Jeferson Quero — OGILVIE

Jeferson QueroC Nashville Sounds

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 203 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .304 / .379

PA216

HR6

K%23

BB%7

BABIP286

ISO144

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT49

Whiff%

3612.5%

POWER51

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE36

Chase%

6628.6%

SPEED33

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.7M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$15M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$11M	+2.4	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$26M		$77M	+$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	83	72	18	4	1	2	8	14	3	4	3	250	349	417	766	167	286	17	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	83	68	21	5	1	2	12	10	3	4	3	309	434	500	934	191	339	12	14	416	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	460	427	92	18	2	9	23	127	5	12	2	215	264	330	594	115	280	28	5	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	460	412	115	25	3	10	37	89	5	12	2	279	345	427	772	148	330	19	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	381	348	78	14	0	12	26	103	3	5	0	224	284	368	652	144	278	27	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	381	336	88	12	0	16	38	68	3	5	0	262	342	440	783	179	281	18	10	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	3 teams	—	413	371	86	20	2	12	30	69	7	2	0	232	301	394	695	162	251	17	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	3 teams	—	413	356	93	20	1	17	45	62	7	2	0	261	355	466	822	205	270	15	11	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	MIL	—	324	290	67	10	2	9	22	79	6	2	1	231	299	372	671	141	280	24	7	288	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
YTD	23	AAA	MIL	—	324	280	74	12	2	10	32	66	6	2	1	264	352	429	781	164	306	20	10	344	121	+8	+0	+0	+6	+9	2.3
ROS	23	AAA	MIL	40%	216	195	46	8	1	6	15	50	4	2	1	236	304	379	683	144	283	23	7	306	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.9
ROS	23	MLB	MIL	40%	86	79	17	3	0	2	6	20	1	1	0	215	279	329	608	114	281	23	7	291	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
FULL	23	AAA	MIL	—	410	369	84	13	2	11	28	99	7	3	1	228	295	363	658	136	277	24	7	289	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
TOT	23	AAA	MIL	—	540	485	113	18	3	15	37	129	10	4	2	233	301	375	676	142	282	24	7	295	84	-10	+0	+0	+10	+15	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIL	61%	503	454	109	20	2	15	36	115	8	4	1	240	307	392	699	152	285	23	7	308	94	-3	+0	+1	+9	+14	2.1
2028	25	MLB	MIL	71%	516	465	112	20	2	16	38	117	8	4	1	241	309	396	705	155	285	23	7	313	97	-2	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.4
2029	26	MLB	MIL	75%	520	468	112	20	2	16	39	118	8	4	1	239	309	393	702	154	286	23	8	315	99	-1	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.5
2030	27	MLB	MIL	76%	520	468	112	20	2	16	39	119	8	4	1	239	309	393	702	154	286	23	8	315	99	-0	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.5
2031	28	MLB	MIL	76%	516	463	111	20	2	16	40	118	8	4	1	240	311	395	706	156	285	23	8	314	98	-1	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2032	29	MLB	MIL	74%	509	458	109	20	2	15	39	118	7	3	1	238	308	389	696	151	284	23	8	312	97	-2	+0	-1	+9	+14	2.2
2033	30	MLB	MIL	73%	502	451	106	19	2	15	39	117	7	3	1	235	306	386	692	151	283	23	8	309	95	-3	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.9
2034	31	MLB	MIL	73%	478	431	100	18	2	14	37	113	7	2	1	232	303	381	684	148	281	24	8	305	92	-5	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.6
2035	32	MLB	MIL	72%	387	349	79	14	1	11	30	93	5	2	0	226	297	367	664	140	277	24	8	299	87	-6	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.0
2036	33	MLB	MIL	72%	349	314	70	12	1	9	27	86	5	1	0	223	295	354	648	131	273	25	8	292	82	-7	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.6
2027	24	MLB	MIL	61%	306	276	65	12	1	9	22	70	5	2	1	236	304	384	688	149	282	23	7	294	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2028	25	MLB	MIL	71%	365	329	79	14	2	11	27	83	6	3	1	240	309	395	705	155	283	23	7	299	87	-5	+0	+1	+7	+10	1.2
2029	26	MLB	MIL	75%	391	353	84	15	2	12	29	89	6	3	1	238	307	394	700	156	283	23	7	301	88	-5	+0	+1	+7	+11	1.4
2030	27	MLB	MIL	76%	393	354	85	15	2	12	30	90	6	3	1	240	310	395	706	155	283	23	8	301	89	-5	+0	+1	+7	+11	1.4
2031	28	MLB	MIL	76%	391	352	84	15	2	12	30	90	6	3	1	239	309	395	704	156	283	23	8	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.3
2032	29	MLB	MIL	74%	377	339	80	14	2	11	29	87	6	2	1	236	307	386	694	150	282	23	8	298	87	-6	+0	-0	+7	+11	1.1
2033	30	MLB	MIL	73%	367	331	78	14	2	11	28	86	5	2	1	236	305	390	695	154	281	23	8	296	84	-6	+0	-1	+7	+10	1.0
2034	31	MLB	MIL	73%	347	312	72	13	1	10	27	82	5	2	1	231	302	375	677	144	278	24	8	292	81	-7	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.7
2035	32	MLB	MIL	72%	280	252	57	10	1	8	22	67	4	1	0	226	299	369	668	143	275	24	8	286	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2036	33	MLB	MIL	72%	252	228	50	8	1	7	19	62	3	1	0	219	288	355	643	136	271	25	8	280	72	-8	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3555	3205	751	133	16	105	269	826	53	23	8	234	304	384	688	150	282	23	8	295	84	-63	+1	-6	+63	+101	9.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	137	24	3	19	49	151	10	4	1	234	304	382	686	148	282	23	8	295	84	-12	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	6353	5734	1340	247	24	184	466	1477	93	56	14	234	302	381	683	148	281	23	7	304	90	-68	+6	-7	+113	+180	22.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	137	25	2	19	48	151	10	6	1	233	303	380	683	147	280	23	7	304	90	-7	+1	-1	+12	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	83	68	21	5	1	2	12	10	3	4	3	309	434	500	934	191	339	12	14	416	177	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	85	83	26	4	1	4	2	15	0	0	0	313	329	530	860	217	344	18	2	375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	320	284	79	18	1	6	28	61	3	10	2	278	348	412	760	134	330	19	9	337	116	+6	+1	—	—	+9	1.6
2022	19	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	55	45	10	3	1	0	7	13	2	2	0	222	352	333	685	111	303	24	13	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	381	336	88	12	0	16	38	68	3	5	0	262	342	440	783	179	281	18	10	346	123	+10	+1	—	—	+11	2.2
2025	22	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	250	216	55	14	1	6	25	35	4	2	0	255	343	412	755	157	272	14	10	333	113	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2025	22	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	44	35	13	3	0	5	7	5	2	0	0	371	500	886	1.386	514	320	11	16	571	295	+10	+0	—	—	+1	1.1
2025	22	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	119	105	25	3	0	6	13	22	1	0	0	238	328	438	766	200	247	18	11	341	119	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,566	106	23	238	303	390	+64	+1	14.1	12.7
	/162	664	20	4	238	303	390	+11.9	+0.2	2.6	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeferson Quero (OGILVIE)	23	42→49	50→51	33	36	233/301/375	142	282	15	4	24%	7%	84	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	44→49	53→60	42→40	44	230/284/406	176	271	20	3	24%	6%	92	+1.2	234/295/395	161	269	19	3	20%	7%	93	+1.3	233/324/433	200	262	26	1	22%	9%	110	+1.3
