Nicholas Northcut

Nicholas Northcut3B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 206 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .228 / .338

PA22

HR1

K%35

BB%4

ISO157

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT21

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	163	142	33	9	0	1	15	45	4	0	0	232	323	317	640	85	327	28	9	294	85	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	402	345	90	32	2	17	46	91	5	0	0	261	356	513	869	252	302	23	11	375	140	+19	+0	—	—	+9	2.8
2022	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	101	21	5	0	4	4	37	1	1	0	208	245	376	622	168	283	35	4	275	72	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	322	296	66	13	0	26	21	114	5	0	0	223	286	530	816	307	256	35	7	353	125	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		167	32	5	132	-25	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	272	250	54	14	0	10	14	102	4	0	0	216	269	392	661	176	310	38	5	289	82	-6	+0	—	—	+6	0.0
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	391	75	15	2	26	28	128	6	0	0	192	256	440	696	248	207	30	7	305	92	-4	+0	—	—	+9	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	163	148	22	5	0	1	9	65	4	0	0	149	217	203	420	54	244	40	6	190	15	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	402	361	73	23	2	15	30	127	5	0	0	202	273	402	674	199	251	32	7	288	81	-9	+0	—	—	+9	-0.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	102	16	3	0	3	3	45	1	1	0	157	189	275	463	118	243	42	3	197	19	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	322	303	49	9	0	19	14	144	5	0	0	162	211	380	591	218	212	45	4	247	53	-18	+0	—	—	+7	-1.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		155	37	5	105	-43	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	272	255	41	10	0	7	9	129	4	0	0	161	201	282	484	122	267	47	3	208	27	-24	+0	—	—	+6	-1.8
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	400	56	9	2	17	19	156	6	0	0	140	191	300	491	160	170	37	4	213	30	-35	+0	—	—	+9	-2.7
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	163	148	22	5	0	1	9	65	4	0	0	149	217	203	420	54	250	40	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	—	163	142	33	9	0	1	15	45	4	0	0	232	323	317	640	85	327	28	9	294	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	402	361	73	23	2	15	30	127	5	0	0	202	273	402	674	199	259	32	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	402	345	90	32	2	17	46	91	5	0	0	261	356	513	869	252	302	23	11	375	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	428	406	65	12	0	22	16	190	6	1	0	160	203	352	555	192	222	44	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	428	397	87	18	0	30	25	151	6	1	0	219	276	491	767	272	264	35	6	333	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	273	43	10	0	7	10	137	4	0	0	158	199	271	470	114	271	47	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	291	268	56	14	0	10	15	108	4	0	0	209	261	373	634	164	299	37	5	279	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	400	56	9	2	17	19	156	6	0	0	140	191	300	491	160	172	37	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	391	75	15	2	26	28	128	6	0	0	192	256	440	696	248	207	30	7	305	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	163	149	22	5	0	1	9	65	4	0	0	148	217	201	419	54	244	40	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	402	364	73	23	2	15	30	127	5	0	0	201	273	398	671	198	251	32	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	428	403	65	12	0	22	16	190	6	1	0	161	203	355	558	194	220	44	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	275	43	10	0	7	10	137	4	0	0	156	199	269	468	113	260	47	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	397	56	9	2	17	19	156	6	0	0	141	191	302	493	161	170	37	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	291	275	43	10	0	7	10	137	4	0	0	156	199	269	468	113	260	47	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	425	397	56	9	2	17	19	156	6	0	0	141	191	302	493	161	170	37	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	22	21	4	1	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	190	227	381	608	190	243	36	5	252	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	333	309	58	11	1	12	17	113	4	2	0	188	239	346	586	159	248	34	5	258	61	-16	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	89	84	15	3	0	3	4	30	1	0	0	179	225	321	546	143	252	34	4	257	61	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	89	84	15	3	0	3	4	30	1	0	0	179	225	321	546	143	235	34	4	257	46	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	613	110	22	0	22	29	219	7	0	0	179	225	323	548	144	237	34	4	257	46	-30	+0	-1	+2	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2064	1918	321	71	5	75	102	796	29	3	0	167	221	327	547	160	232	39	5	236	46	-17	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	102	22	2	24	32	251	9	1	0	169	222	331	553	162	234	39	5	236	46	-30	+1	-1	+2	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicholas Northcut (OGILVIE)	27	21	55	42	38	182/228/338	156	243	9	1	35%	4%	57	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tristan Gray 2023 · AAA	27	34→35	51→50	45→40	34	190/236/345	155	264	21	5	37%	5%	61	-1.5	190/246/340	150	265	18	4	35%	6%	63	-1.3	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	34→28	49→50	43→40	42	187/252/323	136	248	18	5	32%	7%	62	-1.4	195/274/335	140	245	18	5	28%	8%	73	-0.6	196/273/324	129	231	14	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	37→40	48→50	43→40	35	193/247/329	135	288	17	5	38%	6%	61	-1.5	195/262/329	134	314	16	4	40%	8%	67	-1.1	191/270/315	124	298	14	1	38%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB	27	39	49→45	45→40	37	206/244/345	139	260	18	4	29%	4%	63	-1.4	212/262/341	129	265	15	3	26%	6%	69	-0.9	214/271/337	122	266	14	0	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	35→29	48→45	45→30	34	191/231/324	133	268	18	4	36%	4%	53	-2.1	186/222/292	106	276	11	4	36%	4%	42	-2.9	167/197/253	86	259	8	0	38%	3%	21	-1.6
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	39→40	50→55	44→40	38	206/252/366	160	275	18	3	32%	5%	71	-0.8	210/256/354	144	284	16	6	31%	6%	70	-0.9	195/240/341	146	255	17	4	30%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	204/270/371	167	252	23	7	29%	6%	80	-0.2	224/299/394	170	301	21	11	31%	8%	96	+1.0	213/305/397	185	287	23	11	32%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Brandon Waring 2013 · AAA	27	38→39	52→55	44→40	38	202/268/367	166	284	20	3	35%	6%	78	-0.3	186/253/340	154	292	19	3	41%	7%	66	-1.1	159/228/306	146	255	19	1	44%	7%	47	-1.8
✕Chris Maples 2007 · AAA	27	41	52→50	42→45	36	216/258/383	167	280	20	5	31%	4%	78	-0.3	206/259/320	114	306	11	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	155/218/194	38	272	0	7	40%	6%	17	-1.6
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	36	49→50	47→30	39	194/246/337	143	239	17	5	28%	5%	63	-1.4	197/259/318	121	260	15	4	29%	7%	63	-1.4	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jeremy Eierman 2023 · AA	26	34→26	52→50	44→45	32	188/237/347	159	286	21	9	41%	5%	61	-1.5	187/242/321	134	283	18	8	39%	5%	57	-1.8	156/218/270	114	230	17	7	39%	5%	35	-1.2
✕Brian Navarreto 2022 · AAA	27	35	49→45	48→30	40	193/239/333	141	233	18	5	27%	5%	59	-1.7	214/261/324	110	269	12	4	25%	6%	64	-1.3	208/254/296	88	265	9	1	24%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	35→29	52→55	49→40	37	197/240/357	160	260	21	4	34%	5%	65	-1.2	197/244/335	138	267	18	4	33%	5%	61	-1.5	180/229/303	123	242	17	1	32%	5%	46	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA	26	39→31	47→50	41→45	35	203/249/335	133	284	15	5	34%	4%	63	-1.4	206/261/315	109	301	10	8	33%	5%	62	-1.4	168/230/245	77	267	5	5	36%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	49→50	45	37	200/243/349	150	265	17	6	32%	5%	63	-1.3	196/236/316	120	269	12	9	31%	4%	53	-2.1	171/204/272	101	232	10	10	31%	3%	28	-2.4
✕Matt Spring 2012 · AA	27	36	49→45	44→45	35	191/242/341	149	285	17	4	39%	6%	61	-1.5	187/241/327	140	291	17	3	40%	6%	59	-1.7	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	38	46→50	47→30	41	194/260/321	128	274	14	4	33%	7%	64	-1.3	204/259/337	133	281	15	7	31%	6%	67	-1.1	167/218/340	174	195	23	0	29%	5%	51	-0.4
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	42	51→55	44→40	37	221/259/382	161	285	19	4	30%	5%	78	-0.3	216/259/362	146	284	17	5	29%	5%	73	-0.6	206/250/352	146	261	17	2	28%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	33→43	51→55	47→45	31	181/225/333	153	286	20	8	44%	5%	53	-2.1	197/258/339	142	319	16	8	41%	7%	68	-1.0	152/243/288	136	261	13	3	44%	10%	49	-0.6