Shawndrick Oduber

Shawndrick Oduber P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%15.5%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	11	11	32	139	45	8	3	100%	2.9	22.0%	7.2%	14.8%	3.3%	3.06	3.99	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	11	11	32	139	45	8	3	100%	2.9	22.0%	7.2%	14.8%	3.3%	3.06	3.99	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	11	11	32	139	45	8	3	100%	2.9	32.4%	5.8%	26.6%	2.2%	3.06	2.26	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	14	0	24	112	21	11	2	0%	1.7	12.8%	12.3%	0.5%	2.6%	5.18	5.02	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	14	0	24	112	21	11	2	0%	1.7	12.8%	12.3%	0.5%	2.6%	5.18	5.02	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	14	0	24	112	21	11	2	0%	1.7	18.8%	9.8%	8.9%	1.8%	5.18	3.80	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	50	231	50	22	8	0%	1.7	16.5%	11.6%	4.9%	4.4%	5.98	5.59	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	50	231	50	22	8	0%	1.7	16.5%	11.6%	4.9%	4.4%	5.98	5.59	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	50	231	50	22	8	0%	1.7	21.6%	9.5%	12.1%	3.5%	5.98	4.51	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	LAA	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	15.5%	12.5%	3.0%	3.2%	5.49	5.49	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	45	0	47	198	35	23	6	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.4%	6.1%	3.1%	5.23	5.13	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	49	206	38	22	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.7%	8.0%	3.0%	5.02	4.92	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	22	0	23	97	17	11	3	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.4%	6.1%	3.1%	5.23	5.13	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	33	0	35	148	28	16	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.7%	8.0%	3.0%	5.02	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	247	45	27	8	0%	1.0	18.2%	11.0%	7.3%	3.0%	5.10	4.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	92	27	0%	1.1	18.2%	11.0%	7.3%	3.0%	5.10	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		55	11	106	482	83	51	18	20%	1.9	17.2%	10.5%	6.7%	3.7%	4.91	5.00	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	21	200	907	156	95	33	20%	1.9	17.2%	10.5%	6.7%	3.7%	4.91	5.00	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shawndrick Oduber (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	15.5%	12.5%	3.2%	—	5.02	18.1%	7.1%	96	-0.47	—	—	—
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	90
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	88
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	88
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	87
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	87
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	87
Walker Weickel R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	21	SU	4.92	13.1%	11.7%	2.6%	.357	4.09	15.6%	8.1%	188	-0.83	4.02	273	86
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	86
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	85
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	85
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	85
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	85
Sucre Valdez R 2015 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	13.6%	10.4%	4.7%	.280	3.48	18.3%	12.1%	77	-2.35	2.82	102	84
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	84
Joel Cesar R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	22	SU	4.30	16.3%	12.0%	1.9%	.267	5.21	18.0%	9.9%	38	+0.91	4.30	127	84
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	84
Jonathan Guzman R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	21	SU	4.31	12.5%	11.1%	1.6%	.302	5.09	15.9%	-1.8%	29	+0.78	4.31	104	84
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	84
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Robbie Hitt R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	21	SU	4.66	14.6%	11.2%	2.5%	.368	3.33	15.9%	5.5%	121	-1.33	2.92	238	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	17.4%	11.4%	1.19	5.22
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43