Shawndrick Oduber
P
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%15.5%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%3.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 11 | 11 | 32 | 139 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 2.9 | 22.0% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 3.06 | 4.21 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Royals Blue | 11 | 11 | 32 | 139 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 2.9 | 32.4% | 5.8% | 26.6% | 2.2% | 3.06 | 2.26 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 14 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Royals | 14 | 0 | 24 | 112 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 5.18 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.5% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.98 | 5.47 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 5.98 | 4.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 4.72 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 152 | 98 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 55 | 11 | 106 | 482 | 83 | 51 | 18 | 20% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.02 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 21 | 200 | 907 | 156 | 95 | 34 | 20% | 1.9 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.91 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shawndrick Oduber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.44 | 15.5% | 12.3% | 3.1% | — | 5.10 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 38 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Miguel Guerrero R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .349 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.4% | 115 | -0.00 | 4.49 | 171 | 90 |
| Josnier Parra R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | .319 | 5.13 | 11.0% | 3.0% | 97 | +0.62 | 3.79 | 129 | 88 |
| Junior Rincon R 2028 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 87 |
| Jack Carey R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 87 |
| Justin Kelly R 2027 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.91 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .259 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.8% | 149 | -0.94 | 3.14 | 196 | 86 |
| Walker Weickel R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.38 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 3.5% | .357 | 3.92 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 188 | -1.46 | 3.76 | 273 | 86 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 85 |
| Luis F. Castillo R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.51 | 16.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .337 | 3.45 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 96 | -1.06 | 2.93 | 254 | 85 |
| Eli Saul R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.49 | 12.6% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.48 | 13.8% | -2.9% | 98 | -0.01 | 5.40 | 157 | 85 |
| Tyler Smith R 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.30 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 4.45 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 94 | -0.85 | 3.48 | 121 | 85 |
| Jacinto Arredondo R 2028 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.89 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 50 | -0.33 | 4.89 | 101 | 85 |
| Sucre Valdez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.83 | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.7% | .280 | 3.48 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 77 | -2.35 | 2.82 | 102 | 85 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2028 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 85 |
| Jonathan Guzman R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.31 | 12.5% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .302 | 5.09 | 15.9% | -1.8% | 29 | +0.78 | 4.31 | 104 | 84 |
| Mike Morrison R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.02 | 19.0% | 7.1% | 128 | -0.85 | 3.37 | 145 | 84 |
| Robbie Hitt R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.66 | 14.6% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .368 | 3.32 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 121 | -1.34 | 2.92 | 238 | 84 |
| Ian Villers R 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.59 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .311 | 4.12 | 15.6% | 5.2% | 59 | -0.47 | 4.12 | 107 | 84 |
| Evan Beal R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.61 | 13.6% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .279 | 4.66 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 101 | +0.05 | 3.86 | 163 | 84 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 84 |
| Tayler Scott R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.49 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.99 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 162 | -0.50 | 3.20 | 528 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 16.5% | 11.7% | 1.20 | 5.31 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |