Sean Roby3B
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 28
R/R
6'1" / 235 lbs
AA
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .255 / .322
PA151
HR4
K%36
BB%7
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-10M | $-15M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 186 | 169 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .225 | .284 | .343 | .627 | .118 | .293 | 28 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -9 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 79 | 77 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .130 | .152 | .273 | .425 | .143 | .222 | 49 | 3 | .174 | -9 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 421 | 384 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 32 | 168 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .180 | .250 | .344 | .594 | .164 | .267 | 40 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 353 | 328 | 55 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 19 | 181 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .168 | .222 | .372 | .594 | .204 | .271 | 51 | 5 | .250 | 50 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | 3 teams | 258 | 241 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 117 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .166 | .218 | .324 | .542 | .158 | .261 | 45 | 5 | .231 | 35 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 172 | 158 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .165 | .219 | .259 | .478 | .095 | .239 | 38 | 6 | .214 | 22 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 151 | 138 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .203 | .267 | .341 | .607 | .138 | .281 | 36 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | MIA | 199 | 182 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .198 | .259 | .324 | .583 | .126 | .281 | 35 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | MIA | 257 | 234 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 88 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .267 | .333 | .600 | .132 | .281 | 34 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | MIA | 268 | 244 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .197 | .263 | .324 | .587 | .127 | .280 | 34 | 7 | .266 | 61 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | MIA | 265 | 241 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 90 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .266 | .328 | .594 | .129 | .279 | 34 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | MIA | 246 | 224 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .258 | .312 | .571 | .121 | .277 | 35 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | MIA | 211 | 193 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .249 | .306 | .555 | .119 | .275 | 36 | 7 | .251 | 50 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3066 | 2813 | 524 | 85 | 13 | 96 | 206 | 1175 | 24 | 11 | 3 | .186 | .248 | .328 | .576 | .142 | .275 | 38 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -169 | +1 | -19 | +11 | +87 | -9.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 596 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 249 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .186 | .248 | .327 | .575 | .141 | .275 | 38 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -36 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -2.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 186 | 163 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .288 | .366 | .442 | .808 | .153 | .336 | 19 | 9 | .356 | 131 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 79 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .228 | .400 | .628 | .213 | .262 | 38 | 5 | .273 | 67 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 421 | 373 | 90 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 132 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .241 | .326 | .464 | .790 | .223 | .318 | 31 | 10 | .348 | 125 | +12 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 353 | 320 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 27 | 140 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .288 | .481 | .769 | .263 | .287 | 40 | 8 | .334 | 114 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 95 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .234 | .284 | .518 | .102 | .269 | 37 | 5 | .234 | 37 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 96 | 87 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .344 | .621 | .964 | .345 | .308 | 28 | 9 | .413 | 174 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 67 | 59 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .358 | .542 | .901 | .271 | .387 | 36 | 10 | .391 | 158 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 172 | 153 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .272 | .314 | .586 | .118 | .253 | 30 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sean Roby (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .193/.255/.322 | .129 | .281 | 4 | 2 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35→37 | 49→50 | 50 | 35 | .190/.239/.328 | .138 | .268 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .214/.262/.346 | .132 | .279 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.267/.343 | .129 | .269 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA |
27 | 36→25 | 45→55 | 48→50 | 35 | .184/.240/.304 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.271/.326 | .115 | .298 | 10 | 10 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.285/.308 | .094 | .297 | 6 | 9 | 28% | 4% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA |
27 | 35→30 | 47→45 | 50→45 | 43 | .183/.260/.318 | .135 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .260 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .130/.207/.227 | .097 | .172 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 11 | -2.0 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB |
29 | 36→40 | 50 | 46→50 | 41 | .190/.266/.341 | .151 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .188/.260/.304 | .116 | .308 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .166/.236/.251 | .085 | .293 | 9 | 8 | 44% | 8% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 39 | .212/.263/.343 | .132 | .290 | 15 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.256/.365 | .152 | .322 | 18 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.237/.370 | .169 | .311 | 21 | 6 | 42% | 4% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA |
29 | 36 | 48→50 | 43→40 | 35 | .191/.246/.323 | .132 | .283 | 17 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .200/.247/.340 | .140 | .324 | 17 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.237/.332 | .141 | .307 | 18 | 2 | 42% | 4% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 47→45 | 48→40 | 33 | .198/.238/.325 | .127 | .287 | 15 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .216/.269/.301 | .085 | .295 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.285/.301 | .075 | .297 | 3 | 2 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB |
27 | 38 | 47→50 | 46→30 | 41 | .195/.264/.331 | .136 | .277 | 15 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .201/.256/.340 | .139 | .280 | 16 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .170/.220/.361 | .191 | .196 | 26 | 0 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -0.3 |
|
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA |
28 | 35→32 | 54→55 | 52→50 | 34 | .195/.241/.369 | .174 | .286 | 23 | 11 | 40% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .184/.246/.310 | .126 | .301 | 15 | 15 | 41% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .137/.217/.232 | .096 | .217 | 13 | 21 | 41% | 9% | 17 | -1.8 |
|
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA |
28 | 34→35 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 37 | .181/.241/.311 | .129 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.246/.332 | .143 | .280 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.218/.302 | .144 | .215 | 22 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA |
28 | 41→42 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.348 | .138 | .277 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.345 | .131 | .291 | 16 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.254/.339 | .124 | .283 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 4% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Seby Zavala 2022 · MLB |
28 | 32→39 | 52→50 | 42→40 | 34 | .179/.238/.334 | .155 | .284 | 21 | 4 | 44% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .204/.275/.339 | .135 | .321 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .193/.272/.319 | .126 | .301 | 14 | 1 | 38% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35 | 49→50 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.245/.335 | .144 | .238 | 18 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .196/.257/.319 | .123 | .257 | 15 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.252/.278 | .096 | .251 | 12 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA |
28 | 38→41 | 44→50 | 53→50 | 34 | .189/.242/.304 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 12 | 40% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.244/.306 | .118 | .318 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .146/.206/.239 | .093 | .257 | 13 | 0 | 46% | 6% | 11 | -1.5 |
|
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→46 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .190/.256/.311 | .120 | .289 | 12 | 8 | 37% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .222/.290/.373 | .151 | .314 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.304/.404 | .174 | .313 | 21 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 96 | +1.0 |