Jeferson Quero

C Nashville Sounds
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 203 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 ILForty Man (40M)
Overview
AAA40M40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP40OGV rank#293ETA2028MLB%30%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202320AAMIL381.262/.342/.44016584—.231/.292/.372
202522AAA/ROK/INTL2 orgs413.261/.355/.466172100—.238/.311/.396
202623AAAMIL490.245/.319/.39715265—.213/.271/.327
2027PROJ30% MLB24MLBMIL52.224/.285/.34910800.1
2028PROJ52% MLB25MLBMIL135.227/.289/.36141840.4
2029PROJ62% MLB26MLBMIL189.229/.292/.36851860.6
Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$2M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV84
K%59
Z-Con%53
Speed37
Whiff%34
BB%26
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 79%
CompsLenyn Sosa (age 24) · Bobby Wilson (age 24) · Luis Torrens (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .285 / .349
PA52
HR1
K%27
BB%6
BABIP284
ISO104
MLB%30%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.60.60.50.30.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2026
POWER
Bat Spd
5571.9
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Arb-1$2M+0.5$1M+$0.3M
2033Arb-2$2M+0.3$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-3$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $4M $8M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ROKACL Brewers Blue — 8368 21512 12103 43 309434500934 191339 1214 416 99 — — — — — —
202219 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 8583 26414 2150 00 313329530860 217344 182 375 87 — — — — — —
202219 ACarolina Mudcats — 320284 791816 28613 102 278348412760 134330 199 337 66 — — — — — —
202219 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5545 10310 7132 20 222352333685 111303 2413 314 98 — — — — — —
202320 AABiloxi Shuckers — 381336 8812016 38683 50 262342440783 179281 1810 346 84 — — — — — —
202522 AAANashville Sounds — 250216 551416 25354 20 255343412755 157272 1410 333 82 — — — — — —
202522 ROKACL Brewers — 4435 13305 752 00 3715008861.386 514320 1116 571 160 — — — — — —
202522 INTLCardenales de Lara — 119105 25306 13221 00 238328438766 200247 1811 341 117 — — — — — —
202623 AAANashville Sounds — 490436 10717215 391048 21 245319397716 151285 218 317 65 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 8372 18412 8143 43 250349417766 167276 1710 314 99 — — — — — —
202219 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 8583 22314 2190 00 265282470752 205290 222 297 87 — — — — — —
202219 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 320293 661414 20853 102 225282321602 96291 276 266 66 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 381347 8013012 27903 50 231292372664 141270 247 293 84 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 250223 521314 18424 20 233302354656 121256 177 290 82 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 4438 10204 472 00 263364632995 368219 169 405 160 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 490447 9514211 281258 21 213271327598 114261 266 265 65 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 8372 18412 8143 43 250349417766 167286 1710 314 99 — — — — — —
202118 ROK RAWACL Brewers Blue — 8368 21512 12103 43 309434500934 191339 1214 416 99 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE3 teams — 460425 991929 251185 122 233284351634 118297 265 273 71 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW3 teams — 460412 11525310 37895 122 279345427772 148330 198 341 71 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 381347 8013012 27903 50 231292372664 141273 247 293 84 — — — — — —
202320 AA RAWBiloxi Shuckers — 381336 8812016 38683 50 262342440783 179281 1810 346 84 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLE3 teams — 413370 8821211 31697 20 238309395703 157261 178 307 94 — — — — — —
202522 AAA RAW3 teams — 413356 9320117 45627 20 261355466822 205270 1511 361 94 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 490447 9514211 281258 21 213271327598 114265 266 265 65 — — — — — —
202623 AAA RAWNashville Sounds — 490436 10717215 391048 21 245319397716 151285 218 317 65 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEACL Brewers Blue — 8372 18412 8143 43 250349417766 167276 1710 314 99 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE3 teams — 460427 991929 251185 122 232284349632 117291 265 273 71 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 381348 8013012 27903 50 230292371662 141270 247 293 84 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLE3 teams — 413372 8821211 31697 20 237309392701 156250 178 307 94 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 490451 9514211 281258 21 211271324595 113261 266 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 AAA MLE3 teams — 413372 8821211 31697 20 237309392701 156250 178 307 94 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 490451 9514211 281258 21 211271324595 113261 266 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIL 30% 380348 781428 23996 31 226287350637 124288 266 286 80 -9 +0 +2 +7 +8 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXMIL 30% 5248 10201 3141 00 224285349634 125284 276 284 80 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIL 52% 260237 541016 17674 21 230291362653 133289 267 292 84 -5 +0 +1 +5 +6 0.7
202926 MLB MLEMIL 62% 305277 641218 20785 21 231293369663 138289 267 296 86 -5 +0 +2 +5 +7 0.9
203027 MLB MLEMIL 65% 321292 671218 21825 21 231294368662 138289 267 296 86 -5 +0 +2 +6 +7 0.9
203128 MLB MLEMIL 66% 328298 671218 22845 10 230293366659 136288 267 294 85 -6 +0 +1 +6 +7 0.9
203229 MLB MLEMIL 65% 321292 661218 22824 10 228292362653 133287 267 292 84 -6 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.7
203330 MLB MLEMIL 65% 314286 651218 21824 10 225288354642 129285 267 287 81 -7 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.5
