Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 16 | 61 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 1.15 | 1.92 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 16 | 61 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% | 1.15 | 2.01 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 43 | 0 | 58 | 242 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 4.53 | 4.86 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 43 | 0 | 58 | 242 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 6.6% | 20.7% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 3.00 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.4% | 17.9% | -3.6% | 3.9% | 6.40 | 6.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 15.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 6.40 | 4.86 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 21 | 4 | 40 | 175 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 19% | 1.9 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.67 | 6.44 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ATL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.95 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 63 | 273 | 58 | 29 | 12 | — | — | 21.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 5.41 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 89 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 4 | 145 | 628 | 119 | 70 | 28 | 4% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.89 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 6 | 200 | 864 | 164 | 96 | 39 | 4% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.89 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Shay Schanaman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% | — | 4.92 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 23 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.82 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .313 | 4.72 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 84 | -0.10 | 4.36 | 194 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 83 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 82 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 82 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 82 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 82 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.24 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 4.5% | .293 | 4.39 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.85 | 1.27 | 164 | 82 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 106 | 82 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 82 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .304 | 3.13 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 51 | -1.15 | 3.02 | 214 | 82 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .331 | 9.13 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.87 | 4.53 | 108 | 81 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.21 | 18.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 152 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |