Luis F. Castillo
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.1
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 212 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
xFIP6.69
SIERA6.75
K%22.2%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.1%
IP11
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
SL (25%)
SI (16%)
CH-0.9 (13%)
FB-4.0 (62%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 1.91 | 3.42 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 19 | 3 | 36 | 155 | 38 | 13 | 3 | 16.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Kane County Cougars | 14 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 20.7% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 1.35 | 3.77 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 43 | 0 | 78 | 328 | 83 | 19 | 6 | 19.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 3.81 | 3.46 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | 29 | 0 | 34 | 165 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.72 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 46 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 20.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 1.49 | 2.94 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 8 | 8 | 24 | 111 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 5.62 | 3.55 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 11 | — | 11 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 170 | 11 | 273 | 1153 | 210 | 96 | 23 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.29 | 3.69 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 8 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 70 | 17 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.29 | 3.69 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis F. Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.41 | 22.1% | 12.8% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 88 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 80 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 78 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 76 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 76 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 75 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 75 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.32 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.11 | 3.21 | 425 | 75 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 74 |
| Matt Albers R 2027 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 147 | +1.34 | 3.13 | 244 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.45 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .308 | 4.77 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 90 | +1.32 | 3.45 | 170 | 73 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 73 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.35 | 24.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.60 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 92 | +1.25 | 1.61 | 312 | 73 |
| Bryan Morris R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.68 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.