Kyle Wilcox
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.1
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.7%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%10.4%
IP26
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 36 | 9 | 76 | 365 | 80 | 68 | 2 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 0.7% | 7.11 | 4.92 | +0.1 |
| 2017 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | 21 | 0 | 33 | 147 | 52 | 21 | 4 | 26.2% | 16.9% | 3.8% | 3.78 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 37 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 94 | 29 | 4 | 29.7% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 3.38 | 2.78 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 46 | 0 | 62 | 277 | 91 | 48 | 4 | 25.1% | 21.2% | 2.7% | 3.21 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 17 | 1 | 17 | 74 | 24 | 19 | 1 | 25.1% | 26.6% | 2.2% | 2.16 | 5.55 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 48 | 0 | 55 | 227 | 72 | 34 | 2 | 25.9% | 16.2% | 1.4% | 2.62 | 3.73 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 16 | 0 | 26 | 133 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 19.8% | 19.7% | 3.9% | 9.12 | 6.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | COL | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 24 | — | 24 | 103 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 221 | 10 | 327 | 1471 | 345 | 277 | 29 | 23.4% | 18.8% | 2.0% | 4.51 | 4.57 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 6 | 200 | 900 | 211 | 169 | 18 | 23.4% | 18.8% | 2.0% | 4.51 | 4.57 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Wilcox (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.83 | 22.5% | 10.3% | 24 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 93 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 84 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 84 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 81 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.85 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 231 | 80 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 79 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 78 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 78 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 77 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 76 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 76 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 22.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .255 | 4.50 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.38 | 212 | 75 |
| Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 168 | 75 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 74 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.