Luis F. Castillo
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 212 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%22.2%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL (25%)
SI (16%)
CH-0.9 (13%)
FB-4.0 (62%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 3.0 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 1.91 | 3.42 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 0 | 33 | 126 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 3.0 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 13.5% | 0.8% | 1.91 | 2.65 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 19 | 3 | 36 | 155 | 38 | 13 | 3 | 16% | 1.9 | 16.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 4.51 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 19 | 3 | 36 | 155 | 38 | 13 | 3 | 16% | 1.9 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 1.9% | 4.04 | 3.16 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 1.35 | 3.87 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 20 | 74 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.7% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 1.4% | 1.35 | 2.75 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 43 | 0 | 78 | 328 | 83 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.5% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 1.9% | 3.81 | 3.35 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 43 | 0 | 78 | 328 | 83 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.3% | 5.8% | 19.5% | 1.8% | 3.81 | 2.70 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 34 | 165 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.72 | 4.54 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 34 | 165 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 4.72 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 1.3% | 1.49 | 2.93 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 48 | 194 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 5.7% | 18.0% | 1.0% | 1.49 | 2.42 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 8 | 24 | 111 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 1.3% | 5.62 | 3.44 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 8 | 24 | 111 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 100% | 3.0 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 0.9% | 5.62 | 3.31 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 2 | 18 | 86 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 17% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.63 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 22 | 200 | 955 | 178 | 111 | 11 | 17% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.63 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 170 | 11 | 273 | 1153 | 210 | 96 | 22 | 6% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 3.66 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 8 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 70 | 16 | 6% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis F. Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.54 | 21.9% | 12.3% | 20 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 84 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 77 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 75 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 74 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 74 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 74 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 73 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 73 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 73 |
| Matt Albers R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.18 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.51 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 147 | +1.33 | 3.15 | 244 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 72 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 72 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 72 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 72 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 71 |