Alonzo Harris
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 31 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 190 | .284/.349/.391 | 3 | 28 | 108 | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 256 | .226/.296/.309 | 3 | 19 | 72 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 80 | .197/.329/.258 | 1 | 0 | 76 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 117 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 308 | 379 | 510 | 889 | 202 | 355 | 20 | 8 | 390 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 200 | 459 | 294 | 30 | 7 | 219 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 276 | 253 | 69 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 273 | 324 | 447 | 770 | 174 | 317 | 21 | 6 | 335 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 417 | 380 | 85 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 90 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 224 | 273 | 342 | 616 | 118 | 276 | 22 | 5 | 269 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 400 | 355 | 96 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 65 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 270 | 331 | 358 | 688 | 87 | 319 | 16 | 7 | 303 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 494 | 443 | 127 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 66 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 287 | 355 | 424 | 779 | 138 | 321 | 13 | 9 | 346 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 395 | 354 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 89 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 218 | 288 | 305 | 593 | 88 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 38 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 216 | 188 | 404 | 94 | 115 | 16 | 13 | 192 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 263 | 563 | 263 | 5 | 5 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 127 | 117 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 316 | 365 | 496 | 861 | 179 | 367 | 14 | 6 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL | Mexico | — | 308 | 263 | 78 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 56 | 4 | 29 | 9 | 297 | 385 | 422 | 807 | 125 | 350 | 18 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 550 | 469 | 161 | 34 | 6 | 39 | 72 | 96 | 4 | 45 | 8 | 343 | 435 | 691 | 1.126 | 348 | 360 | 17 | 13 | 476 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 293 | 260 | 61 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 41 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 235 | 316 | 300 | 616 | 65 | 264 | 14 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 190 | 169 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 284 | 349 | 391 | 740 | 107 | 306 | 11 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 256 | 230 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 226 | 296 | 309 | 605 | 83 | 253 | 14 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 80 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 329 | 258 | 587 | 61 | 222 | 14 | 16 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 215 | 276 | 364 | 640 | 150 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 154 | 339 | 279 | 41 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 276 | 259 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 84 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 201 | 239 | 317 | 556 | 116 | 258 | 30 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 417 | 387 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 122 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 194 | 232 | 287 | 518 | 93 | 255 | 29 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 400 | 365 | 93 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 255 | 297 | 334 | 631 | 79 | 304 | 21 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 494 | 456 | 107 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 235 | 288 | 333 | 621 | 99 | 288 | 20 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 395 | 365 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 211 | 260 | 282 | 542 | 71 | 278 | 27 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 38 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 88 | 162 | 176 | 339 | 88 | 106 | 24 | 8 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Guerreros de Oaxaca | — | 550 | 498 | 127 | 23 | 5 | 28 | 43 | 116 | 4 | 45 | 8 | 255 | 319 | 490 | 809 | 235 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 215 | 276 | 364 | 640 | 150 | 271 | 28 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 117 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 308 | 379 | 510 | 889 | 202 | 355 | 20 | 8 | 390 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 285 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 95 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 196 | 234 | 302 | 536 | 105 | 265 | 31 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 303 | 278 | 74 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 266 | 318 | 424 | 742 | 158 | 315 | 22 | 6 | 325 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 417 | 387 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 122 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 194 | 232 | 287 | 518 | 93 | 267 | 29 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 417 | 380 | 85 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 90 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 224 | 273 | 342 | 616 | 118 | 276 | 22 | 5 | 269 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 400 | 365 | 93 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 255 | 297 | 334 | 631 | 79 | 320 | 21 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 400 | 355 | 96 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 65 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 270 | 331 | 358 | 688 | 87 | 319 | 16 | 7 | 303 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 494 | 456 | 107 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 235 | 288 | 333 | 621 | 99 | 289 | 20 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 494 | 443 | 127 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 66 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 287 | 355 | 424 | 779 | 138 | 321 | 13 | 9 | 346 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 395 | 365 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 211 | 260 | 282 | 542 | 71 | 284 | 27 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 395 | 354 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 89 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 218 | 288 | 305 | 593 | 88 | 275 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 38 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 88 | 162 | 176 | 339 | 88 | 120 | 24 | 8 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 38 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 216 | 188 | 404 | 94 | 115 | 16 | 13 | 192 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 263 | 563 | 263 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 21 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 263 | 563 | 263 | 5 | 5 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 127 | 117 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 316 | 365 | 496 | 861 | 179 | 367 | 14 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 127 | 117 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 316 | 365 | 496 | 861 | 179 | 367 | 14 | 6 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL MLE | Mexico | — | 308 | 263 | 78 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 