203431 MLB MLEMIL 65% 283258 571017 19754 10 221283344627 123281 277 281 77 -8 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
202825 MLB CTXMIL 52% 135123 29514 9352 10 227289361650 134285 267 291 84 -3 +0 +1 +2 +3 0.4
202926 MLB CTXMIL 62% 189172 40715 12483 10 229292368660 139285 256 295 86 -3 +0 +1 +3 +4 0.6
203027 MLB CTXMIL 65% 208189 43716 14533 10 229292368660 139284 257 295 86 -3 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.6
203128 MLB CTXMIL 66% 217197 46816 15553 10 228291365656 137283 257 293 85 -4 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.6
203229 MLB CTXMIL 65% 210191 43716 14543 10 226290361650 135282 267 291 84 -4 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203330 MLB CTXMIL 65% 204185 41715 14533 00 223286353639 130280 267 286 81 -5 +0 -0 +4 +4 0.3
203431 MLB CTXMIL 65% 183167 36614 12482 00 219281343624 124277 267 280 77 -5 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13461224 27847736 9034619 50 227290365656 138285 267 290 81 -27 +1 +2 +24 +29 3.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 13423317 431679 20 227289362651 135285 267 290 81 -13 +0 +1 +12 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 41323758 85615715102 272101160 369 228290359649 131282 247 288 81 -46 +1 +5 +41 +50 5.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 13525216 431599 61 228290359649 130283 247 288 81 -13 +0 +1 +12 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 490 PAwOBA .313 → .265 (−48)K% 21.2% → 25.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.22%÷1.000×1.200——25.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.96%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0485.76%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.940—×1.0481.61%
Singles /BIP21.99%÷1.000×0.930×0.971×1.04820.80%
Doubles /BIP5.12%÷1.000×0.830×0.971×1.0484.32%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.000×0.970×0.971×1.0480.59%
Home runs /BIP4.52%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0483.31%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .313 → .265; ISO .151 → .117; BABIP .285 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 250 PAwOBA .331 → .290 (−41)K% 14.0% → 16.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.00%÷1.010×1.200——16.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0507.25%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.940—×1.0501.58%
Singles /BIP18.78%÷0.983×0.930×0.981×1.05018.31%
Doubles /BIP7.73%÷0.973×0.830×0.981×1.0506.80%
Triples /BIP0.55%÷0.900×0.970×0.981×1.0500.61%
Home runs /BIP3.31%÷1.111×0.700—×1.0502.19%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .331 → .290; ISO .157 → .126; BABIP .272 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 44 PAwOBA .555 → .405 (−150)K% 11.4% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.36%÷0.973×1.440——16.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.91%÷1.011×0.620—×0.9659.41%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.720—×0.9653.16%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.031×0.820—×0.96512.80%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.109×0.720—×0.9656.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Home runs /BIP16.67%÷0.971×0.780—×0.96512.92%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .555 → .405; ISO .514 → .400; BABIP .320 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 381 PAwOBA .340 → .293 (−47)K% 17.8% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.85%÷0.924×1.220——23.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.97%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0507.12%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.840—×1.0500.69%
Singles /BIP22.39%÷0.988×0.920×0.966×1.05021.13%
Doubles /BIP4.48%÷0.827×0.910×0.966×1.0505.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880×0.966×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.97%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0504.75%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .340 → .293; ISO .179 → .150; BABIP .281 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 320 PAwOBA .332 → .266 (−66)K% 19.1% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.06%÷0.977×1.360——26.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.75%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0306.38%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.780—×1.0300.75%
Singles /BIP24.22%÷1.034×0.920×0.995×1.03022.10%
Doubles /BIP8.07%÷1.036×0.830×0.995×1.0306.63%
Triples /BIP0.45%÷1.150×0.910×0.995×1.0300.36%
Home runs /BIP2.69%÷1.136×0.800—×1.0301.95%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .332 → .266; ISO .134 → .099; BABIP .330 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 85 PAwOBA .364 → .297 (−66)K% 17.6% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.977×1.270——22.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.35%÷0.944×0.710—×1.0421.84%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.083×0.920×0.967×1.04221.39%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.049×0.810×0.967×1.0424.58%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷0.900×0.850×0.967×1.0421.40%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷0.885×0.800—×1.0425.54%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .364 → .297; ISO .217 → .185; BABIP .344 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 83 PAwOBA .406 → .314 (−92)K% 12.0% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.05%÷1.006×1.440——17.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.46%÷0.970×0.620—×1.0089.31%
HBP% /PA3.61%—×0.720—×1.0082.62%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷0.999×0.820×1.032×1.00819.13%
Doubles /BIP8.62%÷0.999×0.720×1.032×1.0086.46%
Triples /BIP1.72%÷1.050×0.720×1.032×1.0081.23%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.948×0.780—×1.0082.86%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .406 → .314; ISO .191 → .151; BABIP .339 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .