Ian Villers
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 25
RHP
6'7" / 240 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%19.5%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 9 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.3% | 0.0% | 35.3% | 2.9% | 2.08 | 1.73 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 9 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.3% | 0.0% | 35.3% | 2.9% | 2.08 | 1.83 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 25.0% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 5.21 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | San Jose Giants | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 25.0% | -12.5% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 5.77 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 48 | 211 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 7% | 1.6 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.29 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 48 | 211 | 39 | 21 | 3 | 7% | 1.6 | 18.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 5.29 | 3.60 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 59 | 258 | 51 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.6% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 3.79 | 4.12 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 59 | 258 | 51 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 3.79 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.15 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 82 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 2 | 119 | 519 | 82 | 56 | 10 | 2% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 3 | 200 | 875 | 139 | 94 | 17 | 2% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Villers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.53 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 39 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 90 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 90 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 88 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 88 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 88 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 88 |
| Cole Johnson R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 87 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.45 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 141 | +0.22 | 3.97 | 248 | 87 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.34 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.64 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.30 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 86 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 86 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 86 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 86 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 86 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Woo-Suk Go R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.88 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .359 | 3.88 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 54 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 107 | 86 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.61 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | .286 | 4.26 | 19.6% | 13.6% | 91 | +0.65 | 3.08 | 210 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 1.07 | 4.57 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |