Hyun-il Choi — OGILVIE

Hyun-il Choi P Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%13.7%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%6.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	11	65	262	71	11	6	79%	4.6	18.4%	5.2%	13.2%	3.2%	2.63	3.97	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	11	65	262	71	11	6	79%	4.6	27.1%	4.2%	22.9%	2.3%	2.63	2.62	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	11	106	415	106	18	12	46%	4.4	19.1%	5.0%	14.1%	3.9%	3.55	4.26	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	11	106	415	106	18	12	46%	4.4	25.5%	4.3%	21.2%	2.9%	3.55	3.08	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	4	17	4	0	0	50%	2.0	23.5%	0.0%	23.5%	0.0%	4.50	1.11	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	1	4	17	4	0	0	50%	2.0	23.5%	0.0%	23.5%	0.0%	4.50	1.10	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	16	13	60	254	46	12	6	81%	3.8	13.9%	5.4%	8.5%	3.1%	3.75	4.31	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	16	13	60	254	46	12	6	81%	3.8	13.9%	5.4%	8.5%	3.1%	3.75	4.31	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	16	13	60	254	46	12	6	81%	3.8	18.1%	4.7%	13.4%	2.4%	3.75	3.47	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	115	505	102	40	13	88%	4.8	16.6%	7.4%	9.1%	3.0%	4.92	4.31	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	115	505	102	40	13	88%	4.8	16.6%	7.4%	9.1%	3.0%	4.92	4.31	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	115	505	102	40	13	88%	4.8	20.2%	7.9%	12.3%	2.6%	4.92	3.84	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	116	494	88	34	23	67%	3.9	14.9%	7.1%	7.7%	5.6%	4.87	5.81	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	116	494	88	34	23	67%	3.9	14.9%	7.1%	7.7%	5.6%	4.87	5.81	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	20	116	494	88	34	23	67%	3.9	17.8%	6.9%	10.9%	4.7%	4.87	5.03	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	WSH	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.0	13.7%	7.4%	6.3%	3.7%	5.30	5.30	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	17	17	103	435	63	33	16	100%	6.1	14.5%	7.5%	7.0%	3.7%	5.22	5.23	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	17	17	100	422	63	32	16	100%	5.9	15.0%	7.7%	7.3%	3.7%	5.20	5.24	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	16	16	96	403	61	32	16	100%	6.0	15.1%	7.9%	7.2%	3.9%	5.25	5.32	-0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	WSH	15	15	90	379	56	31	15	100%	6.0	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	4.0%	5.37	5.47	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	6	6	39	165	24	12	6	100%	6.5	14.5%	7.5%	7.0%	3.7%	5.22	5.23	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	10	10	60	253	38	19	9	100%	6.0	15.0%	7.7%	7.3%	3.7%	5.20	5.24	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	11	11	68	287	43	23	11	100%	6.2	15.1%	7.9%	7.2%	3.9%	5.25	5.32	-0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	WSH	12	12	70	296	44	24	12	100%	5.8	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	4.0%	5.37	5.47	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	39	236	997	149	79	38	100%	6.1	14.9%	7.9%	7.0%	3.9%	5.27	4.95	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	126	67	32	100%	6.0	14.9%	7.9%	7.0%	3.9%	5.27	4.95	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		110	77	467	1947	324	121	75	70%	4.2	16.7%	6.2%	10.4%	3.9%	4.12	4.61	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	33	200	834	139	52	32	70%	4.2	16.7%	6.2%	10.4%	3.9%	4.12	4.61	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hyun-il Choi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	13.7%	7.4%	3.7%	—	5.26	14.9%	7.2%	299	-0.04	—	—	—
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	86
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	83
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	83
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	82
Terance Marin R 2016 · 4.91 FIP	26	SP-	4.91	11.2%	7.7%	3.2%	.294	4.22	12.4%	7.5%	88	-0.69	3.54	322	81
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	81
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	80
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	80
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	80
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	80
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	80
Mike Augliera R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP-	4.27	12.0%	7.2%	2.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	114	80
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	79
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	79
Tony Bucciferro R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	25	SP-	5.11	6.8%	6.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	5.11	107	79
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	79
Alex Sanabia R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.66	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.78	3.42	378	79
Allen Webster R 2015 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP	5.05	14.0%	9.1%	3.6%	.356	5.78	14.9%	6.8%	58	+0.73	4.56	177	79
Braden Olthoff R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	12.5%	8.0%	2.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	108	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	92	14.7%	7.8%	1.47	5.26
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Andrew Suárez ('23)	1.1	74	18.2%	7.8%	1.51	5.02
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38