Jhonkensy Noel
RF Norfolk Tides| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAACLE | 284 | .295/.359/.578 | 18 | 1 | 99 | — | .242/.296/.439 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBCLE | 198 | .218/.289/.486 | 13 | 0 | 115 | -0.1 | |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 290 | .254/.326/.469 | 14 | 1 | 71 | — | .223/.276/.373 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBCLE | 153 | .162/.184/.297 | 6 | 0 | 29 | -1.6 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAABAL | 120 | .121/.217/.243 | 3 | 0 | -1 | — | .091/.167/.173 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 26 | MLBBAL | 12 | .205/.263/.384 | 0 | 0 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 27 | MLBBAL | 62 | .204/.262/.381 | 3 | 0 | 74 | -0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 260 | 218 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 58 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 243 | 358 | 431 | 789 | 188 | 285 | 22 | 10 | 352 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | — | 209 | 178 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 287 | 365 | 455 | 820 | 169 | 317 | 19 | 9 | 351 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 111 | 100 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 280 | 351 | 550 | 901 | 270 | 328 | 28 | 8 | 393 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 162 | 150 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 393 | 431 | 693 | 1.125 | 300 | 421 | 17 | 4 | 481 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Indians | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 273 | 24 | 6 | 266 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 300 | 39 | 6 | 211 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 278 | 240 | 58 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 63 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 242 | 341 | 487 | 828 | 246 | 271 | 23 | 11 | 362 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 252 | 228 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 19 | 18 | 80 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 288 | 509 | 797 | 289 | 237 | 32 | 7 | 343 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 585 | 519 | 114 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 49 | 145 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 220 | 304 | 420 | 724 | 200 | 249 | 25 | 8 | 322 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 35 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 500 | 786 | 333 | 118 | 29 | 14 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 198 | 179 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 289 | 486 | 775 | 268 | 250 | 32 | 7 | 337 | 115 | +3 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 284 | 258 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 60 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 359 | 578 | 937 | 283 | 322 | 21 | 7 | 407 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 153 | 148 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 184 | 297 | 482 | 135 | 198 | 34 | 3 | 211 | 29 | -13 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +3 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 252 | 227 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 67 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 340 | 493 | 833 | 220 | 333 | 27 | 8 | 364 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 38 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 237 | 303 | 540 | 182 | 95 | 26 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 107 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 217 | 243 | 460 | 121 | 147 | 30 | 8 | 217 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 351 | 327 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 115 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 244 | 401 | 644 | 208 | 226 | 33 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -5 | -10 | +8 | -1.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 260 | 225 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 71 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 142 | 249 | 236 | 485 | 93 | 176 | 27 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 209 | 185 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 270 | 335 | 605 | 124 | 242 | 27 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 111 | 105 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 243 | 362 | 605 | 162 | 274 | 37 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 162 | 154 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 325 | 350 | 565 | 915 | 240 | 362 | 22 | 2 | 394 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Indians | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 218 | 35 | 6 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 291 | 44 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 278 | 248 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 79 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 290 | 407 | 697 | 198 | 261 | 28 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 252 | 235 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 100 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 166 | 216 | 362 | 578 | 196 | 201 | 40 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 585 | 532 | 100 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 173 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 188 | 258 | 331 | 589 | 143 | 234 | 30 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 198 | 179 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 289 | 486 | 775 | 268 | 250 | 32 | 7 | 338 | 115 | +3 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 284 | 264 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 77 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 296 | 439 | 735 | 197 | 297 | 27 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 153 | 148 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 184 | 297 | 482 | 135 | 198 | 34 | 3 | 211 | 29 | -13 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +3 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 252 | 233 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 84 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 276 | 373 | 649 | 150 | 299 | 33 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 110 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 173 | 339 | 82 | 135 | 36 | 6 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 260 | 225 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 71 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 142 | 249 | 236 | 485 | 93 | 180 | 27 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 260 | 218 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 58 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 243 | 358 | 431 | 789 | 188 | 285 | 22 | 10 | 352 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 209 | 185 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 270 | 335 | 605 | 124 | 256 | 27 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians Blue | — | 209 | 178 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 287 | 365 | 455 | 820 | 169 | 317 | 19 | 9 | 351 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 290 | 274 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 270 | 306 | 482 | 787 | 212 | 331 | 29 | 3 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 290 | 265 | 90 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 62 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 340 | 392 | 615 | 1.007 | 275 | 382 | 21 | 6 | 435 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 500 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 187 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 254 | 380 | 634 | 192 | 241 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 548 | 485 | 111 | 26 | 2 | 32 | 49 | 150 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 312 | 489 | 801 | 260 | 257 | 27 | 9 | 348 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 565 | 106 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 38 | 183 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 188 | 256 | 329 | 585 | 142 | 236 | 30 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 620 | 549 | 119 | 24 | 0 | 30 | 54 | 155 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 217 | 303 | 424 | 727 | 208 | 243 | 25 | 9 | 323 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 443 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 140 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 293 | 458 | 751 | 226 | 280 | 29 | 5 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 437 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 31 | 32 | 123 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 331 | 540 | 871 | 277 | 296 | 26 | 7 | 378 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 415 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 21 | 149 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 243 | 340 | 583 | 142 | 264 | 34 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 443 | 408 | 90 | 16 | 0 | 20 | 28 | 129 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 277 | 407 | 684 | 186 | 267 | 29 | 6 | 301 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 110 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 167 | 173 | 339 | 82 | 123 | 36 | 6 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 107 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 217 | 243 | 460 | 121 | 147 | 30 | 8 | 217 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 260 | 226 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 71 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 142 | 249 | 235 | 484 | 93 | 176 | 27 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 209 | 192 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 203 | 270 | 323 | 593 | 120 | 242 | 27 | 5 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 290 | 274 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 83 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 270 | 306 | 482 | 787 | 212 | 320 | 29 | 3 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 499 | 94 | 23 | 2 | 23 | 34 | 187 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 254 | 381 | 634 | 192 | 234 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 563 | 106 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 38 | 183 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 188 | 256 | 330 | 586 | 142 | 234 | 30 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 140 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 293 | 460 | 753 | 227 | 278 | 29 | 5 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 415 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 21 | 149 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 243 | 340 | 583 | 142 | 261 | 34 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 109 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 167 | 174 | 341 | 83 | 135 | 36 | 6 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 25 | 26 | 140 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 293 | 460 | 753 | 227 | 278 | 29 | 5 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 415 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 21 | 149 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 243 | 340 | 583 | 142 | 261 | 34 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 120 | 109 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 167 | 174 | 341 | 83 | 135 | 36 | 6 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 10% | 200 | 183 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 259 | 373 | 632 | 172 | 252 | 31 | 6 | 280 | 75 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 10% | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 263 | 384 | 647 | 179 | 256 | 33 | 8 | 285 | 75 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 31% | 199 | 182 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 258 | 371 | 628 | 170 | 251 | 31 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 31% | 62 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 262 | 381 | 643 | 177 | 255 | 31 | 6 | 284 | 74 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 413 | 384 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 22 | 21 | 134 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 248 | 401 | 649 | 206 | 230 | 32 | 5 | 282 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -11 | +9 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 119 | 17 | 2 | 35 | 33 | 211 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 249 | 406 | 654 | 209 | 233 | 32 | 5 | 282 | 70 | -18 | +0 | -8 | -17 | +14 | -2.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3295 | 3013 | 601 | 115 | 7 | 123 | 182 | 1012 | 72 | 25 | 12 | 199 | 262 | 365 | 626 | 165 | 251 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -19 | +0 | -6 | -13 | +15 | -2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 118 | 23 | 1 | 24 | 36 | 200 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 199 | 261 | 362 | 623 | 163 | 251 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -19 | +0 | -6 | -13 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 120 PAwOBA .211 → .167 (−44)K% 30.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 8.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .211 → .167; ISO .121 → .088; BABIP .147 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 252 PAwOBA .356 → .276 (−80)K% 26.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.59% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×1.048 | 21.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.75% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.048 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .356 → .276; ISO .220 → .147; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 284 PAwOBA .395 → .315 (−80)K% 21.1% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.71% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×1.050 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.58% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.050 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .395 → .315; ISO .283 → .201; BABIP .322 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAColumbus Clippers · 585 PAwOBA .314 → .258 (−56)K% 24.8% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.79% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.11% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 17.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.12% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .314 → .258; ISO .200 → .144; BABIP .249 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAkron RubberDucks · 278 PAwOBA .355 → .304 (−51)K% 22.7% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.66% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.25% | ÷1.052 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 14.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷0.926 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 8.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×1.050 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 85, 3B 96, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .355 → .304; ISO .246 → .207; BABIP .271 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lake County Captains · 252 PAwOBA .331 → .245 (−86)K% 31.7% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.75% | ÷1.015 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.95% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.86% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 13.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.850 | ×0.959 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.84% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 9.30% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .331 → .245; ISO .289 → .197; BABIP .237 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 18 PAwOBA .205 → .175 (−30)K% 38.9% → 45.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.89% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 20.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .205 → .175; ISO .059 → .045; BABIP .300 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALynchburg Hillcats · 162 PAwOBA .468 → .394 (−75)K% 16.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.47% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 1.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.08% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.94% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 7.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .468 → .394; ISO .300 → .250; BABIP .421 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .