Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 28 | 24 | 40 | 190 | 42 | 21 | 6 | 86% | 1.4 | 17.0% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.58 | 5.79 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 28 | 24 | 40 | 190 | 42 | 21 | 6 | 86% | 1.4 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 22 | 0 | 27 | 107 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 2.0% | 1.67 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 22 | 0 | 27 | 107 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.8% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 1.9% | 1.67 | 2.95 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 50 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 51 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 16.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.00 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 50 | 0 | 54 | 251 | 51 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 15.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 5.00 | 4.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 54 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 17.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.65 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 52 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.59 | 5.64 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 49 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.63 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.59 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.63 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 0 | 59 | 248 | 46 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 16.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.61 | 5.31 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 140 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 16.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.61 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 100 | 24 | 121 | 548 | 104 | 78 | 17 | 24% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 5.00 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 40 | 200 | 903 | 171 | 129 | 28 | 24% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Boyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.65 | 18.4% | 17.4% | 2.8% | — | 5.68 | 18.6% | 2.0% | 128 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 82 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 78 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.15 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 237 | 77 |
| Trey Haley R 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 77 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 77 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 76 |
| Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 76 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 76 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 76 |
| Jordan Gore R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 75 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 5.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 3.1% | .229 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 189 | 74 |
| Charles Hall R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 19.1% | 1.9% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.43 | 181 | 74 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 73 |
| Stevie Branche R 2025 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 73 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 72 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 72 |
| Daniel Harper R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.08 | 16.6% | 18.8% | 1.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 128 | 72 |
| Mike Hepple R 2024 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 72 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 18.5% | 16.9% | 1.14 | 5.62 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |