Angel Jimenez — OGILVIE

Angel Jimenez P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%22.2%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP65

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 124 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4555

CMD3545

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	11	6	41	158	47	7	3	55%	3.7	20.2%	5.5%	14.7%	1.7%	3.32	3.04	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	11	6	41	158	47	7	3	55%	3.7	29.7%	4.4%	25.3%	1.9%	3.32	2.26	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	10	9	38	146	50	6	3	90%	3.8	23.3%	5.1%	18.2%	2.7%	3.08	3.27	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	10	9	38	146	50	6	3	90%	3.8	34.2%	4.1%	30.1%	2.1%	3.08	1.97	—
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	17	17	61	261	73	25	2	100%	3.6	20.1%	11.4%	8.7%	1.3%	4.01	3.59	—
2025	22	MIX	2 levels	17	17	61	261	73	25	2	100%	3.6	28.0%	9.6%	18.4%	0.8%	4.01	2.36	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	15	14	60	250	78	20	5	93%	4.0	22.7%	9.7%	13.0%	2.8%	3.92	3.95	+0.4
ROS	23	MLB	COL	12	12	65	274	61	32	8	100%	5.4	22.2%	11.6%	10.6%	2.8%	4.63	4.63	+0.0
ROS	23	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.2%	11.6%	10.6%	3.3%	4.87	4.87	—
2026 TOT	23	MLB	COL	—	—	124	524	139	52	13	—	—	26.5%	9.9%	16.6%	2.4%	4.29	4.31	+1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	21	21	118	499	115	53	14	100%	5.6	23.0%	10.6%	12.3%	2.8%	4.50	4.44	+1.3
2028	25	MLB	COL	24	24	138	581	136	59	16	100%	5.7	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	2.8%	4.40	4.34	+1.7
2029	26	MLB	COL	25	25	150	632	148	63	18	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.9%	13.6%	2.8%	4.34	4.31	+1.9
2030	27	MLB	COL	25	25	148	623	146	62	18	100%	5.9	23.4%	9.9%	13.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.35	+1.8
2031	28	MLB	COL	24	24	143	604	141	61	18	100%	6.0	23.3%	10.1%	13.2%	3.0%	4.39	4.43	+1.6
2032	29	MLB	COL	23	23	137	577	133	60	18	100%	5.9	23.1%	10.3%	12.8%	3.1%	4.49	4.56	+1.3
2033	30	MLB	COL	21	21	128	543	123	58	18	100%	6.1	22.7%	10.6%	12.1%	3.3%	4.64	4.74	+1.0
2034	31	MLB	COL	20	20	120	506	113	55	18	100%	6.0	22.3%	11.0%	11.4%	3.6%	4.82	4.94	+0.6
2035	32	MLB	COL	18	18	111	468	102	53	18	100%	6.2	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	3.8%	5.03	5.17	+0.3
2036	33	MLB	COL	17	17	102	429	92	51	18	100%	6.0	21.4%	11.8%	9.6%	4.1%	5.26	5.42	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	COL	9	9	51	215	49	23	7	100%	5.7	23.0%	10.6%	12.3%	3.3%	4.74	4.68	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	COL	16	16	91	384	90	39	13	100%	5.7	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	3.3%	4.64	4.58	+0.7
2029	26	MLB	COL	20	20	119	502	118	50	16	100%	6.0	23.5%	9.9%	13.6%	3.3%	4.58	4.55	+1.2
2030	27	MLB	COL	21	21	126	532	125	53	18	100%	6.0	23.4%	9.9%	13.5%	3.3%	4.58	4.59	+1.2
2031	28	MLB	COL	21	21	127	536	125	54	18	100%	6.0	23.3%	10.1%	13.2%	3.4%	4.64	4.68	+1.1
2032	29	MLB	COL	21	21	124	524	121	54	19	100%	5.9	23.1%	10.3%	12.8%	3.6%	4.75	4.82	+0.8
2033	30	MLB	COL	20	20	118	498	113	53	19	100%	5.9	22.7%	10.6%	12.1%	3.9%	4.92	5.02	+0.5
2034	31	MLB	COL	18	18	111	469	105	51	19	100%	6.2	22.3%	11.0%	11.4%	4.1%	5.12	5.24	+0.2
2035	32	MLB	COL	17	17	104	439	96	50	19	100%	6.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	4.4%	5.35	5.49	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	COL	16	16	97	410	88	48	19	100%	6.1	21.4%	11.8%	9.6%	4.7%	5.60	5.76	-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			179	179	1068	4509	1029	475	168	100%	6.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.7%	4.88	4.56	+10.6
