Ryan Shreve
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 28
RHP
6'7" / 233 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%17.5%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 1 | 50 | 211 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 3% | 1.7 | 25.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 3.62 | 3.24 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 1 | 50 | 211 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 3% | 1.7 | 34.6% | 10.0% | 24.6% | 0.9% | 3.62 | 1.95 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 28 | 2 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 7% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 3.08 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 28 | 2 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 7% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 1.3% | 3.08 | 2.84 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 44 | 0 | 71 | 309 | 63 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.54 | 5.13 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 44 | 0 | 71 | 309 | 63 | 27 | 12 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 4.54 | 4.66 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 73 | 314 | 70 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 4.19 | 3.82 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 73 | 314 | 70 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 3.63 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 1 | 59 | 279 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 3% | 2.0 | 11.6% | 11.2% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 6.71 | 4.96 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 1 | 59 | 279 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 3% | 2.0 | 13.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.71 | 5.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | TB | 43 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TB | 41 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TB | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 90 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 171 | 4 | 291 | 1272 | 226 | 129 | 33 | 2% | 1.7 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.28 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 3 | 200 | 874 | 156 | 88 | 22 | 2% | 1.7 | 17.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.55 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Shreve (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.92 | 17.9% | 7.8% | 43 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 90 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 86 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 86 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 85 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 85 |
| Drew Hayes R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 84 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 84 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 83 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 83 |
| Jose Casilla R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 82 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2029 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 82 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 82 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.27 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 164 | +0.82 | 3.76 | 399 | 82 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 82 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 81 |
| Collin Balester R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 44 | 17.7% | 10.0% | 1.14 | 4.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |