Player 822180 — OGILVIE

Player 822180— DSL NYY Bombers

Age — —/— ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 77 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .312 / .294

PA77

HR1

K%23

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	NYY	—	81	67	17	2	0	2	8	13	5	3	3	254	375	373	748	119	283	16	10	348	124	+2	-1	+0	-1	+2	0.3
YTD	—	ROK	NYY	—	81	62	21	3	0	3	13	9	5	3	3	339	487	532	1.020	194	353	11	16	450	202	+9	-1	+0	-1	+2	1.0
ROS	—	ROK	NYY	0%	77	68	15	2	0	1	7	18	2	1	1	221	312	294	606	74	289	23	9	300	88	-1	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
ROS	—	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	NYY	—	81	68	17	2	0	2	8	13	5	3	3	250	375	368	743	118	278	16	10	348	124	+2	-1	+0	-1	+2	0.3
TOT	—	ROK	NYY	—	158	135	32	4	0	3	15	31	7	4	4	237	344	333	677	96	284	20	9	325	107	+1	-1	+0	-3	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	0%	160	141	33	5	1	3	14	37	4	2	1	234	321	348	668	113	291	23	9	304	91	-2	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.0
2028	25	MLB	NYY	0%	306	270	64	10	1	7	26	70	7	3	1	237	320	359	679	122	291	23	8	306	93	-3	+0	+0	-5	+9	0.1
2029	25	MLB	NYY	0%	404	358	84	13	2	9	34	92	9	4	1	235	317	358	674	123	291	23	8	307	93	-3	+0	+0	-7	+11	0.2
2030	25	MLB	NYY	0%	469	415	99	16	2	11	40	107	11	4	2	239	322	366	688	128	291	23	9	308	94	-3	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.2
2031	25	MLB	NYY	0%	514	453	107	17	2	12	44	118	12	5	2	236	320	362	682	126	290	23	9	308	94	-3	+0	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	NYY	0%	545	481	114	18	2	13	47	125	12	5	2	237	320	364	684	127	290	23	9	309	94	-3	+0	+0	-10	+15	0.3
2033	25	MLB	NYY	0%	567	500	119	19	2	14	49	130	13	5	2	238	322	368	690	130	290	23	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2027	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	292	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	293	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	294	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3042	2686	635	100	12	70	261	697	70	29	12	236	320	361	681	124	292	23	9	308	94	-22	+1	+0	-54	+86	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	136	21	3	15	56	149	15	6	3	237	321	362	683	125	293	23	9	308	94	-5	+0	+0	-12	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,123	71	28	237	317	361	-35	+0	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	15	6	237	317	361	-7.4	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#4Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822180 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	237/344/333	96	284	3	4	20%	9%	107	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
●Troy Johnston 2022 · A	25	48→49	45→55	48→55	47	234/302/356	122	303	12	6	26%	8%	85	+0.7	235/298/378	143	295	15	11	25%	7%	89	+1.0	237/298/400	162	284	18	23	23%	6%	92	+1.1
✕Issmael Salas 2007 · A	25	48→50	45→50	46→50	42	236/285/367	130	292	11	5	23%	5%	81	+0.4	247/292/350	103	275	9	8	14%	5%	79	+0.3	273/317/372	99	305	8	11	13%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Kody Hoese 2021 · A	24	47→49	45→50	50→40	46	230/289/353	123	281	12	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	196/238/279	83	268	8	4	29%	5%	37	-2.6	233/288/370	137	291	15	1	25%	6%	80	+0.3
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
●Jantzen Witte 2015 · A	25	50→57	44→50	47→45	43	240/292/368	128	311	9	5	25%	6%	84	+0.6	245/300/351	106	305	6	6	20%	6%	82	+0.5	254/303/382	128	327	14	6	26%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
●Jonah Bride 2021 · A	25	46→51	42→50	50→45	42	221/287/321	101	297	9	5	28%	6%	70	-0.3	233/324/379	146	278	16	5	21%	10%	102	+1.8	247/344/405	158	285	19	3	19%	11%	113	+2.0
●Spencer Packard 2023 · A	25	44→52	45→50	50→40	47	219/290/341	122	260	13	7	21%	7%	77	+0.1	243/317/379	136	283	15	3	19%	8%	98	+1.6	243/323/372	129	281	14	1	18%	9%	96	+1.2
✕Damek Tomscha 2017 · A	25	48→57	43→45	48→40	45	234/297/354	121	275	9	4	18%	5%	83	+0.6	243/298/358	115	292	12	4	20%	5%	84	+0.6	236/291/345	109	288	13	2	22%	5%	76	+0.0
●Adam Rosales 2007 · A	24	43→49	46→55	46→45	43	218/275/347	129	276	13	7	26%	6%	72	-0.2	233/297/384	151	286	13	8	23%	6%	91	+1.1	237/303/394	157	285	14	8	21%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Kevin Nolan 2013 · A	25	50→48	42→45	47→50	49	238/299/349	110	287	8	10	20%	8%	82	+0.5	231/276/331	100	272	8	8	18%	6%	67	-0.5	226/267/315	90	262	7	7	16%	5%	56	-1.0
●Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	49→53	44→55	50→45	48	239/304/362	123	299	11	8	23%	8%	88	+0.9	247/307/403	156	296	18	6	22%	8%	100	+1.7	252/313/421	168	295	20	4	21%	8%	104	+1.6
✕Michael Wagner 2006 · A	24	49	44→50	51→40	41	235/305/365	129	321	10	6	28%	6%	89	+1.0	223/271/355	132	330	13	6	35%	5%	72	-0.2	224/264/357	133	336	14	4	36%	4%	66	-0.3
✕Nic Crosta 2007 · A	24	49	47→55	49→45	45	236/304/381	145	326	13	6	30%	8%	93	+1.3	205/268/356	151	298	17	6	35%	7%	72	-0.2	147/211/314	167	194	24	1	39%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Matt Lauderdale 2006 · A	25	46	48→55	47→40	47	230/291/381	151	279	14	5	23%	7%	87	+0.8	223/285/356	133	286	13	6	25%	8%	79	+0.3	197/271/326	130	246	12	0	24%	9%	63	-0.2
✕Matt Duffy 2013 · A	24	49→50	45→50	45→40	43	241/317/366	125	299	12	5	23%	5%	96	+1.5	235/292/369	134	296	15	3	25%	5%	85	+0.7	235/289/369	134	292	16	2	25%	5%	81	+0.4
✕David Smith 2006 · A	25	50→51	48→55	46→45	44	247/296/390	143	305	15	6	24%	6%	92	+1.2	230/285/396	166	292	19	5	27%	6%	89	+1.0	223/285/400	176	282	21	4	28%	7%	86	+0.7