Josh White
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.4 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 46 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9687vR 78
ERA3.33
FIP3.33
K%32.2%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%22.5%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 1.8% | 6.55 | 3.47 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 1.8% | 6.55 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 9 | 65 | 276 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 30% | 2.2 | 17.7% | 13.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.46 | 5.45 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 9 | 65 | 276 | 65 | 33 | 6 | 30% | 2.2 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 2.2% | 3.46 | 3.82 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 60 | 251 | 80 | 25 | 4 | 8% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 3.02 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 60 | 251 | 80 | 25 | 4 | 8% | 1.5 | 31.9% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 1.6% | 3.02 | 2.55 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 68 | 262 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 34.6% | 9.4% | 25.2% | 1.0% | 1.86 | 1.95 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 2 | 68 | 262 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 4% | 1.5 | 40.8% | 8.8% | 32.1% | 0.8% | 1.86 | 1.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 28 | 1 | 42 | 172 | 49 | 26 | 5 | 4% | 1.5 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 3.24 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 63 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.2% | 9.8% | 22.5% | 2.4% | 3.33 | 3.33 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 63 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.2% | 9.8% | 22.5% | 2.4% | 3.29 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 88 | 368 | 112 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 30.5% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 3.29 | 3.73 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 47 | 198 | 112 | 45 | 10 | — | — | 56.5% | 22.7% | 33.7% | 4.9% | 6.12 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 93 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 9.7% | 21.9% | 2.5% | 3.42 | 3.41 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 90 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 9.7% | 21.2% | 2.6% | 3.50 | 3.51 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 88 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.6% | 9.7% | 21.9% | 2.4% | 3.38 | 3.37 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 86 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 9.7% | 21.2% | 2.5% | 3.46 | 3.47 | +0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 171 | 0 | 179 | 761 | 238 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 10.1% | 21.2% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.14 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 266 | 86 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 10.1% | 21.2% | 2.5% | 3.63 | 3.14 | +5.3 | ||
| Career | — | 152 | 15 | 245 | 1018 | 261 | 124 | 23 | 10% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 2.3% | 3.01 | 3.73 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 124 | 12 | 200 | 831 | 213 | 101 | 19 | 10% | 1.6 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 2.3% | 3.01 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh White (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.33 | 32.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% | — | 3.46 | 31.3% | 21.6% | 139 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.03 | 33.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .346 | 4.38 | 19.7% | 8.5% | 125 | +1.35 | 3.03 | 140 | 84 |
| Ben Heller R 2026 · 2.65 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.65 | 32.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 246 | 84 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.10 | 29.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .259 | 3.73 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 54 | +0.63 | 3.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Justin Grimm R 2027 · 2.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.93 | 32.8% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .250 | 4.11 | 26.1% | 15.2% | 157 | +1.18 | 2.93 | 335 | 82 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 82 |
| Kevin Ginkel R 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.92 | 35.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .255 | 3.55 | 26.2% | 15.9% | 104 | +0.63 | 2.35 | 431 | 81 |
| Craig Kimbrel R 2028 · 2.62 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.62 | 36.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 2.09 | 42.6% | 32.3% | 184 | -0.53 | 0.89 | 599 | 81 |
| Cam Bedrosian R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.31 | 27.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .310 | 3.72 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 140 | +0.41 | 1.81 | 344 | 81 |
| Evan Reifert R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.06 | 32.7% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .247 | 3.70 | 29.9% | 16.6% | 67 | +0.64 | 2.81 | 186 | 80 |
| Jake Smith R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.07 | 28.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.73 | 19.3% | -1.7% | 26 | +1.66 | 3.07 | 110 | 80 |
| Matt Seelinger R 2025 · 3.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.06 | 27.9% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .358 | 4.83 | 24.9% | 9.1% | 103 | +1.77 | 3.06 | 349 | 80 |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 29.5% | 9.5% | 2.8% | .286 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 140 | +0.28 | 3.03 | 393 | 80 |
| Matt Jachec R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 80 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 2.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 2.53 | 28.6% | 10.6% | 0.9% | .319 | 4.31 | 21.4% | 9.3% | 86 | +1.78 | 2.53 | 233 | 80 |
| Leonel Campos R 2029 · 2.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.69 | 30.1% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .259 | 3.66 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 118 | +0.97 | 2.69 | 168 | 80 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 80 |
| Simon Castro R 2028 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 79 |
| Jon Edwards R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 79 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2025 · 3.11 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.11 | 36.2% | 9.5% | 3.4% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 194 | 79 |
| Connor Brogdon R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 29.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .236 | 3.42 | 23.6% | 17.2% | 102 | -0.31 | 3.01 | 401 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 62 | 31.5% | 9.7% | 0.97 | 3.43 |
| Keone Kela ('19) | 5 | 43 | 30.1% | 9.4% | 0.92 | 3.23 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Pedro Strop ('19) | 5 | 55 | 27.7% | 9.9% | 0.75 | 3.05 |
| Corey Knebel ('22) | 6 | 47 | 32.3% | 11.2% | 0.95 | 3.04 |
| Brad Peacock ('19) | 4 | 80 | 28.7% | 9.2% | 1.18 | 3.48 |