Hyun-il Choi
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 122
ERA5.42
FIP5.42
K%14.0%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP74
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 14 | 11 | 65 | 262 | 71 | 11 | 6 | 79% | 4.6 | 18.4% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 2.63 | 3.97 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 14 | 11 | 65 | 262 | 71 | 11 | 6 | 79% | 4.6 | 27.1% | 4.2% | 22.9% | 2.3% | 2.63 | 2.62 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 11 | 106 | 415 | 106 | 18 | 12 | 46% | 4.4 | 19.1% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 3.55 | 4.37 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 11 | 106 | 415 | 106 | 18 | 12 | 46% | 4.4 | 25.5% | 4.3% | 21.2% | 2.9% | 3.55 | 3.08 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.11 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 16 | 13 | 60 | 254 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 81% | 3.8 | 13.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 3.75 | 4.41 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 16 | 13 | 60 | 254 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 81% | 3.8 | 18.1% | 4.7% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.75 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 115 | 505 | 102 | 40 | 13 | 88% | 4.8 | 17.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.47 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 115 | 505 | 102 | 40 | 13 | 88% | 4.8 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.92 | 3.84 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 116 | 494 | 88 | 34 | 23 | 67% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.87 | 5.93 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 20 | 116 | 494 | 88 | 34 | 23 | 67% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 4.87 | 5.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 44 | 25 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 73 | 307 | 46 | 25 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 70 | 298 | 46 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.32 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 11 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 44 | 25 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.37 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.32 | 5.36 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 32 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.37 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 19 | 117 | 493 | 76 | 42 | 19 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.35 | 5.01 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 72 | 33 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.35 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 77 | 467 | 1947 | 327 | 126 | 78 | 70% | 4.2 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 4.12 | 4.71 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 33 | 200 | 834 | 140 | 54 | 34 | 70% | 4.2 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 4.12 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hyun-il Choi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 14.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% | — | 5.38 | 15.3% | 6.8% | 210 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 87 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 83 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 83 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.06 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.19 | 4.25 | 412 | 83 |
| Terance Marin R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.18 | 12.4% | 7.5% | 88 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 322 | 82 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 81 |
| Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 80 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 80 |
| Chance Kirby R 2026 · 5.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.96 | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.2% | .242 | 4.74 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 138 | -1.22 | 4.26 | 325 | 80 |
| Colin Bates R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 79 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 79 |
| Kris Medlen R 2029 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 79 |
| Mike Augliera R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 114 | 79 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 79 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 79 |
| Braden Olthoff R 2023 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.57 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 108 | 79 |
| Tony Bucciferro R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 107 | 78 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 78 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2029 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 78 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 71 | 15.0% | 8.4% | 1.49 | 5.36 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |