Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 36 | 9 | 76 | 365 | 80 | 68 | 2 | 25% | 2.1 | 16.2% | 22.0% | -5.8% | 0.7% | 7.11 | 4.93 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 36 | 9 | 76 | 365 | 80 | 68 | 2 | 25% | 2.1 | 21.9% | 18.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 7.11 | 4.02 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 21 | 0 | 33 | 147 | 52 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 16.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 3.78 | 5.28 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 21 | 0 | 33 | 147 | 52 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 35.4% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 2.7% | 3.78 | 3.43 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 94 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.7% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 1.1% | 3.38 | 2.77 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 94 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 37.9% | 11.7% | 26.2% | 1.6% | 3.38 | 2.26 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 62 | 277 | 91 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.21 | 5.80 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 62 | 277 | 91 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 1.4% | 3.21 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 17 | 74 | 24 | 19 | 1 | 6% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 26.6% | -1.4% | 2.4% | 2.16 | 5.67 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 1 | 17 | 74 | 24 | 19 | 1 | 6% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 25.7% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 2.16 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 55 | 227 | 72 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 2.62 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 55 | 227 | 72 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 2.62 | 2.81 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 16 | 0 | 26 | 133 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 19.7% | 0.1% | 3.5% | 9.12 | 5.83 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 16 | 0 | 26 | 133 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.6% | 18.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 9.12 | 6.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | COL | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 221 | 10 | 327 | 1471 | 345 | 277 | 33 | 5% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 18.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 4.51 | 4.73 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 6 | 200 | 900 | 211 | 169 | 20 | 5% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 18.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 4.51 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Wilcox (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.97 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 20 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 83 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 77 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.5% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.40 | 231 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 75 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.56 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 1.9% | .255 | 4.23 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.67 | 3.41 | 212 | 73 |
| Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 73 |