Kyle Wilcox P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%22.7%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.04 (18 IP)-0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201622AClinton LumberKings369763658068225%2.116.2%22.0%-5.8%0.7%7.114.93
201622AClinton LumberKings369763658068225%2.121.9%18.6%3.3%0.5%7.114.02
201723AClinton LumberKings21033147522140%1.626.2%16.9%9.3%4.1%3.785.28
201723AClinton LumberKings21033147522140%1.635.4%14.3%21.1%2.7%3.783.43
201824MIX2 levels37059248942940%1.629.7%12.2%17.4%1.1%3.382.77
201824MIX2 levels37059248942940%1.637.9%11.7%26.2%1.6%3.382.26
201925MIX2 levels46062277914840%1.325.1%21.2%4.0%3.9%3.215.80
201925MIX2 levels46062277914840%1.332.9%17.3%15.5%1.4%3.213.33
202228MIX2 levels1711774241916%1.025.1%26.6%-1.4%2.4%2.165.67
202228MIX2 levels1711774241916%1.032.4%25.7%6.8%1.4%2.164.42
202329MIX2 levels48055227723420%1.125.9%16.2%9.7%1.8%2.623.95
202329MIX2 levels48055227723420%1.131.7%15.0%16.7%0.9%2.622.81
202430AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes16026133302550%1.619.8%19.7%0.1%3.5%9.125.83
202430AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes16026133302550%1.622.6%18.8%3.8%3.8%9.126.22
▸ 2026 Season
202632MLBCOL170187617920%1.122.7%12.3%10.4%3.0%4.764.76-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBCOL1902084191130%1.122.3%12.5%9.8%3.3%4.874.97-0.1
202733MLBCOL707307410%1.022.3%12.5%9.8%3.3%4.874.97-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317410%1.122.3%12.5%9.8%3.3%4.874.59-0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844190109270%1.122.3%12.5%9.8%3.3%4.874.59+1.9
Career221103271471345277335%1.523.4%18.8%4.6%2.2%4.514.73+2.6
/ 200 IP1356200900211169205%1.523.4%18.8%4.6%2.2%4.514.73+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kyle Wilcox (OGILVIE) 4.76 22.7%12.3%3.0% 4.97 22.3%9.8%20 +0.21
Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 90
Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 83
Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 82
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 32 SU 3.77 20.4%10.0%2.1%.331 5.83 17.9%3.7%41 +2.06 3.37 170 82
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 81
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 32 SU 4.66 22.8%10.1%4.0%.280 3.59 27.2%17.5%149 -1.07 3.07 363 78
Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 78
David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 32 SU 4.23 24.5%10.9%3.3%.289 3.49 26.7%16.6%84 -0.74 2.51 373 77
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 32 SU 4.31 23.2%9.2%3.6%.319 2.62 28.5%21.7%186 -1.69 2.01 380 77
Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 32 SU 3.63 24.4%14.0%1.5%.281 2.40 231 77
Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 76
Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.57 FIP 30 SU 3.57 22.3%11.0%1.7%.247 3.57 224 76
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP 32 SU 5.28 20.4%10.1%4.8%.362 4.22 17.0%8.6%21 -1.06 2.90 227 75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 75
Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP 31 SU 4.23 15.7%10.7%2.0%.341 3.46 108 74
Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 74
Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 32 SU 4.06 23.4%10.9%2.8%.279 6.10 21.4%13.8%38 +2.04 2.54 157 74
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 32 SU 3.66 22.0%7.3%2.7%.256 4.24 20.5%9.0%16 +0.58 3.57 137 74
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 32 SU 3.56 22.7%10.4%1.9%.255 4.23 24.1%13.8%97 +0.67 3.41 212 73
Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.78 FIP 30 SU 3.78 25.7%11.8%2.5%.241 2.69 168 73