✕Jordan Diaz 2023 · MLB	22	53→56	55	42→30	43	274/310/456	182	307	23	3	20%	5%	115	+2.8	254/298/416	162	298	21	2	22%	5%	100	+1.7	246/294/401	155	288	21	0	23%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2009 · MLB	24	50→53	48→60	40	49	246/318/392	147	318	16	3	27%	9%	102	+1.8	231/293/394	163	304	19	3	29%	8%	92	+1.2	232/311/417	185	312	22	2	31%	10%	101	+1.4
✕Josmil Pinto 2014 · MLB	25	52→59	52→55	40	48	262/320/430	168	311	19	2	22%	8%	112	+2.6	237/297/384	147	289	17	2	23%	7%	91	+1.1	217/277/352	136	266	16	0	24%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Jose Miranda 2022 · AAA	24	53→57	49→50	41→40	44	266/310/414	148	295	18	4	17%	5%	104	+2.0	258/306/400	142	294	16	4	18%	5%	98	+1.6	256/305/393	137	293	14	2	17%	5%	94	+1.0
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB	25	44→54	51→50	41→40	44	222/308/378	155	297	19	3	30%	8%	95	+1.4	207/300/356	149	279	17	4	30%	9%	86	+0.8	174/281/301	128	241	13	0	31%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
✕Hank Conger 2011 · MLB	23	49→56	45→50	41→45	49	243/298/368	125	280	12	3	18%	7%	86	+0.8	232/288/363	131	272	15	3	20%	7%	82	+0.5	230/302/383	154	282	18	0	24%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Wilin Rosario 2013 · MLB	24	43→49	56→60	39→45	40	234/272/418	185	273	26	5	26%	5%	90	+1.0	237/272/388	151	279	19	5	22%	5%	81	+0.4	236/269/379	143	273	18	3	21%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Andrew Knizner 2018 · AA	23	50	46→50	42→40	45	250/297/378	128	279	13	3	16%	5%	89	+1.0	246/296/366	120	285	13	4	18%	5%	85	+0.7	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
●Luis García Jr. 2023 · MLB	23	53→57	50→60	43→50	42	267/300/427	160	311	17	6	21%	5%	103	+1.9	264/302/407	143	296	15	14	16%	5%	98	+1.6	269/307/454	185	287	24	17	16%	5%	110	+1.9
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	39	226/276/388	162	283	20	4	28%	5%	83	+0.6	205/250/323	118	284	13	3	32%	5%	55	-1.4	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
●Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	45	51→55	44→30	44	226/296/384	158	302	19	2	30%	8%	91	+1.1	230/293/378	148	285	18	2	25%	7%	88	+0.9	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Gordon Beckham 2011 · MLB	24	52→56	48→50	41→45	51	256/321/405	149	291	14	7	17%	8%	106	+2.2	239/302/360	121	275	12	6	17%	7%	86	+0.8	236/299/361	125	272	12	6	18%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→46	51→55	39→40	45	217/274/376	159	259	19	3	25%	7%	79	+0.3	223/280/380	157	271	18	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	255/322/429	174	321	17	4	25%	8%	109	+1.2
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	48→58	47→55	47→45	48	237/314/374	137	295	14	6	24%	8%	95	+1.4	241/325/402	161	291	19	6	23%	9%	108	+2.3	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Andy Marte 2007 · MLB	23	42→48	51→55	40	47	222/279/387	165	259	19	2	23%	7%	84	+0.6	228/271/381	153	262	18	3	21%	5%	79	+0.3	238/288/397	159	268	19	2	19%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Brandon Laird 2011 · AAA	23	46→48	52→55	43→30	41	243/284/409	166	282	21	3	23%	5%	92	+1.2	227/263/370	143	270	17	2	23%	4%	72	-0.2	218/259/354	136	265	17	1	25%	4%	65	-0.6
●Travis d'Arnaud 2012 · AA	23	48→54	50→60	45	40	243/287/402	159	303	17	5	26%	5%	92	+1.2	249/302/415	166	301	18	4	23%	6%	101	+1.8	258/318/455	197	288	27	1	20%	7%	115	+1.5