18.0%	11.8%	81	-0.88	3.09	235	71
Joaquín Benoit R 2004 · 4.49 FIP	27	SP-	4.49	20.8%	6.8%	4.2%	.302	3.31	23.7%	14.5%	249	-1.18	1.99	1,064	70
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.67	22.0%	14.9%	279	+0.48	3.19	310	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	67	21.0%	6.1%	1.34	4.35
Casey Fien ('17)	1.4	58	21.0%	5.1%	1.46	4.42
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Dale Thayer ('15)	1.3	63	20.4%	6.3%	1.07	3.47
Rich Monteleone ('87-'96, 2 WAR*)	1.8	71	18.7%*	7.5%*	1.39*	4.03*
Pete Ladd ('79-'86, 0 WAR*)	1.4	72	24.6%*	7.8%*	1.53*	4.42*