Hayden Snelsire
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%17.5%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.41 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 2 | 45 | 196 | 50 | 24 | 4 | 9% | 2.0 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.18 | 5.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 2 | 45 | 196 | 50 | 24 | 4 | 9% | 2.0 | 25.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 2.18 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 10 | 79 | 305 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 45% | 3.6 | 18.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 2.97 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 10 | 79 | 305 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 45% | 3.6 | 23.6% | 5.6% | 18.0% | 2.0% | 2.97 | 2.91 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 26 | 1 | 37 | 164 | 41 | 12 | 8 | 4% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 6.0% | 5.30 | 5.43 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 52 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 107 | 460 | 93 | 35 | 17 | — | — | 20.2% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.92 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 54 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 59 | 25 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 66 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 13 | 164 | 675 | 131 | 58 | 27 | 18% | 2.2 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 3.23 | 4.75 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 16 | 200 | 822 | 159 | 71 | 33 | 18% | 2.2 | 19.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 3.23 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hayden Snelsire (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.60 | 18.4% | 10.5% | 139 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 88 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 88 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 88 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 87 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 86 |
| Trevor Foss R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .308 | 3.47 | 17.3% | 13.8% | 42 | -0.96 | 3.47 | 120 | 86 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 86 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 85 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 85 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Hunter McMahon R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .301 | 6.46 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 14 | +2.43 | 2.23 | 174 | 84 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.63 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .317 | 4.89 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 89 | +1.26 | 3.63 | 239 | 84 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 84 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 119 | 83 |
| Rafael Pineda R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.14 | 14.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | .298 | 5.49 | 6.5% | -3.4% | 20 | +1.35 | 4.14 | 101 | 83 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 83 |
| Daniel Blair R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 171 | 83 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.19 | 15.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 4.52 | 15.2% | 4.8% | 103 | +0.33 | 3.84 | 420 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 18.1% | 7.9% | 1.18 | 4.61 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |