Jhonkensy Noel — OGILVIE

Jhonkensy NoelRF Norfolk Tides

Age 25 R/R 6'4" / 250 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION120 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 6461vR 50

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%6

BABIP228

ISO200

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

1018.1%

xAVG

100.193

POWER55

Barrel%

6810.9

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

9077.9

EYE20

Chase%

1048.8%

SPEED50

Sprint

4227.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 351 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

149

202

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

305

263

◀L

ISO

268

167

◀◀L

BABIP

219

235

▶R

32.9%

32.7%

—

BB%

4.0%

5.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	260	218	53	11	0	10	25	58	14	6	4	243	358	431	789	188	285	22	10	352	125	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.3
2019	18	ROK	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	178	51	12	0	6	18	39	4	5	1	287	365	455	820	169	317	19	9	351	123	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2021	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	111	100	28	3	0	8	9	31	2	3	1	280	351	550	901	270	328	28	8	393	152	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2021	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	150	59	10	1	11	7	27	3	2	1	393	431	693	1.125	300	421	17	4	481	212	+22	+0	—	—	+4	2.6
2021	20	ROK	ACL Indians	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	200	294	267	561	67	273	24	6	266	66	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	21	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	300	39	6	211	29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	278	240	58	16	2	13	30	63	6	2	0	242	341	487	828	246	271	23	11	362	131	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	252	228	50	9	0	19	18	80	4	1	0	219	288	509	797	289	237	32	7	343	118	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	585	519	114	23	0	27	49	145	14	1	3	220	304	420	724	200	249	25	8	322	104	+3	-1	—	—	+13	1.5
2023	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	35	30	5	1	0	3	5	10	0	1	0	167	286	500	786	333	118	29	14	341	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	198	179	39	7	1	13	13	63	5	0	0	218	289	486	775	268	250	32	7	337	114	+3	+0	-3	-5	+4	-0.1
2024	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	284	258	76	15	2	18	19	60	7	1	0	295	359	578	937	283	322	21	7	407	161	+21	+0	—	—	+6	2.8
2025	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	153	148	24	2	0	6	4	52	0	0	0	162	184	297	482	135	198	34	3	211	29	-13	+0	-2	-5	+3	-1.6
2025	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	252	227	62	14	0	12	21	67	2	1	1	273	340	493	833	220	333	27	8	364	132	+10	-0	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	38	33	4	0	0	2	3	10	2	0	0	121	237	303	540	182	95	26	8	251	56	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	351	327	63	9	1	19	17	115	5	0	0	193	244	401	644	208	226	33	5	282	77	-10	+0	-5	-10	+8	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	227	38	7	0	7	16	83	14	6	4	167	265	291	555	123	212	32	6	240	49	-16	-0	—	—	+6	-1.1
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	185	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	211	270	335	605	124	237	27	5	260	62	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2021	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	111	105	20	2	0	5	4	41	2	3	1	190	234	352	587	162	262	37	4	266	66	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	154	49	8	1	9	3	36	3	2	1	318	344	558	902	240	351	22	2	383	145	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	200	294	267	561	67	219	35	6	178	7	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	21	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	18	17	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	176	222	235	458	59	278	44	6	167	-1	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	278	249	51	15	2	10	21	79	6	2	0	205	283	402	684	197	244	28	8	289	82	-6	+0	—	—	+6	0.0
2022	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	252	235	35	6	0	12	11	106	4	1	0	149	200	328	528	179	196	42	4	234	45	-17	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2023	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	585	534	96	18	0	18	34	173	14	1	3	180	247	315	562	135	223	30	6	247	53	-32	-1	—	—	+13	-2.1
