Richard Guasch
P
FCL Orioles
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 59 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
K%24.4%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP59
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 5 | 23 | 92 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 71% | 3.3 | 20.0% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 1.5% | 1.16 | 2.94 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 7 | 5 | 23 | 92 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 71% | 3.3 | 29.3% | 4.3% | 25.0% | 1.1% | 1.16 | 1.86 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 18 | 10 | 60 | 264 | 77 | 37 | 1 | 56% | 3.3 | 21.6% | 16.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 4.53 | 3.63 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 18 | 10 | 60 | 264 | 77 | 37 | 1 | 56% | 3.3 | 29.2% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 0.4% | 4.53 | 2.60 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 19 | 14 | 74 | 346 | 92 | 46 | 10 | 74% | 3.9 | 20.5% | 15.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.26 | 5.75 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 19 | 14 | 74 | 346 | 92 | 46 | 10 | 74% | 3.9 | 26.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 8 | 64 | 294 | 82 | 43 | 5 | 28% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 16.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 6.05 | 4.44 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 8 | 64 | 294 | 82 | 43 | 5 | 28% | 2.2 | 27.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 1.7% | 6.05 | 3.57 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 7% | 1.3 | 27.5% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 2.84 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 7% | 1.3 | 27.5% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 3.06 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 32 | 144 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 3.41 | 3.04 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 32 | 144 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.6% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 0.7% | 3.41 | 2.06 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 28 | 0 | 46 | 190 | 57 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 1.7% | 2.74 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 28 | 0 | 46 | 190 | 57 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.0% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 1.6% | 2.74 | 2.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 10 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 10% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | BAL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 61 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 4.18 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 69 | 295 | 77 | 34 | 7 | — | — | 26.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 3.57 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 3.80 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 57 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 53 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 44 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.05 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 91 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 154 | 39 | 326 | 1456 | 329 | 211 | 29 | 25% | 2.1 | 22.6% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 4.08 | 4.11 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 24 | 200 | 892 | 201 | 129 | 17 | 25% | 2.1 | 22.6% | 14.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 4.08 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Richard Guasch (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 24.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.41 | 23.8% | 13.2% | 109 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 80 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 80 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 79 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 556 | 79 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 78 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 78 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 78 |
| Brad Brach R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 77 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 77 |
| Taylor Cole R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.77 | 25.4% | 10.4% | 2.7% | .291 | 3.46 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 433 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 77 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 77 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 76 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 76 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 76 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2029 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 76 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 1.08 | 4.28 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |