Eric Reyzelman — OGILVIE

Eric Reyzelman P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 188 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%22.3%

BB%20.4%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL2030

CMD3030

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	4	21	8	4	0	0%	1.0	38.1%	19.0%	19.0%	0.0%	6.75	2.30	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	4	21	8	4	0	0%	1.0	38.1%	19.0%	19.0%	0.0%	6.75	2.10	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	5	0	8	33	8	3	1	0%	1.5	24.2%	9.1%	15.2%	3.0%	8.22	3.87	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	5	0	8	33	8	3	1	0%	1.5	24.2%	9.1%	15.2%	3.0%	8.22	3.87	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	5	0	8	33	8	3	1	0%	1.5	24.2%	9.1%	15.2%	3.0%	8.22	3.88	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	39	154	63	19	2	3%	1.2	30.3%	15.6%	14.7%	2.4%	1.16	3.81	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	1	39	154	63	19	2	3%	1.2	30.3%	15.6%	14.7%	2.4%	1.16	3.81	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	1	39	154	63	19	2	3%	1.2	40.9%	12.3%	28.6%	1.3%	1.16	1.99	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	34	0	42	188	45	42	5	0%	1.2	19.9%	20.1%	-0.2%	2.7%	4.29	5.47	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	34	0	42	188	45	42	5	0%	1.2	19.9%	20.1%	-0.2%	2.7%	4.29	5.47	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	34	0	42	188	45	42	5	0%	1.2	23.9%	22.3%	1.6%	2.7%	4.29	5.50	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	39	1	49	214	70	28	7	3%	1.2	26.9%	12.1%	14.7%	3.7%	6.29	4.40	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	39	1	49	214	70	28	7	3%	1.2	26.9%	12.1%	14.7%	3.7%	6.29	4.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	NYY	13	0	17	66	32	4	2	0%	1.3	48.5%	6.1%	42.4%	3.0%	3.12	1.44	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	NYY	26	1	31	148	38	24	5	4%	1.2	25.7%	16.2%	9.5%	3.4%	8.04	4.84	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYY	5	0	5	23	5	5	1	0%	1.1	22.3%	20.4%	1.9%	2.9%	5.77	5.77	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	54	237	75	33	8	—	—	31.7%	13.8%	17.9%	3.2%	6.24	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	57	0	60	251	57	48	7	0%	1.0	22.7%	19.3%	3.5%	2.9%	5.61	5.60	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	56	0	59	247	56	46	7	0%	1.0	22.8%	18.6%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.54	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	28	0	29	122	28	24	4	0%	1.0	22.7%	19.3%	3.5%	2.9%	5.61	5.60	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	37	0	39	165	37	31	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	18.6%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.54	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	287	65	54	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	18.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.57	5.19	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	159	24	0%	1.1	22.7%	18.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.57	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		113	2	141	610	157	95	18	2%	1.2	25.8%	15.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.40	4.48	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	3	200	865	223	134	25	2%	1.2	25.8%	15.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.40	4.48	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Reyzelman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	22.3%	20.4%	2.9%	—	5.57	22.7%	3.8%	118	-0.20	—	—	—
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	88
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	88
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	85
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	84
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	84
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	84
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	84
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	82
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	82
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	82
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	81
Blake Rivera R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	25	SU	4.78	20.9%	19.4%	1.8%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	179	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	81
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	80
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	80
Eduardo Herrera R 2023 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.9%	16.8%	2.5%	.397	4.26	21.8%	3.6%	75	-0.40	4.13	127	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	22.6%	19.4%	1.13	5.64
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91