Josh White
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.4
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.0 · 2027
ERA3.63
FIP3.63
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%28.0%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%18.5%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2027
K†6565
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 9 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 16 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.55 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 30 | 9 | 65 | 276 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 3.46 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 40 | 3 | 60 | 251 | 80 | 25 | 4 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 1.6% | 3.02 | 3.37 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 45 | 2 | 68 | 262 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 34.6% | 9.4% | 0.9% | 1.86 | 1.89 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 5 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.12 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 28.0% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 3.63 | 3.63 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 34 | 142 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 28.5% | 12.9% | 1.8% | 3.04 | 2.77 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 76 | 26 | 7 | 27.8% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 3.68 | 3.67 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 74 | 26 | 7 | 27.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 3.73 | 3.73 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 72 | 25 | 7 | 27.2% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 3.79 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 70 | 25 | 7 | 27.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 3.82 | 3.85 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 68 | 24 | 7 | 26.8% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 3.91 | +0.7 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 65 | 24 | 7 | 26.5% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 55 | — | 55 | 234 | 61 | 23 | 7 | 26.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.02 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 58 | 23 | 7 | 26.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 54 | 22 | 6 | 25.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 25.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 24.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 24.3% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.59 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 129 | 14 | 211 | 879 | 227 | 108 | 16 | 25.8% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 2.90 | 3.49 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 122 | 13 | 200 | 832 | 215 | 102 | 15 | 25.8% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 2.90 | 3.49 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh White (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.63 | 28.0% | 9.5% | 2.4% | — | 3.73 | 27.5% | 18.0% | 192 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | .282 | 4.76 | 19.3% | 1.3% | 95 | +0.94 | 3.72 | 164 | 89 |
| Cam Bedrosian R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.12 | 27.9% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .310 | 3.68 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 140 | +0.56 | 1.79 | 344 | 87 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .340 | 4.39 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.65 | 3.74 | 223 | 86 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.90 | 33.2% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .346 | 4.44 | 19.7% | 8.5% | 125 | +1.54 | 2.90 | 140 | 86 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .299 | 5.28 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.38 | 3.90 | 158 | 86 |
| Matt Seelinger R 2025 · 3.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.12 | 27.9% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .358 | 4.80 | 24.9% | 9.1% | 103 | +1.68 | 3.12 | 310 | 85 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.10 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .289 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.67 | 3.10 | 220 | 85 |
| Mark Montgomery R 2026 · 2.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.88 | 27.6% | 11.7% | 1.1% | .271 | 2.67 | 24.0% | 17.5% | 80 | -0.21 | 2.60 | 169 | 84 |
| Justin Grimm R 2027 · 2.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.87 | 32.8% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .250 | 4.09 | 26.1% | 15.2% | 157 | +1.22 | 2.87 | 335 | 83 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.39 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .257 | 5.29 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.90 | 3.39 | 117 | 82 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 82 |
| Dylan Heid R 2026 · 2.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.65 | 29.4% | 12.5% | 0.8% | .337 | 3.74 | 18.5% | 4.2% | 64 | +1.09 | 2.65 | 135 | 81 |
| Leonel Campos R 2029 · 2.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.63 | 30.1% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .259 | 3.62 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 118 | +0.99 | 2.63 | 168 | 81 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 81 |
| Matt Pobereyko R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.25 | 27.4% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .324 | 3.89 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 48 | +0.64 | 2.75 | 112 | 81 |
| Peyton Gray R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 80 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 80 |
| Simon Castro R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.26 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .320 | 3.48 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.22 | 3.07 | 185 | 80 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 2.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.59 | 28.6% | 10.6% | 1.0% | .319 | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.3% | 86 | +1.85 | 2.59 | 233 | 80 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.48 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .245 | 4.81 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.33 | 3.04 | 230 | 80 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $1M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | -$0.0M |
| Totals | $9M | $20M | +$11M | ||