Trevin Michael
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.1%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.7% | 8.2% | 26.5% | 6.1% | 5.84 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.7% | 8.2% | 26.5% | 6.1% | 5.84 | 4.48 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 50 | 212 | 67 | 24 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 1.0% | 3.44 | 2.74 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 1 | 50 | 212 | 67 | 24 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 0.5% | 3.44 | 2.11 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 1 | 58 | 229 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 3.12 | 4.55 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 1 | 58 | 229 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 3% | 1.5 | 29.7% | 7.0% | 22.7% | 3.1% | 3.12 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 66 | 266 | 79 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 2.18 | 4.08 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 66 | 266 | 79 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 29.7% | 8.6% | 21.1% | 1.5% | 2.18 | 2.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 29 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 47 | 24 | 1 | 3% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 16.3% | 7.2% | 0.7% | 1.36 | 3.59 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 77 | 318 | 83 | 38 | 6 | — | — | 26.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 2.79 | 3.94 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.06 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 85 | 34 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 159 | 3 | 225 | 918 | 218 | 90 | 25 | 2% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.76 | 3.83 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 3 | 200 | 815 | 193 | 80 | 22 | 2% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.76 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevin Michael (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 22.9% | 13.8% | 35 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 92 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 87 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 86 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 86 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 86 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 85 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 84 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 84 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 84 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 84 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 83 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 83 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 83 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .277 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | -0.06 | 2.78 | 596 | 83 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 83 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 81 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | .275 | 3.73 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 103 | -0.47 | 2.59 | 309 | 81 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 81 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.35 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 158 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 1.20 | 4.36 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |