Christopher Troye

Christopher Troye P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.56

FIP5.56

K%22.5%

BB%18.6%

K-BB%3.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	2	0	2	9	5	0	0	0%	1.0	55.6%	0.0%	55.6%	0.0%	4.50	-1.59	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	2	0	2	9	5	0	0	0%	1.0	55.6%	0.0%	55.6%	0.0%	4.50	-1.90	—
2022	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	26	0	33	143	50	24	0	0%	1.3	25.9%	19.8%	6.1%	0.0%	4.86	3.42	—
2022	23	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	26	0	33	143	50	24	0	0%	1.3	35.0%	16.8%	18.2%	0.0%	4.86	2.26	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	49	220	87	36	3	0%	1.3	31.4%	18.2%	13.2%	1.8%	3.10	3.76	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	49	220	87	36	3	0%	1.3	31.4%	18.2%	13.2%	1.8%	3.10	3.76	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	49	220	87	36	3	0%	1.3	39.5%	16.4%	23.2%	1.4%	3.10	2.55	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	45	201	60	31	7	0%	1.6	24.2%	17.0%	7.2%	4.1%	4.60	5.46	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	45	201	60	31	7	0%	1.6	24.2%	17.0%	7.2%	4.1%	4.60	5.46	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	45	201	60	31	7	0%	1.6	29.9%	15.4%	14.4%	3.5%	4.60	4.52	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	20	0	30	144	34	30	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	22.9%	-3.8%	2.2%	7.20	5.61	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	20	0	30	144	34	30	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	22.9%	-3.8%	2.2%	7.20	5.61	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	20	0	30	144	34	30	3	0%	1.5	23.6%	20.8%	2.8%	2.1%	7.20	5.13	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	BOS	2	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	1.0	22.5%	18.6%	3.9%	3.0%	5.56	5.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	20	0	21	89	20	16	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.8%	4.7%	3.1%	5.48	5.52	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	8	0	8	34	8	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.8%	4.7%	3.1%	5.48	5.52	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	33	7	6	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	17.8%	4.7%	3.1%	5.48	5.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	152	25	0%	1.1	22.4%	17.8%	4.7%	3.1%	5.48	5.14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		114	0	160	717	187	135	16	0%	1.4	26.1%	18.9%	7.2%	2.2%	4.68	4.48	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	898	234	170	19	0%	1.4	26.1%	18.9%	7.2%	2.2%	4.68	4.48	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christopher Troye (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.56	22.5%	18.6%	3.0%	—	5.52	22.4%	4.7%	21	-0.04	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	80
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	80
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	80
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	78
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	78
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	78
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	78
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	77
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	77
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	77
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	77
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	77
Zack Jones R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	27.7%	24.1%	2.2%	.167	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	109	76
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	76
Brad Goldberg R 2017 · 4.38 FIP	27	SU	4.38	18.4%	15.4%	1.6%	.331	3.14	30.3%	13.3%	36	-1.24	3.14	197	76
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	76
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	76
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	76
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	76