56 | 4 | 29 | 9 | 297 | 385 | 422 | 807 | 125 | 350 | 18 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | INTL RAW | Mexico | — | 308 | 263 | 78 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 56 | 4 | 29 | 9 | 297 | 385 | 422 | 807 | 125 | 350 | 18 | 11 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 843 | 763 | 195 | 35 | 8 | 43 | 67 | 177 | 6 | 64 | 15 | 256 | 321 | 491 | 812 | 236 | 277 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 843 | 729 | 222 | 39 | 6 | 43 | 101 | 137 | 6 | 64 | 15 | 305 | 394 | 551 | 945 | 247 | 323 | 16 | 12 | 410 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 190 | 169 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 284 | 349 | 391 | 740 | 107 | 306 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 190 | 169 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 1 | 28 | 3 | 284 | 349 | 391 | 740 | 107 | 306 | 11 | 8 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 256 | 230 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 226 | 296 | 309 | 605 | 83 | 253 | 14 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 256 | 230 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 226 | 296 | 309 | 605 | 83 | 253 | 14 | 9 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 80 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 329 | 258 | 587 | 61 | 222 | 14 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 80 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 329 | 258 | 587 | 61 | 222 | 14 | 16 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 117 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 215 | 276 | 364 | 640 | 150 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 303 | 286 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 95 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 196 | 234 | 301 | 535 | 105 | 260 | 31 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 417 | 395 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 122 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 190 | 232 | 281 | 513 | 91 | 255 | 29 | 3 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 400 | 375 | 93 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 248 | 297 | 325 | 622 | 77 | 304 | 21 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 494 | 457 | 107 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 100 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 234 | 288 | 333 | 620 | 98 | 288 | 20 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 395 | 368 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 209 | 260 | 280 | 540 | 71 | 278 | 27 | 6 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 38 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 86 | 162 | 171 | 334 | 86 | 106 | 24 | 8 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 843 | 763 | 195 | 35 | 8 | 43 | 67 | 177 | 6 | 64 | 15 | 256 | 321 | 491 | 812 | 236 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3989 | 3626 | 862 | 137 | 34 | 85 | 267 | 867 | 32 | 269 | 77 | 238 | 296 | 365 | 660 | 127 | 288 | 22 | 7 | 209 | 28 | -344 | +23 | +0 | +14 | +86 | -22.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 141 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 141 | 5 | 44 | 13 | 239 | 297 | 367 | 665 | 129 | 288 | 22 | 7 | 209 | 28 | -56 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAGuerreros de Oaxaca · 550 PAwOBA .465 → .348 (−117)K% 17.5% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.45% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.12% | ÷1.200 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.058 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.46% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 7.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 140, 3B 112, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .465 → .348; ISO .348 → .251; BABIP .360 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 38 PAwOBA .188 → .149 (−39)K% 15.8% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.079 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 3.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.978 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 3.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .188 → .149; ISO .094 → .084; BABIP .115 → .106. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABinghamton Mets · 395 PAwOBA .263 → .242 (−21)K% 22.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.53% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.35% | ÷1.019 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷0.949 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 21.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷0.991 | ×0.860 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.013 | ×1.012 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.51% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.18% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .263 → .242; ISO .088 → .076; BABIP .275 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+St. Lucie Mets · 494 PAwOBA .338 → .276 (−61)K% 13.4% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.36% | ÷0.933 | ×1.420 | — | — | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.034 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 21.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.036 | ×0.960 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.12% | ÷1.239 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .338 → .276; ISO .138 → .107; BABIP .321 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 400 PAwOBA .296 → .268 (−29)K% 16.2% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.25% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.660 | — | — | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | — | 25.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.096 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | — | 2.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.040 | ×0.940 | ×1.047 | — | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.819 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.38% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 98, 2B 119, 3B 108, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .296 → .268; ISO .087 → .081; BABIP .319 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 417 PAwOBA .265 → .223 (−42)K% 21.6% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.58% | ÷0.988 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.80% | ÷1.072 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.31% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.07% | ÷1.105 | ×0.940 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 1.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.920 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.56% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .265 → .223; ISO .118 → .097; BABIP .276 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKKingsport Mets · 276 PAwOBA .329 → .242 (−87)K% 21.4% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.002 | ×0.995 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 4.10% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .329 → .242; ISO .174 → .125; BABIP .317 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 27 PAwOBA .214 → .170 (−44)K% 29.6% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 39.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 27.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .214 → .170; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .294 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .