Ronaldo HernándezC Worcester Red Sox
Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 248 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 217 proj PA
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .273 / .347
PA217
HR5
K%23
BB%5
ISO125
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.30.1+$4M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE36
scouting grade only
SPEED43
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $1M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201517 ROKDSL Rays — 5045 8010 293 00 178260222482 44222 184 207 17 — — — — — —
201517 ROKDSL Rays — 5044 10010 363 00 227320273593 45263 126 281 73 — — — — — —
201618 ROKDSL Rays 1 — 229214 59905 12173 35 276323388711 112281 75 307 93 — — — — — —
201618 ROKDSL Rays 1 — 229206 701206 20123 35 340406485892 146340 59 398 163 — — — — — —
201719 ROKPrinceton Rays — 246230 591614 9554 22 257296387683 130316 224 292 82 — — — — — —
201719 ROKPrinceton Rays — 246223 742215 16394 22 332387507894 175379 167 390 157 — — — — — —
201820 A2 teams — 465430 9715116 22976 104 226273377650 151250 215 280 72 — — — — — —
201820 A2 teams — 465419 12020221 33706 104 286347494841 208296 157 365 137 — — — — — —
201921 A+2 teams — 469439 9918310 14956 70 226259349608 123259 203 263 59 — — — — — —
201921 A+2 teams — 469432 11822310 19746 70 273312407719 134302 164 313 98 — — — — — —
202123 AA3 teams — 409389 9323119 89911 02 239275450724 211272 242 305 92 — — — — — —
202123 AA3 teams — 409385 10630116 127911 02 275316483799 208309 193 350 126 — — — — — —
202224 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 439418 9117016 151082 03 218248373621 156252 253 265 61 — — — — — —
202224 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 439410 10727017 21922 03 261299451750 190295 215 326 108 — — — — — —
202325 AAA2 teams — 456406 8111017 339210 20 200276352628 153211 207 279 72 — — — — — —
202325 AAA2 teams — 456391 9419017 487910 20 240339419758 179255 1711 336 115 — — — — — —
202426 AAAReno Aces — 237224 51807 8505 00 228270357627 129263 213 264 60 — — — — — —
202426 AAAReno Aces — 237219 6810011 11365 00 311354507861 196331 155 378 148 — — — — — —
202527 AAA3 teams — 304285 491005 16841 31 172219260478 88222 285 208 17 — — — — — —
202527 AAA3 teams — 304272 601405 25661 31 221285327612 107271 228 275 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202628 MLBBOS — 217201 44805 11513 21 219270333603 114271 245 279 72 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBBOS 33% 260241 541007 14613 21 224275353628 129272 235 282 74 -8 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.3
202830 MLBBOS 46% 300276 631118 17714 21 228283362645 134272 246 282 74 -9 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.3
202931 MLBBOS 54% 288266 601117 17693 11 226280353633 128271 246 280 72 -9 -0 -3 +5 +8 0.1
202729 MLBBOS 33% 8579 17302 5201 10 215271329600 114278 246 277 70 -3 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.1
202830 MLBBOS 46% 138127 28503 8332 10 220277331608 110279 246 278 71 -5 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
202931 MLBBOS 54% 154142 32604 9372 10 225281352633 127277 246 276 69 -5 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 377348 771409 22905 30 221277339616 118271 246 277 70 -13 +1 -3 +7 +11 0.2
/ 162G— — 650600 13324016 381559 50 222278342620 120271 246 277 70 -22 +1 -5 +12 +18 0.4
Career— — 43694064 9081679126 19895864 3421 223270362632 139259 225 274 68 -157 -2 -6 +78 +124 3.8
/ 162G— — 650605 13525119 2914310 53 223271362633 139258 224 274 68 -23 -0 -1 +12 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201517 ROKDSL Rays — 5044 10010 363 00 227320273593 45263 126 281 73 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.0
201618 ROKDSL Rays 1 — 229206 701206 20123 35 340406485892 146340 59 398 163 +16 -1 — — +6 2.2
201719 ROKPrinceton Rays — 246223 742215 16394 22 332387507894 175379 167 390 157 +16 -0 — — +7 2.3
201820 ABowling Green Hot Rods — 449405 11520121 31696 104 284344494838 210292 157 363 136 +18 +0 — — +13 3.2
201820 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 1614 5010 210 00 357438500938 143385 612 414 175 +1 +0 — — +0 0.2
201921 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 427393 1041939 17656 70 265304397701 132290 154 305 92 -4 +1 — — +12 1.0
201921 INTLSalt River Rafters — 4239 14301 290 00 359390513903 154433 215 390 157 +3 +0 — — +1 0.4
202123 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 3027 9300 172 00 333400444844 111450 233 382 150 +2 +0 — — +1 0.3
202123 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 357336 9426116 11709 02 280320506826 226311 203 361 134 +14 -1 — — +10 2.4
202123 INTLToros del Este — 2222 3100 020 00 136136182318 45150 90 141 -34 -3 +0 — — +1 -0.3
202224 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 439410 10727017 21922 03 261299451750 190295 215 326 108 +4 -1 — — +12 1.5
202325 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 393335 8117017 416910 20 242342445787 203250 1810 345 122 +10 +0 — — +11 2.2
202325 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 6356 13200 7100 00 232317268585 36283 1611 276 70 -2 +0 — — +2 -0.0
202426 AAAReno Aces — 237219 6810011 11365 00 311354507861 196331 155 378 148 +13 +0 — — +7 2.0
202527 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 10492 18402 9220 10 196265304569 109229 219 254 53 -6 +0 — — +3 -0.2
202527 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 10191 18402 8230 01 198257308565 110242 238 255 53 -5 -0 — — +3 -0.3
202527 INTLToros del Este — 9989 24601 8211 20 270333371704 101343 218 318 102 +0 +0 — — +3 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
1399102225277351+7+40.50.5
/162664174+11.9+6.70.8pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ronaldo Hernández (OGILVIE) 28 46 43 43 36 223/273/347 124271 52 23% 5% 72 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Bryan Holaday
2017 · MLB 		29 46 45 43→40 41 229/275/350 121280 125 23% 5% 72 -0.2 229/282/357 128264 133 18% 6% 78 +0.2 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0
✕Brad Davis
2011 · MLB 		28 43 48→50 44→45 45 219/279/365 145272 155 25% 7% 79 +0.3 213/262/323 110282 106 27% 6% 59 -1.1 198/242/289912677428%5%40-1.0
✕Austin Wynns
2019 · MLB 		28 47→51 45 47→30 44 235/285/349 114286 143 23% 6% 76 +0.1 223/276/327 104271 134 22% 6% 66 -0.6 235/302/33810429012322%7%78+0.1
✕Austin Romine
2017 · MLB 		28 47→53 45 45 42 234/269/358 124270 124 19% 4% 72 -0.2 235/281/361 126287 144 22% 6% 78 +0.2 252/290/39214031618226%5%88+0.3
✕Pedro Severino
2020 · MLB 		27 43→48 47→50 46→45 47 222/284/353 131259 165 22% 7% 78 +0.2 240/304/379 139298 165 24% 8% 92 +1.2 246/308/37713131415325%8%90+0.5
✕Brett Hayes
2012 · MLB 		28 43 48→45 48→40 43 220/269/365 145274 164 26% 6% 74 -0.1 217/256/369 152290 186 31% 5% 70 -0.3 187/219/31913324116230%3%36-1.1
✕Francisco Peña
2019 · MLB 		29 44→46 47→55 48→40 40 226/263/353 127273 156 24% 5% 68 -0.5 221/263/389 168255 235 24% 5% 78 +0.2 198/243/38218421328123%4%68-0.3
✕Grayson Greiner
2021 · MLB 		28 41 48→45 46→30 43 210/274/348 137279 174 30% 8% 72 -0.2 197/260/308 111344 125 43% 7% 56 -1.3 179/245/2678833110145%7%36-0.9
✕Jett Bandy
2018 · MLB 		28 44 49→50 44→45 43 225/287/369 144265 185 23% 5% 83 +0.6 211/274/352 141265 186 27% 5% 74 -0.1 186/251/30612024216229%4%50-0.6
✕Wyatt Toregas
2010 · MLB 		27 45→40 47→50 43→40 45 226/279/354 127260 154 20% 6% 76 +0.0 207/258/318 111251 126 22% 5% 57 -1.2 171/215/2699818713018%4%27-0.7
✕Dan Butler
2015 · MLB 		28 43→38 43→45 44→40 43 213/270/326 113269 113 25% 6% 64 -0.8 220/284/316 96287 63 24% 7% 67 -0.5 220/291/305852865023%8%65-0.3
✕Andrew Susac
2017 · MLB 		27 41→40 47→50 47→30 43 210/272/345 135276 153 29% 7% 70 -0.3 196/269/337 141275 175 33% 9% 68 -0.5 165/254/30514022919035%10%53-0.5
✕Caleb Joseph
2014 · AAA 		28 47→49 48→50 46→40 42 236/274/379 142277 155 21% 5% 79 +0.3 221/268/351 130267 153 23% 6% 69 -0.4 221/269/33911826814023%6%65-0.3
✕Danny Mendick
2022 · MLB 		28 46→49 43→45 43→50 46 225/285/331 105277 118 23% 7% 72 -0.2 236/295/361 125290 1412 23% 7% 84 +0.6 230/289/365135277151522%7%78+0.1
✕Xavier Fernández
2023 · AAA 		28 46 42→50 46→40 43 227/270/325 98274 105 22% 5% 63 -0.8 239/291/381 142289 155 22% 6% 88 +0.9 245/302/41517029018022%7%98+1.1
✕Rob Johnson
2010 · MLB 		28 48→52 41→45 41→50 48 233/287/339 107277 86 19% 7% 74 -0.1 213/284/321 108267 97 22% 8% 69 -0.4 197/271/295982469522%8%52-0.6
✕John Hester
2012 · MLB 		28 45 44→55 41→50 42 223/278/339 116296 117 28% 6% 70 -0.3 200/258/312 112287 125 33% 7% 56 -1.3 184/244/29110726911434%7%42-1.0
✕Dusty Brown
2011 · AAA 		29 42 44→45 47→30 43 212/272/328 116281 123 28% 7% 66 -0.6 219/288/371 152273 165 25% 8% 84 +0.6 214/294/38316925618123%9%90+0.3
✕Chris Nelson
2013 · MLB 		27 49→52 45→50 46→50 43 243/289/369 125298 127 22% 6% 82 +0.5 234/284/344 110297 106 24% 6% 74 -0.1 225/277/323982849523%6%63-0.5
✕Aramis Garcia
2022 · MLB 		29 40→42 47→55 44→45 37 207/255/336 129285 164 33% 5% 61 -1.0 197/239/324 127269 167 33% 4% 51 -1.7 176/253/32514924121536%7%57-0.5