Joendry Vargas — OGILVIE

Joendry VargasSS Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION372 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .268 / .349

PA248

HR5

SB9

K%26

BB%4

BABIP288

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$10M	+$8M
2033	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$9M	+$6M
2034	Arb-3	$10M	+1.9	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$24M		$60M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	208	185	44	9	1	3	19	45	1	19	5	238	312	346	658	108	293	22	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	208	174	57	12	1	7	30	31	1	19	5	328	429	529	958	201	360	15	14	417	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	153	31	6	2	3	11	58	5	11	5	203	278	327	605	124	298	34	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	142	43	9	3	4	21	39	5	11	5	303	408	493	901	190	386	23	12	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	125	21	2	1	3	8	56	1	17	2	168	224	272	496	104	261	41	6	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	122	27	3	1	4	11	41	1	17	2	221	291	361	652	139	287	30	8	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	LAD	—	372	351	80	16	3	7	13	96	5	16	8	228	266	350	616	123	291	26	3	266	62	-16	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.2
YTD	20	A	LAD	—	372	345	93	20	4	8	19	72	5	16	8	270	317	420	737	151	317	19	5	325	107	+3	+0	+0	+4	+11	1.8
ROS	20	A	LAD	0%	248	232	52	10	2	5	11	65	3	9	4	224	268	349	617	125	282	26	4	270	65	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	258	55	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	LAD	—	372	352	80	16	3	7	13	96	5	16	8	227	266	349	615	122	290	26	3	266	62	-16	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.2
TOT	20	A	LAD	—	620	583	132	26	5	12	24	161	8	25	12	226	267	350	617	123	290	26	4	268	63	-26	+0	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	581	540	122	23	4	14	29	148	7	14	5	226	274	361	635	135	283	25	5	281	73	-18	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.5
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	609	564	129	24	4	16	33	152	7	14	5	229	280	371	650	142	285	25	5	292	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+17	1.1
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	627	580	136	25	4	19	35	154	7	13	5	234	286	390	676	155	286	25	6	300	88	-9	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	638	589	140	26	4	20	37	155	7	13	5	238	291	397	688	160	287	24	6	305	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.9
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	637	587	141	26	4	21	37	154	8	12	5	240	294	405	700	165	287	24	6	308	94	-5	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	629	580	139	25	4	21	37	152	7	12	5	240	293	405	698	166	287	24	6	309	95	-4	+0	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	619	570	136	25	4	20	37	150	7	12	4	239	293	402	695	163	287	24	6	309	95	-4	+1	-1	+7	+18	2.0
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	609	560	133	24	4	20	37	148	7	11	4	237	293	402	695	164	287	24	6	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.9
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	598	549	130	24	4	19	37	147	7	10	4	237	293	399	692	162	286	25	6	307	93	-5	+0	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2036	30	MLB	LAD	53%	587	539	128	23	4	19	36	145	7	9	4	237	294	401	695	163	285	25	6	304	91	-6	+0	-3	+6	+17	1.4
2037	31	MLB	LAD	52%	576	528	122	22	3	18	36	145	7	9	3	231	289	386	675	155	283	25	6	300	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.1
2038	32	MLB	LAD	52%	564	518	118	21	3	17	35	144	6	8	3	228	284	378	663	151	280	26	6	295	84	-10	+0	-5	+6	+16	0.8
2039	33	MLB	LAD	52%	487	449	100	17	3	14	30	127	5	6	2	223	279	367	646	145	277	26	6	288	79	-12	+0	-5	+5	+14	0.2
2040	34	MLB	LAD	47%	412	380	82	14	2	11	25	110	4	5	2	216	271	350	621	134	271	27	6	279	72	-13	+0	-6	+4	+12	-0.3
2041	35	MLB	LAD	43%	352	324	68	11	2	9	21	96	4	4	1	210	266	340	606	130	265	27	6	269	64	-14	+0	-6	+4	+10	-0.7
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	200	186	42	8	1	5	10	51	2	5	2	226	273	360	633	134	279	26	5	269	64	-8	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	295	274	63	12	2	8	16	74	3	7	2	230	280	376	656	146	281	25	5	279	72	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	340	314	72	13	2	10	19	83	4	7	3	229	282	379	661	150	282	24	6	287	78	-8	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	354	326	76	14	2	11	21	86	4	7	3	233	288	390	677	156	283	24	6	292	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	357	329	77	14	2	11	21	86	4	7	3	234	288	389	677	155	283	24	6	295	84	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	354	326	76	14	2	11	21	85	4	7	3	233	288	390	677	156	283	24	6	296	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	342	314	74	13	2	11	21	83	4	6	2	236	292	395	687	159	283	24	6	296	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	334	307	72	13	2	11	20	81	4	6	2	235	290	397	687	163	283	24	6	295	84	-6	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	319	292	68	12	2	10	20	78	4	5	2	233	291	390	682	158	282	24	6	294	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.5
2036	30	MLB	LAD	53%	309	283	67	12	2	10	19	77	4	5	2	237	294	399	693	163	281	25	6	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2037	31	MLB	LAD	52%	300	275	63	11	2	9	19	75	3	4	2	229	286	382	668	153	279	25	6	288	78	-7	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.2
2038	32	MLB	LAD	52%	292	269	61	11	2	8	18	74	3	4	2	227	283	372	655	145	277	25	6	283	74	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
2039	33	MLB	LAD	52%	252	232	51	9	1	7	15	66	3	3	1	220	276	358	634	138	273	26	6	276	69	-9	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	LAD	47%	194	178	38	6	1	5	12	52	2	2	1	213	271	343	614	129	267	27	6	268	63	-8	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.3
2041	35	MLB	LAD	43%	150	138	29	5	1	4	9	41	2	2	1	210	268	348	616	138	261	27	6	258	56	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4392	4044	929	167	26	131	261	1092	50	77	31	230	285	381	666	151	280	25	6	287	78	-110	+3	-22	+47	+124	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	138	25	4	19	39	162	7	11	5	231	286	381	667	151	283	25	6	287	78	-16	+0	-3	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	9289	8552	1972	357	59	272	551	2351	107	208	73	231	286	382	667	151	284	25	6	296	85	-162	+12	-44	+100	+263	17.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	138	25	4	19	39	165	7	15	5	231	286	381	667	151	285	25	6	296	85	-11	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	208	174	57	12	1	7	30	31	1	19	5	328	429	529	958	201	360	15	14	417	177	+18	+2	—	—	+6	2.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	171	142	43	9	3	4	21	39	5	11	5	303	408	493	901	190	386	23	12	395	160	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	122	27	3	1	4	11	41	1	17	2	221	291	361	652	139	287	30	8	288	78	-3	+3	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,610	138	84	233	285	388	+47	+0	10.6	9.2
	/162	664	20	12	233	285	388	+6.8	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joendry Vargas (OGILVIE)	20	20→36	30→53	50→48	50	226/267/350	123	290	12	25	26%	4%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2021 · A	20	41→48	42→55	52→55	41	203/255/306	103	257	10	13	25%	5%	53	-1.5	230/269/385	155	293	16	19	27%	4%	79	+0.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Austin Hedges 2013 · A	20	44→40	41→60	45	43	217/266/317	100	264	9	12	21%	5%	59	-1.1	212/257/309	97	270	8	7	24%	5%	53	-1.5	227/269/415	187	271	26	4	27%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Wendell Rijo 2016 · A	20	42→41	42→55	49→50	40	204/258/310	106	288	8	12	31%	6%	55	-1.4	194/248/276	82	270	6	10	29%	6%	41	-2.3	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	38→46	41→60	45→50	45	191/254/284	93	244	9	12	26%	7%	46	-2.0	204/249/323	119	290	12	11	33%	5%	54	-1.4	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Christian Villanueva 2012 · A	21	43→47	42→55	53→50	40	213/260/324	111	270	9	16	24%	4%	59	-1.1	216/266/343	127	281	13	9	27%	4%	67	-0.5	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Jake Marisnick 2011 · A	20	41→51	41→60	55	40	201/260/303	102	269	7	18	27%	5%	54	-1.4	229/284/355	126	294	11	19	25%	5%	78	+0.2	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	52	-1.6	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	74	-0.1	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	224/280/353	129	280	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.0	226/277/353	127	285	14	8	25%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Brayan Buelvas 2022 · A	20	38→40	44→50	51→55	40	195/255/315	120	270	12	13	32%	6%	55	-1.4	189/251/317	128	263	13	17	32%	6%	54	-1.4	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	47→49	42→60	53→50	44	231/283/337	106	284	10	17	22%	6%	72	-0.2	205/251/302	97	288	8	15	30%	5%	50	-1.8	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8