Tayler Scott — OGILVIE

Tayler Scott P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 34 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.71

FIP4.88

K%21.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP54

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1592.0

Whiff%

p6527.7%

p2117.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.382

SI (3%)

FB-3.1 (51%)

SL-7.9 (21%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	1	54	227	48	26	4	4%	2.1	16.7%	12.7%	3.9%	2.1%	3.83	4.48	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	1	54	227	48	26	4	4%	2.1	21.1%	11.5%	9.7%	1.8%	3.83	3.73	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	24	0	27	114	21	14	3	0%	1.1	14.9%	13.5%	1.4%	2.5%	4.39	4.95	—
2016	24	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	24	0	27	114	21	14	3	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.3%	6.1%	2.6%	4.39	4.56	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	75	332	76	38	6	0%	1.4	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	1.7%	3.25	4.01	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	75	332	76	38	6	0%	1.4	22.9%	11.4%	11.4%	1.8%	3.25	3.64	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	44	0	61	254	52	24	4	0%	1.4	18.0%	9.9%	8.1%	1.8%	3.26	3.81	—
2018	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	44	0	61	254	52	24	4	0%	1.4	20.5%	9.4%	11.0%	1.6%	3.26	3.43	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	2	67	306	82	32	10	4%	1.5	24.1%	10.8%	13.3%	3.4%	6.95	4.29	+0.2
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	2	67	306	82	32	10	4%	1.5	26.8%	10.5%	16.3%	3.3%	6.95	4.02	+0.4
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	56	251	69	21	6	0%	1.2	24.8%	8.7%	16.1%	2.5%	5.01	3.47	+0.7
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	56	251	69	21	6	0%	1.2	27.5%	8.4%	19.1%	2.4%	5.01	3.15	+0.9
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	2	56	238	61	20	4	4%	1.1	22.5%	7.9%	14.6%	1.8%	2.89	3.22	+0.9
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	2	56	238	61	20	4	4%	1.1	22.5%	7.9%	14.6%	1.8%	2.89	3.22	+0.9
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	2	56	238	61	20	4	4%	1.1	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	1.7%	2.89	2.92	+1.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	62	1	69	282	71	34	7	2%	1.1	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.6%	2.23	3.90	+0.5
2024	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	62	1	69	282	71	34	7	2%	1.1	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.6%	2.23	3.90	+0.5
2024	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	62	1	69	282	71	34	7	2%	1.1	25.2%	12.1%	13.1%	2.5%	2.23	3.84	+0.6
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	50	233	50	27	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.2%	8.4%	3.1%	6.12	4.59	-0.0
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	50	233	50	27	7	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.2%	8.4%	3.1%	6.12	4.59	-0.0
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	50	233	50	27	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.6%	9.9%	3.0%	6.12	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			125	5	142	656	139	77	23	4%	1.1	21.2%	11.7%	9.5%	3.5%	5.51	4.87	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	14	1	15	79	19	14	2	7%	1.0	20.0%	15.9%	4.0%	2.8%	9.20	4.96	—
YTD	34	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	14	1	15	79	19	14	2	7%	1.0	20.0%	15.9%	4.0%	2.8%	9.20	4.96	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	AAA RAW	ATL	14	1	15	79	19	14	2	7%	1.1	24.1%	17.7%	6.3%	2.5%	9.20	4.70	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	ATL	46	0	48	204	42	27	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.1%	7.7%	3.4%	5.02	5.22	-0.4
2028	36	MLB MLE	ATL	41	0	43	180	36	25	7	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.7%	6.1%	3.7%	5.36	5.59	-0.5
2027	35	MLB CTX	ATL	3	0	3	13	3	2	0	0%	1.0	20.8%	13.1%	7.7%	3.4%	5.02	5.22	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.8%	13.7%	6.1%	3.7%	5.36	5.59	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		128	5	145	667	141	78	23	4%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.5%	5.51	4.72	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		176	7	200	922	195	108	32	4%	1.1	21.2%	11.8%	9.4%	3.5%	5.51	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		415	7	528	2316	485	257	56	2%	1.3	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	2.4%	4.29	4.06	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	3	200	877	184	97	21	2%	1.3	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	2.4%	4.29	4.06	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tayler Scott (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	21.8%	12.6%	3.0%	—	5.39	20.3%	6.9%	91	+0.51	—	—	—
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	80
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	80
Carlos Torres R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	34	SU	4.51	17.4%	9.9%	3.0%	.304	3.66	19.8%	11.6%	113	-0.85	2.89	326	78
Jim Johnson R 2017 · 3.89 FIP	34	SU	3.89	23.8%	8.6%	3.1%	.309	4.48	16.8%	9.0%	63	+0.59	2.56	251	78
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	78
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	77
Dustin McGowan R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	22.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.230	4.58	19.4%	12.7%	78	+0.76	3.82	208	76
Francisco Rodríguez R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	34	SU	3.77	22.1%	8.5%	2.7%	.248	6.90	19.5%	11.0%	25	+3.13	2.71	141	75
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	75
Diego Moreno R 2021 · 4.75 FIP	34	SU	4.75	18.6%	9.4%	3.7%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	187	75
George Kontos R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	34	SU	5.01	15.4%	9.0%	3.8%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	290	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	74
Jean Machi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	34	SU	4.36	18.3%	6.6%	3.6%	.282	4.12	18.6%	12.0%	67	-0.24	4.12	186	74
Javy Guerra R 2020 · 4.37 FIP	34	SU	4.37	18.6%	10.0%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	260	73
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	73
Brad Peacock R 2022 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	23.9%	10.6%	2.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	533	72
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	33	SU	5.42	14.3%	10.4%	4.0%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.07	148	72
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	72
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	20.9%	13.1%	1.29	5.01
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82