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	193	89	31	100%	6.0	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.7%	4.88	4.56	+2.0
Career	—			53	46	199	815	175	70	17	87%	3.8	21.5%	8.6%	12.9%	2.1%	3.66	3.54	+4.3
/ 200 IP	—			53	46	200	819	176	71	17	87%	3.8	21.5%	8.6%	12.9%	2.1%	3.66	3.54	+4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Jimenez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	22.2%	11.6%	2.8%	—	4.36	23.3%	13.1%	406	-0.27	—	—	—
Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.80	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.56	2.21	778	89
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SP-	4.94	20.2%	12.2%	3.7%	.269	4.98	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.04	4.60	529	86
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP	23	SP	3.63	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.10	24.1%	14.3%	117	+0.47	3.63	209	86
CJ Van Eyk R 2025 · 5.01 FIP	22	SP	5.01	21.8%	12.7%	3.9%	.302	4.47	15.2%	5.3%	127	-0.54	3.95	411	85
Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.66 FIP	23	SP	4.66	20.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.266	5.22	16.1%	2.8%	185	+0.56	3.71	370	85
David Festa R 2026 · 3.55 FIP	23	SP	3.55	24.6%	11.6%	1.9%	.341	3.71	27.5%	18.8%	209	+0.16	3.55	405	85
Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.87 FIP	24	SP-	3.87	20.4%	9.6%	2.3%	.300	4.37	19.6%	9.8%	143	+0.50	3.87	247	85
Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP	5.00	21.4%	10.8%	4.2%	.236	4.59	22.3%	3.9%	180	-0.41	4.20	311	84
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	23	SP-	4.45	21.5%	12.1%	3.0%	.275	4.09	25.9%	14.9%	121	-0.36	3.05	181	84
Luke Russo R 2026 · 3.67 FIP	23	SP	3.67	21.7%	11.1%	1.8%	.326	4.43	21.1%	10.5%	112	+0.76	3.67	213	84
Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 3.61 FIP	23	SP	3.61	23.0%	12.1%	1.7%	.286	4.18	19.5%	10.0%	219	+0.57	3.61	428	84
Hayden Minton R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	23	SP	3.96	19.7%	12.3%	1.8%	.357	4.88	19.3%	10.5%	167	+0.92	3.96	260	84
Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP	24	SP	4.24	18.9%	10.3%	2.6%	.329	4.33	21.3%	10.9%	132	+0.09	2.63	213	83
Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.64 FIP	23	SP-	3.64	21.0%	10.1%	1.9%	.285	5.72	19.1%	8.1%	178	+2.08	3.64	274	83
Patrick Reilly R 2025 · 4.75 FIP	22	SP	4.75	23.2%	13.6%	3.4%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	4.75	119	83
Kyle Bradish R 2025 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	20.8%	13.7%	2.9%	.309	3.76	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.91	2.15	702	82
Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	19.5%	10.5%	2.9%	.302	4.38	23.2%	14.7%	121	+0.01	3.42	237	82
Ty Madden R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SP	4.42	24.0%	11.2%	3.5%	.304	5.61	21.6%	11.1%	179	+1.19	4.42	420	82
Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.50	19.2%	11.6%	445	+0.38	4.09	738	82
Zach Peek R 2026 · 3.57 FIP	23	SP-	3.57	22.8%	10.1%	2.0%	.339	3.40	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.17	3.40	233	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	11	126	22.8%	10.6%	1.23	4.59
Jon Gray ('24)	10	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Kyle Gibson ('24)	10	164	19.6%	8.3%	1.14	4.46
Lance Lynn ('24)	9	154	23.9%	8.1%	1.20	3.86
Zach Davies ('23)	9	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Julio Teheran ('23)	7	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Vince Velasquez ('23)	9	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88