Trevin Michael — OGILVIE

Trevin Michael P Erie SeaWolves

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.26

FIP4.26

K%22.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	0	12	49	17	4	3	0%	1.2	34.7%	8.2%	26.5%	6.1%	5.84	4.56	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	0	12	49	17	4	3	0%	1.2	34.7%	8.2%	26.5%	6.1%	5.84	4.48	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	1	50	212	67	24	1	2%	1.2	23.2%	8.3%	14.9%	0.9%	3.44	2.66	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	1	50	212	67	24	1	2%	1.2	23.2%	8.3%	14.9%	0.9%	3.44	2.66	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	1	50	212	67	24	1	2%	1.2	31.6%	11.3%	20.3%	0.5%	3.44	2.11	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	58	229	68	16	7	3%	1.5	22.9%	7.6%	15.2%	4.1%	3.12	4.40	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	58	229	68	16	7	3%	1.5	22.9%	7.6%	15.2%	4.1%	3.12	4.40	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	1	58	229	68	16	7	3%	1.5	29.7%	7.0%	22.7%	3.1%	3.12	3.15	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	66	266	79	23	4	0%	1.7	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	2.7%	2.18	3.77	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	66	266	79	23	4	0%	1.7	23.0%	9.1%	13.9%	2.7%	2.18	3.77	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	66	266	79	23	4	0%	1.7	29.7%	8.6%	21.1%	1.5%	2.18	2.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	38	1	49	202	61	28	1	3%	1.3	24.5%	15.2%	9.2%	0.6%	1.46	3.29	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	38	1	49	202	61	28	1	3%	1.3	24.5%	15.2%	9.2%	0.6%	1.46	3.29	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	DET	38	1	49	202	61	28	1	3%	1.3	30.2%	13.9%	16.3%	0.5%	1.46	2.58	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	DET	34	0	35	149	34	13	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.7%	3.1%	4.35	4.40	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	DET	10	0	11	46	11	4	1	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.0%	13.7%	3.1%	4.35	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	11	4	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.7%	3.1%	4.35	4.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	72	18	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.0%	13.7%	3.1%	4.35	4.02	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		168	3	235	958	229	94	23	2%	1.4	23.9%	9.8%	14.1%	2.4%	2.72	3.62	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	3	200	815	195	80	19	2%	1.4	23.9%	9.8%	14.1%	2.4%	2.72	3.62	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevin Michael (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.26	22.8%	8.7%	2.9%	—	4.40	22.6%	13.7%	35	+0.14	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	91
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	88
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	88
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	87
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	86
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	85
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	85
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	84
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	84
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	84
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	84
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	83
Ryan Tepera R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.81	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.70	2.35	445	83
J.J. Hoover R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	28	SU	4.56	22.6%	8.6%	4.2%	.350	5.77	20.3%	10.0%	137	+1.21	4.22	258	83
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	83
Blake Treinen R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	24.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.271	3.04	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.28	1.53	547	83
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	83
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	82
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	22.7%	8.8%	1.16	4.30
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79