Poly Ojeda

C DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#537ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	148	.312/.473/.536	5	5	86	—	.200/.342/.325
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBNYY	258	.226/.310/.328	3	5	83	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBNYY	45	.231/.315/.342	1	1	87	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBNYY	114	.234/.319/.353	2	3	91	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA93

wRC+89

ISO88

K%87

Whiff%78

BB%74

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsAlfredo Duno (age 18) · Michael Arroyo (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .308 / .325

PA76

HR1

K%23

BB%9

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$53M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$24M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	112	35	6	2	5	28	20	6	5	4	312	473	536	1.008	223	337	14	19	440	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	120	24	4	1	3	20	24	6	5	4	200	342	325	667	125	220	16	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	120	24	4	1	3	20	24	6	5	4	200	342	325	667	125	221	16	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	112	35	6	2	5	28	20	6	5	4	312	473	536	1.008	223	337	14	19	440	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	121	24	4	1	3	20	24	6	5	4	198	342	322	665	124	220	16	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	148	121	24	4	1	3	20	24	6	5	4	198	342	322	665	124	220	16	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	258	229	52	9	3	3	23	59	4	5	1	226	310	328	638	101	288	23	9	291	83	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	131	116	26	4	1	2	12	30	2	3	1	230	315	339	653	109	290	23	9	297	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	235	207	48	8	2	4	22	53	4	6	2	233	318	348	667	115	292	23	9	302	91	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	358	315	73	12	3	6	33	80	7	9	3	236	321	357	678	121	293	22	9	306	94	-3	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	445	393	94	16	4	9	41	99	8	11	4	238	322	364	686	126	294	22	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	445	393	94	16	4	9	41	99	8	11	4	240	324	370	694	131	294	22	9	312	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	445	393	94	16	4	9	41	99	8	11	4	241	325	373	698	133	295	22	9	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	445	393	95	16	4	10	41	99	8	11	4	241	325	375	700	134	295	22	9	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	445	393	95	16	4	10	41	99	8	11	4	241	325	376	701	135	295	22	9	315	100	-0	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYY	62%	445	393	95	16	4	10	41	99	8	10	4	240	324	373	698	133	294	22	9	314	99	-1	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYY	63%	445	393	94	16	4	9	41	100	8	10	4	238	322	369	691	130	293	22	9	311	97	-2	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	445	393	93	15	4	9	41	101	8	10	4	236	319	362	681	127	292	23	9	307	94	-3	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	445	395	92	15	4	9	40	103	7	10	5	232	315	354	669	122	290	23	9	303	91	-5	+0	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	426	378	86	14	3	8	38	100	7	9	6	228	310	344	654	116	287	23	9	297	87	-7	-1	-3	+8	+9	0.7
2041	32	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	407	362	81	13	3	7	36	97	6	8	8	223	304	331	635	109	283	24	9	289	82	-9	-2	-4	+7	+9	0.2
2042	33	MLB MLE	NYY	65%	387	344	74	11	3	6	34	95	6	7	11	216	297	316	613	100	278	25	9	280	76	-11	-3	-4	+7	+8	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	45	40	9	1	0	1	4	10	1	1	0	231	315	342	658	112	290	22	9	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	114	101	24	4	1	2	10	26	2	3	1	234	319	353	672	119	292	23	9	304	91	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.4
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	194	170	41	7	2	4	18	43	4	5	2	237	322	362	683	125	293	22	9	309	94	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	252	222	53	9	2	5	23	56	5	6	2	239	323	369	693	131	294	22	9	312	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	256	226	54	9	2	6	23	57	5	6	2	241	325	376	700	135	294	22	9	315	98	-1	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	254	224	54	9	2	6	23	56	5	6	2	242	326	379	705	137	295	22	9	317	99	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	252	222	54	9	2	6	23	56	5	6	2	242	326	381	707	139	295	22	9	318	99	-0	+0	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	269	237	56	9	2	6	25	60	5	6	2	243	326	382	708	140	295	22	9	318	100	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYY	62%	277	245	58	10	2	6	25	62	5	7	2	241	325	379	705	138	295	22	9	317	99	-0	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYY	63%	282	249	59	10	2	6	26	63	5	6	3	239	323	374	697	135	294	22	9	314	97	-1	+0	-0	+5	+6	1.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	289	256	60	10	2	6	26	66	5	6	3	237	320	368	688	131	292	23	9	310	94	-2	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	289	256	60	10	2	6	26	67	5	6	3	233	316	359	676	126	290	23	9	305	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	277	246	56	9	2	5	25	65	4	6	4	229	311	349	660	120	287	23	9	299	87	-4	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2041	32	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	265	236	53	8	2	5	23	63	4	5	5	223	305	336	641	112	283	24	9	291	82	-6	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2042	33	MLB CTX	NYY	65%	252	224	48	7	2	4	22	62	4	5	7	217	297	320	618	103	278	25	9	282	76	-7	-2	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3567	3154	739	121	27	74	322	812	64	80	40	234	318	360	678	126	291	23	9	308	93	-30	+0	-10	+64	+77	10.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	134	22	5	13	59	148	12	15	7	233	318	357	674	123	290	23	9	308	93	-6	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6173	5449	1274	211	53	121	570	1394	110	144	72	234	319	359	677	125	291	23	9	305	93	-51	+1	-15	+108	+131	17.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	135	22	6	13	60	147	12	15	8	235	320	362	683	127	293	23	9	305	93	-5	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 148 PAwOBA .436 → .296 (−140)K% 13.5% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.51%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.92%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.24%
HBP% /PA	4.05%	—	×0.700	—	—	2.84%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.016	—	16.53%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.016	—	3.98%
Triples /BIP	2.17%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.016	—	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	5.43%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	2.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .436 → .296; ISO .223 → .127; BABIP .337 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Johnny Edwards'61-'74 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,132 PA	7.7	5,132	81	15	240*	313*	380*	+92	+0	16.7	16.2
/162	664	10	2	+11.9	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 16
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	5.5	3,642	70	82	235	315	359	+65	+40	13.4	10.9
/162	664	13	15	+11.9	+7.3	2.4	pk7: 8
#4Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Poly Ojeda (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	224/308/325	100	288	1	2	23%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
●Franklin Arias 2024 · A	18	48→58	37→50	46→50	52	223/290/295	72	258	3	6	15%	8%	68	-1.0	246/303/362	116	293	11	14	19%	7%	88	+0.5	260/316/394	134	300	15	13	18%	6%	99	+1.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4

Poly Ojeda

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps