Nicholas Northcut

Nicholas Northcut3B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 206 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .223 / .335

PA250

HR9

K%37

BB%4

ISO159

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	163	148	22	5	0	1	9	65	4	0	0	149	217	203	420	54	250	40	6	190	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	163	142	33	9	0	1	15	45	4	0	0	232	323	317	640	85	327	28	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	402	362	75	22	2	18	29	131	5	0	0	207	275	428	703	221	261	33	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	402	345	90	32	2	17	46	91	5	0	0	261	356	513	869	252	302	23	11	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	428	406	67	13	0	23	16	185	6	1	0	165	208	367	575	202	222	43	4	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	428	397	87	18	0	30	25	151	6	1	0	219	276	491	767	272	264	35	6	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	291	274	40	9	0	7	9	150	4	0	0	146	185	255	440	109	273	52	3	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	291	268	56	14	0	10	15	108	4	0	0	209	261	373	634	164	299	37	5	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	399	56	8	2	18	20	164	6	0	0	140	193	306	499	165	175	39	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	391	75	15	2	26	28	128	6	0	0	192	256	440	696	248	207	30	7	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CIN	—	250	234	41	7	1	9	11	93	3	1	0	175	222	329	551	154	243	37	4	249	48	-15	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CIN	27%	333	310	57	10	1	12	16	120	4	2	0	184	233	339	572	155	249	36	5	255	53	-18	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.7
2027	28	MLB	CIN	27%	89	84	15	3	0	3	4	32	1	0	0	179	225	321	546	143	251	36	4	250	49	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	89	84	15	3	0	3	4	32	1	0	0	179	225	321	546	143	245	36	4	250	49	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	613	110	22	0	22	29	234	7	0	0	179	225	323	548	144	246	36	4	250	49	-37	+0	-1	+2	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	2292	2133	358	74	6	88	110	908	32	4	0	168	220	332	552	164	235	40	5	239	41	-152	+1	-1	+8	+65	-8.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	102	21	2	25	31	258	9	1	0	169	220	334	554	165	236	40	5	239	41	-43	+0	-0	+2	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	163	142	33	9	0	1	15	45	4	0	232	323	317	640	85	327	28	9	294	83	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	402	345	90	32	2	17	46	91	5	0	261	356	513	869	252	302	23	11	375	145	+21	+0	—	—	+11	3.3
2022	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	101	21	5	0	4	4	37	1	1	208	245	376	622	168	283	35	4	275	68	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	322	296	66	13	0	26	21	114	5	0	223	286	530	816	307	256	35	7	353	128	+10	+0	—	—	+9	2.0
2023	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	111	158	111	269		167	32	5	132	-41	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	272	250	54	14	0	10	14	102	4	0	216	269	392	661	176	310	38	5	289	79	-6	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	391	75	15	2	26	28	128	6	0	192	256	440	696	248	207	30	7	305	91	-4	+0	—	—	+12	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicholas Northcut (OGILVIE)	27	20	57	42	38	177/223/335	158	243	9	1	37%	4%	48	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tristan Gray 2023 · AAA	27	34→35	54→55	45→40	33	196/240/365	169	266	24	5	37%	4%	63	-0.9	193/248/348	155	266	20	4	34%	6%	61	-1.0	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	36→40	49→50	43→40	34	190/241/328	139	287	17	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	193/258/324	131	311	16	4	40%	7%	59	-1.1	188/267/305	117	296	13	1	38%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	35→30	49→50	45→30	33	192/232/331	139	272	19	4	37%	4%	50	-1.8	187/221/299	112	281	13	4	37%	4%	36	-2.7	166/196/259	93	263	10	0	40%	3%	12	-1.5
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Brian Navarreto 2022 · AAA	27	35	52→45	48→30	39	198/243/359	160	239	22	5	28%	5%	62	-0.9	221/267/347	126	276	15	4	25%	6%	69	-0.4	218/264/321	103	276	12	1	25%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	36→37	49→50	51→50	34	194/240/333	139	277	18	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	214/264/344	130	277	14	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	210/264/335	124	264	13	10	25%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB	27	38	50	45→40	36	206/242/353	146	260	19	4	30%	4%	59	-1.1	217/266/361	144	268	18	3	26%	6%	72	-0.2	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	33→43	47→50	46→45	35	180/225/313	133	253	15	5	35%	5%	42	-2.3	177/236/296	119	282	12	7	39%	6%	43	-2.2	133/191/246	113	203	10	6	38%	6%	7	-1.7
✕Edwin Díaz 2023 · AAA	27	32→31	50	50→40	30	170/221/312	142	299	20	5	48%	6%	40	-2.4	186/244/333	147	300	18	7	42%	6%	56	-1.3	185/263/353	168	235	22	5	31%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Jackson Williams 2013 · AAA	27	38	47→45	40	38	200/245/329	129	255	16	3	29%	5%	55	-1.4	203/257/307	104	261	10	4	25%	6%	53	-1.5	193/256/268	75	250	6	2	24%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Brandon Waring 2012 · AA	26	36→40	51→55	44→40	35	194/248/353	159	279	19	2	37%	6%	63	-0.8	194/257/369	175	291	22	3	40%	6%	72	-0.2	178/247/356	177	276	23	1	43%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Kevin Keyes 2015 · AA	26	34→42	49→50	41→45	36	186/236/324	137	263	19	5	37%	5%	50	-1.8	194/251/302	108	277	12	4	33%	6%	50	-1.7	182/243/273	91	260	10	2	32%	6%	37	-2.0
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	33→43	53→55	47→45	30	183/226/347	164	291	22	8	45%	5%	52	-1.6	197/254/346	149	326	18	8	42%	7%	63	-0.8	147/235/292	145	259	16	3	47%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Matt Spring 2012 · AA	27	36	49→50	44→45	34	187/238/333	145	291	17	4	41%	6%	53	-1.5	182/237/324	142	298	17	3	43%	6%	50	-1.7	166/218/321	155	252	19	0	41%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39	54→60	44→40	37	211/255/391	180	278	21	3	32%	5%	76	+0.0	215/260/381	166	289	20	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	200/245/377	177	257	23	4	32%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Jarek Cunningham 2015 · AA	25	36→38	50→55	44→45	36	197/245/348	151	262	19	7	33%	5%	59	-1.1	206/263/344	138	309	14	7	36%	7%	66	-0.6	178/245/312	134	293	12	4	41%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→37	48→50	46→50	33	200/244/335	135	279	17	12	34%	4%	56	-1.3	210/263/350	140	331	17	13	40%	6%	68	-0.5	191/246/332	141	308	18	13	42%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Mike Olt 2016 · MLB	27	36→42	52→55	38→40	40	195/258/353	158	273	21	3	36%	7%	67	-0.5	204/269/349	145	297	18	3	35%	8%	71	-0.3	185/257/315	130	271	16	0	36%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	46→50	44→30	28	178/206/299	121	275	15	4	41%	3%	30	-3.1	192/254/342	150	292	20	6	39%	7%	63	-0.9	119/223/261	142	161	22	0	42%	11%	28	-0.8
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	38→31	46→45	47→45	33	199/236/315	116	264	15	7	31%	3%	47	-1.9	225/260/362	137	279	18	8	26%	4%	69	-0.4	237/264/381	144	275	21	4	23%	2%	74	-0.0