2024	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	198	179	39	7	1	13	13	63	5	0	0	218	289	486	775	268	250	32	7	335	113	+3	+0	-3	-5	+4	-0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	284	264	61	12	2	11	13	77	7	1	0	231	285	417	702	186	281	27	5	301	90	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2025	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	153	148	24	2	0	6	4	52	0	0	0	162	184	297	482	135	198	34	3	209	28	-13	+0	-2	-5	+3	-1.7
2025	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	252	234	48	10	0	7	14	84	2	1	1	205	256	338	594	132	284	33	6	265	65	-10	-0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	227	38	7	0	7	16	83	14	6	4	167	265	291	555	123	225	32	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	—	260	218	53	11	0	10	25	58	14	6	4	243	358	431	789	188	285	22	10	352	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	185	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	211	270	335	605	124	256	27	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	178	51	12	0	6	18	39	4	5	1	287	365	455	820	169	317	19	9	351	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	274	72	11	1	14	8	83	6	5	3	263	299	464	762	201	324	29	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	290	265	90	14	1	19	17	62	6	5	3	340	392	615	1.007	275	382	21	6	435	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	548	502	89	22	2	22	32	194	10	3	0	177	241	361	601	183	231	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	548	485	111	26	2	32	49	150	10	3	0	229	312	489	801	260	257	27	9	348	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	567	101	19	0	19	36	183	14	2	3	178	245	312	557	134	223	30	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	620	549	119	24	0	30	54	155	14	2	3	217	303	424	727	208	243	25	9	323	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	443	100	19	3	24	26	140	12	1	0	226	287	445	732	219	271	29	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	482	437	115	22	3	31	32	123	12	1	0	263	331	540	871	277	296	26	7	378	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	416	80	13	0	15	20	149	4	1	1	192	236	332	568	139	255	34	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	443	408	90	16	0	20	28	129	4	1	1	221	277	407	684	186	267	29	6	301	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	—	260	228	38	7	0	7	16	83	14	6	4	167	265	289	554	123	212	32	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians Blue	—	209	192	39	8	0	5	11	56	4	5	1	203	270	323	593	120	237	27	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	290	274	72	11	1	14	8	83	6	5	3	263	299	464	762	201	309	29	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	548	501	89	22	2	22	32	194	10	3	0	178	241	361	602	184	223	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	565	101	19	0	19	36	183	14	2	3	179	245	313	558	135	223	30	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	441	100	19	3	24	26	140	12	1	0	227	287	447	734	220	268	29	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	416	80	13	0	15	20	149	4	1	1	192	236	332	568	139	251	34	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	620	565	101	19	0	19	36	183	14	2	3	179	245	313	558	135	223	30	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	482	441	100	19	3	24	26	140	12	1	0	227	287	447	734	220	268	29	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	443	416	80	13	0	15	20	149	4	1	1	192	236	332	568	139	251	34	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	120	110	10	3	0	2	7	43	3	0	0	91	167	173	339	82	123	36	6	162	-4	-15	+0	+0	-1	+3	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA RAW	BAL	—	120	107	13	4	0	3	10	36	3	0	0	121	217	243	460	121	147	30	8	217	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	BAL	10%	16	15	3	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	400	650	200	224	31	6	259	61	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						228	50	0	252	61	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	BAL	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	252	4	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	BAL	—	136	125	13	3	0	3	8	48	3	0	0	104	176	200	376	96	135	35	6	173	4	-16	+0	-0	-1	+3	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	415	381	69	13	1	15	24	128	7	1	0	181	243	339	581	157	226	31	6	261	63	-18	+0	-2	-4	+9	-1.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	144	133	25	5	0	6	8	45	2	1	0	188	245	361	606	173	230	31	6	255	63	-6	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	497	462	88	14	1	25	25	161	7	1	0	190	243	387	630	197	226	32	5	274	67	-16	+0	-5	-11	+11	-2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	115	18	1	33	33	211	9	1	0	190	243	387	630	197	225	32	5	274	67	-21	+0	-7	-15	+14	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3283	3010	591	112	7	122	174	1021	71	24	12	196	257	360	617	163	248	31	5	268	67	-29	+0	-7	-15	+17	-3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	116	22	1	24	34	202	14	5	2	195	255	356	610	161	245	31	5	268	67	-24	+0	-5	-12	+14	-2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	530	26	1	192	243	386	-6	-6	-0.8	-0.6
