Christopher Troye
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%22.9%
BB%14.4%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 55.6% | 0.0% | 4.50 | -1.59 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 55.6% | 0.0% | 4.50 | -1.90 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Salem Red Sox | 26 | 0 | 33 | 143 | 50 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.9% | 19.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% | 4.86 | 3.42 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Salem Red Sox | 26 | 0 | 33 | 143 | 50 | 24 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.0% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 4.86 | 2.26 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 220 | 87 | 36 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 2.0% | 3.10 | 3.84 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 220 | 87 | 36 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 39.5% | 16.4% | 23.2% | 1.4% | 3.10 | 2.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 28 | 0 | 45 | 201 | 60 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.2% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.60 | 5.42 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 28 | 0 | 45 | 201 | 60 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 3.5% | 4.60 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 20 | 0 | 30 | 144 | 34 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.1% | 22.9% | -3.8% | 2.0% | 7.20 | 5.50 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 20 | 0 | 30 | 144 | 34 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 20.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 7.20 | 5.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.61 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 127 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 0 | 160 | 717 | 187 | 135 | 15 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 18.9% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 4.68 | 4.47 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 234 | 170 | 19 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 18.9% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 4.68 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christopher Troye (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 22.9% | 14.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.99 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 21 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 84 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 84 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 83 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 83 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 82 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 80 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 80 |
| Morris Austin R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 80 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 80 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 80 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 80 |