Angel Jimenez — OGILVIE

Angel Jimenez P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%22.2%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$23M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4555

CMD3545

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$10M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	6	41	158	47	7	3	55%	3.7	20.2%	5.5%	14.7%	2.1%	3.32	3.24	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	6	41	158	47	7	3	55%	3.7	29.7%	4.4%	25.3%	1.9%	3.32	2.26	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	9	38	146	50	6	3	90%	3.8	23.3%	5.1%	18.2%	2.8%	3.08	3.31	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	9	38	146	50	6	3	90%	3.8	23.3%	5.1%	18.2%	2.8%	3.08	3.31	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	10	9	38	146	50	6	3	90%	3.8	34.2%	4.1%	30.1%	2.1%	3.08	1.97	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	61	261	73	25	2	100%	3.6	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	1.1%	4.01	3.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	61	261	73	25	2	100%	3.6	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	1.1%	4.01	3.48	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	61	261	73	25	2	100%	3.6	28.0%	9.6%	18.4%	0.8%	4.01	2.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	23	22	89	383	114	35	13	96%	3.9	21.9%	10.9%	11.0%	4.5%	5.58	5.12	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	23	22	89	383	114	35	13	96%	3.9	21.9%	10.9%	11.0%	4.5%	5.58	5.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	COL	2	1	5	19	7	1	0	50%	2.5	36.8%	5.3%	31.6%	0.0%	1.80	0.66	—
2026	23	A RAW	COL	15	15	62	264	84	22	5	100%	4.2	31.8%	8.3%	23.5%	1.9%	4.48	2.51	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	COL	6	6	21	100	23	12	8	100%	3.6	23.0%	12.0%	11.0%	8.0%	9.70	7.07	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	COL	2	2	8	34	8	4	1	100%	4.1	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	2.8%	4.56	4.56	+0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	97	417	122	39	14	—	—	29.1%	9.3%	19.8%	3.3%	5.50	5.07	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	118	499	115	51	14	100%	5.6	23.0%	10.3%	12.7%	2.8%	4.44	4.38	+0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	138	581	136	57	16	100%	5.7	23.4%	9.8%	13.5%	2.8%	4.35	4.29	+1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	25	25	150	632	148	61	18	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	2.8%	4.30	4.27	+1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	25	25	148	623	146	60	18	100%	5.9	23.4%	9.7%	13.8%	2.9%	4.30	4.30	+1.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	143	604	141	59	18	100%	6.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.5%	3.0%	4.35	4.39	+0.9
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	23	23	137	577	133	58	18	100%	5.9	23.1%	10.1%	13.0%	3.1%	4.45	4.52	+0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	128	543	123	56	18	100%	6.1	22.7%	10.4%	12.4%	3.3%	4.60	4.70	+0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	120	506	113	54	18	100%	6.0	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	3.5%	4.78	4.90	0.0
2035	32	MLB MLE	COL	18	18	111	468	102	52	18	100%	6.2	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	3.8%	4.99	5.13	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	9	9	51	215	49	22	7	100%	5.7	23.0%	10.3%	12.7%	3.2%	4.68	4.62	+0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	91	384	90	38	12	100%	5.7	23.4%	9.8%	13.5%	3.2%	4.59	4.53	+0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	20	20	119	502	118	49	16	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	3.2%	4.54	4.51	+0.9
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	126	532	125	52	18	100%	6.0	23.4%	9.7%	13.8%	3.3%	4.54	4.54	+0.9
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	127	536	125	53	18	100%	6.0	23.3%	9.8%	13.5%	3.4%	4.60	4.64	+0.8
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	124	524	121	53	19	100%	5.9	23.1%	10.1%	13.0%	3.6%	4.71	4.78	+0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	20	20	118	498	113	52	19	100%	5.9	22.7%	10.4%	12.4%	3.8%	4.88	4.98	+0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	COL	18	18	111	469	105	50	19	100%	6.2	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	4.1%	5.08	5.20	0.0
2035	32	MLB CTX	COL	17	17	104	439	96	49	19	100%	6.1	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	4.4%	5.31	5.45	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		163	163	971	4101	942	416	148	100%	6.0	23.0%	10.2%	12.8%	3.6%	4.77	4.43	+5.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	194	86	30	100%	6.0	23.0%	10.2%	12.8%	3.6%	4.77	4.43	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		61	54	228	948	202	88	28	89%	3.7	21.4%	9.3%	12.1%	2.9%	4.34	4.08	+5.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	47	200	832	178	77	24	89%	3.7	21.4%	9.3%	12.1%	2.9%	4.34	4.08	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Jimenez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	22.2%	11.1%	2.8%	—	4.31	23.3%	13.4%	406	-0.25	—	—	—
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	90
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	88
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	87
CJ Van Eyk R 2021 · 4.79 FIP	22	SP	4.79	21.8%	12.7%	3.5%	.302	4.64	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.15	4.17	438	86
Ryan Jensen R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	21.4%	10.8%	4.0%	.236	4.51	21.6%	4.7%	180	-0.35	4.00	311	86
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	86
David Festa R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	24.4%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.75	26.7%	18.6%	209	+0.06	3.67	405	86
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	84
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	83
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	83
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	83
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	83
Cory Lewis R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	22	SP	3.43	21.7%	9.3%	1.8%	.267	5.06	21.6%	7.5%	229	+1.63	3.43	330	83
Mitch Spence R 2021 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.54	18.7%	11.6%	445	+0.42	4.12	747	83
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.87	20.6%	11.1%	207	+0.35	4.52	448	82
Trace Bright R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	22	SP-	4.26	26.3%	14.7%	2.8%	.297	4.83	19.2%	5.8%	313	+0.57	4.26	413	82
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	82
Ryan Bergert R 2023 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	23.0%	12.1%	1.4%	.286	4.13	19.2%	10.0%	219	+0.69	3.44	428	82
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	82
Cody Morris R 2019 · 3.73 FIP	22	SP	3.73	21.6%	8.1%	2.6%	.362	2.85	31.1%	20.9%	96	-0.88	2.23	256	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.4	128	22.9%	10.2%	1.19	4.49
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45