Joendry Vargas

SS Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP40OGV rank#365ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKLAD171.303/.408/.49341172—.204/.284/.329
202519ALAA137.221/.291/.36141732—.168/.224/.272
202620ALAD554.293/.335/.452122478—.250/.284/.374
2027PROJMLE21MLBLAD575.218/.258/.334101564-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBLAD158.220/.263/.34944730.0
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBLAD249.225/.270/.36776800.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$4M2033Arb-2$6M2034Arb-3$8M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Whiff%78
K%77
Speed70
Z-Con%65
ISO64
wOBA47
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -1.0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 85%
CompsJohan Mieses (age 21) · Jeter Downs (age 21) · Tucker Mitchell (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .256 / .331
PA210
HR4
SB5
K%25
BB%4
ISO116
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.81.60.30.60.70.80.80.727282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$10M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Arb-1$4M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-2$6M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-3$8M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $3M $11M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL LAD Bautista — 208174 571217 30311 195 328429529958 201360 1514 417 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Dodgers — 171142 43934 21395 115 303408493901 190386 2312 395 72 — — — — — —
202519 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137122 27314 11411 172 221291361652 139287 308 288 32 — — — — — —
202620 AOntario Tower Buzzers — 554515 15134612 271046 2410 293335452788 159344 195 345 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 208182 39813 22381 195 214302319621 104236 1811 267 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171152 31623 12575 115 204284329613 125295 337 274 72 — — — — — —
202519 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137125 21213 8561 172 168224272496 104254 416 216 32 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 554524 1312859 191416 2410 250284374658 124316 253 284 78 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 208182 39813 22381 195 214302319621 104250 1811 267 67 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL LAD Bautista — 208174 571217 30311 195 328429529958 201360 1514 417 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171152 31623 12575 115 204284329613 125298 337 274 72 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 171142 43934 21395 115 303408493901 190386 2312 395 72 — — — — — —
202519 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137125 21213 8561 172 168224272496 104261 416 216 32 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137122 27314 11411 172 221291361652 139287 308 288 32 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 554524 1312859 191416 2410 250284374658 124322 253 284 78 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWOntario Tower Buzzers — 554515 15134612 271046 2410 293335452788 159344 195 345 78 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Bautista — 208183 39813 22381 195 213302317619 104236 1811 267 67 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171152 31623 12575 115 204284329613 125295 337 274 72 — — — — — —
202519 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137127 21213 8561 172 165224268492 102254 416 216 32 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 554524 1312859 191416 2410 250284374658 124316 253 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 171152 31623 12575 115 204284329613 125295 337 274 72 — — — — — —
202519 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 137127 21213 8561 172 165224268492 102254 416 216 32 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEOntario Tower Buzzers — 554524 1312859 191416 2410 250284374658 124316 253 284 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAD 0% 575540 11723410 241446 155 218258334592 116275 254 263 64 -24 +1 -1 +6 +12 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAD 34% 461433 9619310 201135 114 224267355622 131277 254 276 73 -15 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.1
202923 MLB MLELAD 48% 513479 11021413 241245 124 229274373647 143279 245 286 80 -12 +1 +1 +5 +11 0.6
203024 MLB MLELAD 53% 550513 12023416 271315 124 233279385664 152281 245 293 84 -10 +1 +2 +6 +12 1.1
203125 MLB MLELAD 55% 571530 12524417 301356 124 235283392675 157281 245 298 88 -8 +1 +2 +6 +12 1.4
203226 MLB MLELAD 56% 583540 12824418 321386 114 236286396681 159282 245 300 89 -7 +1 +2 +6 +13 1.5
203327 MLB MLELAD 55% 583540 12724418 321396 114 235285393678 158281 245 299 89 -8 +1 +2 +6 +13 1.4
