Tayler Scott
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 54 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129119vR 110
ERA4.68
FIP4.85
K%22.0%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.382
SI (3%)
FB-3.1 (51%)
SL-7.9 (21%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 54 | 227 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 4% | 2.1 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.83 | 4.49 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 54 | 227 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 4% | 2.1 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 3.83 | 3.73 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 24 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.9% | 13.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.39 | 4.72 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 24 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.39 | 4.56 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 75 | 332 | 76 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 3.25 | 3.87 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 75 | 332 | 76 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 3.25 | 3.64 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 44 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 52 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.83 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 44 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 52 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 3.26 | 3.43 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 2 | 67 | 306 | 82 | 32 | 10 | 4% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 6.95 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 2 | 67 | 306 | 82 | 32 | 10 | 4% | 1.5 | 26.8% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 3.3% | 6.95 | 4.02 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 69 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 2.5% | 5.01 | 3.45 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 69 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.5% | 8.4% | 19.1% | 2.4% | 5.01 | 3.15 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 2 | 56 | 238 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 2.89 | 3.20 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 2 | 56 | 238 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 25.6% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 1.7% | 2.89 | 2.92 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 71 | 34 | 7 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 2.23 | 3.79 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 71 | 34 | 7 | 2% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 2.5% | 2.23 | 3.84 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 50 | 233 | 50 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 6.12 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 50 | 233 | 50 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 6.12 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 14 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 7% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 9.20 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 68 | 306 | 69 | 43 | 9 | — | — | 22.5% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 5 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 22.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.32 | 5.55 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.32 | 5.55 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 133 | 5 | 150 | 690 | 146 | 81 | 24 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 4.71 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 7 | 200 | 920 | 195 | 108 | 32 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 415 | 7 | 528 | 2316 | 489 | 263 | 54 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 4.29 | 4.03 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 3 | 200 | 877 | 185 | 99 | 20 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 4.29 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tayler Scott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.35 | 20.6% | 6.9% | 91 | +0.50 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 80 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 76 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 75 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 75 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 74 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 74 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 74 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 73 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .248 | 7.10 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +3.26 | 2.85 | 141 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 72 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.10 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 290 | 71 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 71 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 71 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.51 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 3.82 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 57 | -0.69 | 3.65 | 429 | 70 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.37 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 260 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 48 | 21.1% | 13.4% | 1.25 | 4.97 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |