Mitch Myers P Midland RockHounds
Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 212 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 34 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%19.9%
BB%7.5%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
K: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -15.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-16CONTACTSTAM: +7.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+8STAMTotal WAR: -0.86 (83 IP)-0.9WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202223AStockton Ports232212455098382696%5.413.2%8.2%5.0%6.1%5.506.38
202223AStockton Ports232212455098382696%5.417.8%6.9%10.9%4.7%5.505.16
202324A+Lansing Lugnuts23211044787335891%4.511.8%8.4%3.3%1.5%5.353.98
202324A+Lansing Lugnuts23211044787335891%4.515.3%7.3%7.9%1.7%5.353.70
202425MIX2 levels2818114493101261264%4.116.1%5.8%10.3%3.9%4.574.62
202425MIX2 levels2818114493101261264%4.120.5%5.3%15.2%2.4%4.573.38
202526AAMidland RockHounds1722383193212%1.318.5%4.0%14.6%2.7%1.993.50
202526AAMidland RockHounds1722383193212%1.322.9%3.6%19.3%2.4%1.992.97
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAMidland RockHounds12114923954201592%4.118.0%9.3%8.7%7.7%8.576.96-1.4
ROS27MLBOAK663414429114100%5.719.9%7.5%12.4%3.0%4.424.42+0.1
ROS27MLBOAK1114100100%1.019.9%7.5%12.4%3.0%4.424.42+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBOAK8338383311921.6%8.0%13.5%5.1%6.885.92-0.9
2026 FULL27MLBOAK1310019.9%7.5%12.4%3.0%4.424.04+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBOAK663314028114100%5.520.2%7.8%12.3%3.1%4.464.49+0.0
202728MLBOAK2212511042100%6.020.2%7.8%12.3%3.1%4.464.49+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2213551142100%6.620.1%7.8%12.3%3.1%4.464.11+0.1
/ 200 IP34342008441686130100%5.920.1%7.8%12.3%3.1%4.464.11+3.0
Career1037441518432671398172%4.014.5%7.5%6.9%4.4%5.385.23+0.8
/ 200 IP5036200888128673972%4.014.5%7.5%6.9%4.4%5.385.23+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mitch Myers (OGILVIE) 4.42 19.9%7.5%3.0% 4.49 20.2%12.3%33 +0.07
Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP 26 SP- 3.47 23.4%9.5%2.1%.295 3.47 146 80
Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SP- 4.04 19.5%7.0%3.1%.217 3.24 18.0%11.8%81 -0.80 3.11 159 79
Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 27 SP- 4.05 15.1%7.9%2.2%.374 2.66 19.2%12.6%40 -1.39 2.66 259 76
Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 27 SP- 3.76 22.4%7.1%3.0%.313 3.72 22.3%12.4%224 -0.04 2.53 507 76
Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 76
Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 74
Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP 26 SP- 3.40 19.8%8.9%1.6%.299 3.40 322 74
Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 27 SP 3.60 18.8%11.2%1.2%.328 3.63 20.6%11.3%170 +0.03 3.22 254 73
Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 27 SP- 4.48 12.8%7.9%2.7%.316 5.59 10.1%-0.2%50 +1.11 4.48 125 72
Kris Medlen R 2028 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 72
Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 27 SP- 4.02 24.3%8.6%3.5%.248 4.01 27.6%18.3%42 -0.01 3.97 281 72
Rorik Maltrud R 2025 · 4.15 FIP 26 SP 4.15 18.9%7.9%3.0%.283 3.87 247 72
Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 71
Connor Grey R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 27 SP- 3.88 22.1%8.1%2.9%.286 4.32 16.2%7.0%104 +0.44 2.81 461 71
Markus Solbach R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 27 SP 3.61 16.9%6.1%2.1%.311 4.76 17.1%9.1%111 +1.15 3.25 391 71
Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SP- 3.43 21.0%10.8%1.3%.246 2.10 224 70
Matt Cain R 2029 · 4.90 FIP 30 SP- 4.90 17.1%6.8%4.3%.296 4.88 15.2%7.6%214 -0.02 4.83 294 70
Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 27 SP- 4.20 18.3%9.1%2.7%.322 4.20 416 70
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 27 SP 4.85 21.5%10.9%4.0%.275 3.47 171 69
Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 27 SP 3.94 19.5%12.6%1.6%.234 4.41 22.2%10.5%192 +0.47 3.39 382 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23420.0%7.7%1.194.44
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86