203428 MLB MLELAD 55% 575534 12524417 311385 93 234283389672 155281 245 297 87 -9 +1 +2 +6 +12 1.2
203529 MLB MLELAD 53% 560520 12123416 301365 83 231280383663 152280 245 293 84 -10 +0 +1 +6 +12 0.9
203630 MLB MLELAD 57% 547508 11622315 291355 63 229277376653 147278 255 289 82 -12 +0 +0 +6 +12 0.6
203731 MLB MLELAD 60% 530493 11121314 281324 44 225272367639 142275 255 283 78 -14 -1 -1 +6 +11 0.2
202822 MLB CTXLAD 34% 158148 33614 7392 41 220263349612 129270 254 271 73 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
202923 MLB CTXLAD 48% 249233 531027 12602 62 225270367637 142272 245 282 80 -6 +0 +1 +3 +5 0.3
203024 MLB CTXLAD 53% 290271 621129 14693 62 229276380655 150274 245 289 84 -5 +0 +1 +3 +6 0.6
203125 MLB CTXLAD 55% 312290 6712210 16743 62 231280387667 156275 245 294 88 -5 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.7
203226 MLB CTXLAD 56% 324300 7013210 18773 62 232282391673 159275 246 297 89 -4 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.8
203327 MLB CTXLAD 55% 321298 6913210 17763 62 231281389670 157275 245 296 89 -4 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.8
203428 MLB CTXLAD 55% 314291 6712210 17753 52 230279384664 154274 245 293 87 -5 +0 +1 +3 +7 0.7
203529 MLB CTXLAD 53% 299278 631129 16733 42 228277379655 151273 245 290 84 -6 +0 +1 +3 +6 0.5
203630 MLB CTXLAD 57% 312289 661229 17773 42 225273372645 147272 255 285 82 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203731 MLB CTXLAD 60% 315293 661229 16793 22 221269362631 141269 255 280 78 -8 -0 -0 +3 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 28942691 6161121987 15069928 4919 229277382658 153275 245 289 81 -55 +2 +7 +31 +63 4.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 13825420 341576 114 228276382659 154274 245 289 81 -12 +0 +2 +7 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 67536270 144527848176 353166667 17261 230279374653 144284 255 287 81 -116 +5 +13 +61 +123 8.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650604 14027517 341606 176 232280377657 146285 255 287 81 -13 +1 +2 +7 +14 1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 554 PAwOBA .339 → .284 (−55)K% 18.8% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.77%÷1.000×1.360——25.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.87%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0153.41%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.780—×1.0150.86%
Singles /BIP24.09%÷1.000×0.920×1.015×1.01522.83%
Doubles /BIP8.27%÷1.000×0.830×1.015×1.0157.07%
Triples /BIP1.46%÷1.000×0.910×1.015×1.0151.37%
Home runs /BIP2.92%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0152.37%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .339 → .284; ISO .159 → .128; BABIP .344 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 137 PAwOBA .286 → .216 (−70)K% 29.9% → 41.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.93%÷0.987×1.360——41.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.03%÷0.981×0.690—×1.0305.82%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.780—×1.0300.59%
Singles /BIP23.46%÷1.004×0.920×0.973×1.03021.54%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷1.054×0.830×0.973×1.0302.92%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.150×0.910×0.973×1.0300.98%
Home runs /BIP4.94%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0303.86%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .286 → .216; ISO .139 → .097; BABIP .287 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 171 PAwOBA .389 → .274 (−116)K% 22.8% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷0.984×1.440——33.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷1.070×0.620—×1.0087.17%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.720—×1.0082.12%
Singles /BIP26.21%÷1.011×0.820×0.976×1.00820.90%
Doubles /BIP8.74%÷1.010×0.720×0.976×1.0086.13%
Triples /BIP2.91%÷0.967×0.720×0.976×1.0082.13%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷0.942×0.780—×1.0083.24%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .389 → .274; ISO .190 → .139; BABIP .386 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 208 PAwOBA .412 → .267 (−146)K% 14.9% → 18.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.90%÷0.999×1.220——18.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.42%÷0.980×0.700—×1.00810.38%
HBP% /PA0.48%—×0.700—×1.0080.34%
Singles /BIP25.87%÷1.003×0.680×1.018×1.00817.99%
Doubles /BIP8.39%÷0.990×0.600×1.018×1.0085.21%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷0.969×0.600×1.018×1.0080.44%
Home runs /BIP4.90%÷1.319×0.470—×1.0081.76%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 94, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .412 → .267; ISO .201 → .097; BABIP .360 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).