/162	664	32	1	-7.1	-7.8	-1.0	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonkensy Noel (OGILVIE)	25	30	55	50	20	180/240/337	157	224	13	1	31%	6%	61	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	210/258/381	171	273	24	9	33%	6%	77	-0.3	218/278/375	157	279	19	11	28%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/370	155	270	19	11	27%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38→39	52→55	47→40	43	204/271/372	169	265	20	5	31%	8%	80	-0.2	185/255/316	131	278	15	5	37%	8%	61	-1.5	162/235/276	114	253	13	3	39%	8%	42	-2.1
✕Lewin Díaz 2022 · MLB	25	38→45	58→60	48→30	41	217/265/418	201	242	27	4	24%	5%	89	+0.5	208/271/362	154	252	20	4	26%	7%	78	-0.3	198/265/335	138	241	18	2	26%	7%	68	-0.9
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	42→40	52→55	46→30	40	221/281/391	170	275	20	4	27%	5%	88	+0.5	223/289/369	146	269	16	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	209/282/345	135	244	14	0	20%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	35→29	52→55	49→40	37	197/240/357	160	260	21	4	34%	5%	65	-1.2	197/244/335	138	267	18	4	33%	5%	61	-1.5	180/229/303	123	242	17	1	32%	5%	46	-0.8
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	50→55	49→50	40	201/257/345	143	251	19	7	28%	6%	69	-0.9	213/286/383	170	277	22	9	31%	7%	88	+0.5	196/276/376	180	248	24	7	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Sandro Fabian 2023 · AAA	25	42→46	52→55	49→45	40	221/265/385	164	251	21	4	22%	4%	81	-0.1	230/276/390	160	262	19	6	20%	5%	86	+0.3	230/277/391	161	257	19	5	19%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Aristides Aquino 2020 · MLB	26	38→41	59→60	49→50	39	217/265/420	202	262	29	10	30%	5%	89	+0.5	218/288/417	199	283	27	9	32%	8%	97	+1.1	193/274/373	180	272	23	6	37%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Bobby Bradley 2021 · MLB	25	39→40	57→60	47→40	38	210/267/404	194	294	25	3	37%	7%	86	+0.3	197/269/378	181	285	25	4	38%	7%	81	-0.1	170/249/351	181	232	27	0	39%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Alex Jackson 2021 · MLB	25	34→37	53→55	48→30	33	187/255/355	168	280	23	5	41%	5%	71	-0.8	203/275/366	163	295	20	5	37%	7%	81	-0.1	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Darick Hall 2019 · AA	24	40→38	54→55	48→40	37	216/273/390	174	271	23	3	30%	4%	85	+0.2	202/273/349	147	265	16	4	29%	6%	76	-0.4	212/274/375	163	259	21	2	27%	7%	80	-0.1
●Luken Baker 2022 · AA	25	36→46	54→60	45→30	41	202/260/375	173	262	23	3	32%	7%	77	-0.3	207/271/380	173	258	24	2	30%	8%	82	-0.0	202/289/404	202	242	28	0	29%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Renato Núñez 2018 · MLB	24	35→45	56→60	46→30	38	202/249/382	180	245	25	3	30%	5%	74	-0.5	233/293/405	172	288	22	3	27%	7%	96	+1.0	229/300/429	200	270	28	1	26%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Sean Roby 2023 · AA	25	34→32	54→55	49→30	34	188/246/359	171	296	24	4	44%	6%	68	-1.0	190/243/332	142	299	19	4	41%	6%	60	-1.6	165/216/290	124	250	18	0	41%	6%	38	-1.1
✕Dérmis Garcia 2023 · MLB	25	37→38	55	49→45	38	198/263/373	176	303	24	8	42%	8%	78	-0.3	191/257/341	150	284	20	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	163/231/298	135	231	19	4	38%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Carlos Rincon 2022 · AA	24	40→39	52→55	50→45	38	212/266/373	161	288	21	6	34%	6%	78	-0.3	213/262/351	138	310	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.8	170/207/283	113	266	12	0	40%	4%	31	-1.0
✕Jerry Gil 2008 · AAA	25	40→38	53→60	46→55	34	219/247/393	174	273	21	10	29%	3%	76	-0.4	193/228/309	116	279	12	11	34%	4%	48	-2.5	130/154/223	92	193	8	13	37%	2%	-1	-2.0
✕Mike Bianucci 2012 · AA	26	38→40	51→60	44→40	37	206/250/363	157	260	20	4	30%	4%	70	-0.9	222/267/387	165	273	22	4	27%	5%	82	-0.0	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Nicholas Northcut 2023 · AA	24	33→36	56→55	47→30	34	190/241/376	186	266	25	3	39%	5%	70	-0.8	174/219/326	152	258	21	3	40%	5%	50	-2.3	145/189/285	140	205	20	0	41%	4%	27	-2.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	37→40	51→50	48→50	42	199/266/360	161	273	20	10	34%	8%	76	-0.4	193/263/325	132	270	15	13	32%	8%	66	-1.1	176/257/299	122	245	13	14	32%	9%	56	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps