Tayler Scott
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.0
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.51
FIP4.63
xFIP5.44
SIERA5.05
K%22.4%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%11.2%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL3030
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p6527.7%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.382
SI (3%)
FB-3.1 (51%)
SL-7.9 (21%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 26 | 1 | 54 | 227 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 3.83 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 24 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 14.9% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 54 | 0 | 75 | 332 | 76 | 38 | 6 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 1.6% | 3.25 | 3.99 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 44 | 0 | 61 | 254 | 52 | 24 | 4 | 18.0% | 9.9% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.81 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 46 | 2 | 67 | 306 | 82 | 32 | 10 | 24.1% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 6.95 | 4.34 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 45 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 69 | 21 | 6 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 5.01 | 3.46 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 53 | 2 | 56 | 238 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 23.4% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 2.89 | 3.17 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 62 | 1 | 69 | 282 | 71 | 34 | 7 | 25.2% | 12.1% | 2.4% | 2.23 | 3.83 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 33 | MLB | Houston Astros | 47 | 0 | 50 | 233 | 50 | 27 | 7 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 6.12 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 6 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 21.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.84 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 34 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 42 | 183 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 21.6% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 20.2% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 5.04 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 407 | 6 | 520 | 2266 | 479 | 253 | 54 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.04 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 2 | 200 | 872 | 184 | 97 | 21 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.04 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tayler Scott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 21.8% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 5.07 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 67 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 77 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 75 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 74 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 73 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.02 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 290 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 72 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 72 |
| Francisco Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .248 | 6.54 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 25 | +2.82 | 2.87 | 141 | 72 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 71 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.48 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 260 | 71 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 71 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 70 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 70 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.