Joendry Vargas — OGILVIE

Joendry VargasSS Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.9 · 2032

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .284 / .348

PA131

HR3

SB8

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗36

PWR

30↗53

SPD

50↘48

FLD

40↗50

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.7	$25M	+$24M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.9	$28M	+$27M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.9	$29M	+$28M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+2.8	$28M	+$23M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.6	$27M	+$18M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.3	$25M	+$13M
Totals		$30M		$162M	+$132M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	208	185	44	9	1	3	19	45	1	19	5	.238	.312	.346	.658	.108	.293	22	9	.294	83	-4	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	171	152	31	6	2	3	12	58	5	11	5	.204	.284	.329	.613	.125	.301	34	7	.270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	137	125	21	2	1	3	8	56	1	17	2	.168	.224	.272	.496	.104	.261	41	6	.215	23	-12	+3	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	77	70	15	5	0	3	6	27	1	6	2	.214	.286	.414	.700	.200	.300	35	8	.294	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	20	MLB	LAD	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	2	0	.204	.278	.306	.584	.102	.287	30	7	.288	79	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	20	MLB	LAD	131	119	25	7	0	4	10	43	2	8	2	.210	.282	.370	.652	.160	.292	33	8	.292	81	-3	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	LAD	229	204	47	10	1	7	20	57	3	7	2	.230	.308	.392	.701	.162	.281	25	9	.309	95	-1	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.8
2028	22	MLB 28%	LAD	347	308	73	15	2	11	32	84	4	9	2	.237	.317	.406	.723	.169	.282	24	9	.318	101	+1	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.5
2029	23	MLB 48%	LAD	426	378	90	18	2	15	40	101	5	10	2	.238	.319	.415	.734	.177	.284	24	9	.324	106	+3	+1	-1	+5	+12	2.0
2030	24	MLB 62%	LAD	478	423	101	20	2	17	46	112	6	10	2	.239	.322	.416	.738	.177	.284	23	10	.329	110	+5	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.5
2031	25	MLB 80%	LAD	508	447	108	22	2	18	50	118	6	10	2	.242	.326	.421	.747	.179	.285	23	10	.332	112	+7	+1	-1	+5	+14	2.7
2032	26	MLB 94%	LAD	524	460	111	22	2	19	53	122	6	10	2	.241	.328	.422	.749	.180	.285	23	10	.333	113	+8	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2033	27	MLB	LAD	530	465	111	22	2	19	54	124	6	10	2	.239	.326	.417	.743	.178	.285	23	10	.333	113	+8	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2034	28	MLB	LAD	529	464	111	22	2	19	54	125	6	9	2	.239	.326	.418	.744	.179	.285	24	10	.332	112	+7	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.8
2035	29	MLB	LAD	521	456	110	22	2	19	54	124	6	8	1	.241	.329	.423	.753	.182	.284	24	10	.330	111	+6	+1	-3	+6	+15	2.6
2036	30	MLB	LAD	512	448	106	21	2	18	53	124	6	8	1	.237	.325	.413	.738	.176	.282	24	10	.327	108	+5	+1	-3	+5	+15	2.3
2037	31	MLB	LAD	499	439	102	20	2	17	51	123	6	7	0	.232	.321	.403	.724	.171	.281	25	10	.323	106	+3	+1	-4	+5	+14	2.1
2038	32	MLB	LAD	481	424	97	19	2	16	49	121	5	6	0	.229	.316	.396	.712	.167	.279	25	10	.319	102	+1	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.7
2039	33	MLB	LAD	452	398	90	18	2	14	46	117	5	5	0	.226	.314	.387	.701	.161	.278	26	10	.313	98	-1	+1	-5	+5	+13	1.2
2040	34	MLB	LAD	406	358	77	15	1	12	41	108	4	5	0	.215	.303	.363	.666	.148	.276	27	10	.306	92	-4	+1	-6	+4	+12	0.8
2041	35	MLB	LAD	352	310	66	13	1	10	35	97	4	5	0	.213	.301	.358	.659	.145	.273	28	10	.298	86	-6	+1	-6	+4	+10	0.3
2042	36	MLB	LAD	293	259	53	10	1	8	29	84	3	4	0	.205	.292	.344	.636	.139	.270	29	10	.289	79	-7	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.2
2043	37	MLB	LAD	230	204	41	8	1	6	22	68	2	3	0	.201	.285	.338	.623	.137	.265	30	10	.278	71	-7	+1	-7	+2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7887	6956	1600	316	33	255	772	1984	91	175	30	.230	.315	.395	.710	.165	.282	25	10	.317	100	+4	+23	-54	+85	+223	28.7
/ 162G	—			650	573	132	26	3	21	64	164	7	14	2	.230	.315	.396	.711	.166	.283	25	10	.317	100	+0	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	208	174	57	12	1	7	30	31	1	19	5	.328	.429	.529	.958	.201	.360	15	14	.417	177	+18	+2	—	—	+6	2.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	171	142	43	9	3	4	21	39	5	11	5	.303	.408	.493	.901	.190	.386	23	12	.395	160	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	137	122	27	3	1	4	11	41	1	17	2	.221	.291	.361	.652	.139	.287	30	8	.288	78	-3	+3	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joendry Vargas (OGILVIE)	20	20→36	30→53	50→48	50	.214/.284/.348	.134	.287	3	3	29%	8%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Trevor Story 2013 · A	20	40→50	46→65	53→55	41	.204/.264/.340	.136	.276	13	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.252/.330	.138	.298	14	15	38%	7%	58	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	39→40	46→55	50	46	.198/.273/.333	.136	.268	13	8	30%	8%	68	-0.5	.186/.271/.313	.127	.268	12	8	33%	10%	63	-0.9	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	40	43→45	43→50	47	.193/.290/.298	.105	.281	11	10	32%	10%	67	-0.5	.182/.264/.285	.103	.284	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	.153/.236/.254	.101	.237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	53	.215/.299/.346	.130	.255	12	15	21%	10%	82	+0.5	.228/.299/.394	.166	.292	19	11	28%	7%	95	+1.4	.238/.311/.439	.201	.293	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	48→49	43→60	53→50	45	.233/.286/.344	.111	.281	10	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	.207/.254/.310	.103	.281	9	15	28%	5%	53	-1.5	.261/.323/.483	.222	.300	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→50	45→55	50→60	40	.221/.276/.342	.121	.296	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.205/.243/.307	.102	.275	11	12	29%	4%	46	-2.0	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40	45→50	49→50	41	.203/.270/.328	.125	.273	12	8	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.212/.271/.357	.145	.264	19	5	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.206/.264/.348	.141	.251	20	5	26%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→41	43→50	47→55	47	.210/.276/.316	.107	.260	11	9	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.212/.278/.349	.137	.268	15	17	26%	7%	74	-0.1	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	.213/.279/.345	.133	.294	15	8	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.199/.259/.322	.123	.301	13	6	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.150/.210/.278	.128	.229	14	3	40%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	46→45	44→50	49→45	42	.228/.277/.347	.120	.291	12	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.227/.283/.368	.141	.281	17	7	25%	6%	81	+0.4	.224/.287/.379	.156	.259	20	5	22%	7%	83	+0.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→52	51→65	52→45	44	.239/.294/.391	.152	.285	20	9	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.303/.451	.195	.298	27	6	24%	6%	111	+2.5	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→36	49→50	53→50	42	.198/.271/.352	.155	.274	16	13	33%	7%	72	-0.2	.199/.257/.341	.142	.284	16	13	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)