Matt Dominguez

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1989-08-28

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	25	AAAColorado Spri…	475	.269/.313/.410	10	0	52	—	.209/.245/.316
2016	26	AAATOR	514	.269/.318/.421	18	1	67	—	.231/.269/.345
2017	27	AAAPawtucket Red…	451	.264/.299/.425	16	3	62	—	.226/.254/.350

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	17	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		105	9	5	114	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	381	345	102	16	0	18	28	68	5	0	1	296	357	499	856	203	321	18	7	375	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	114	97	18	7	0	2	14	24	1	0	0	186	295	320	614	134	222	21	12	279	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	429	381	100	25	1	11	38	68	5	1	0	262	337	420	757	157	290	16	9	335	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	577	504	127	34	2	14	56	96	9	0	2	252	337	411	748	159	282	17	10	332	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB	Florida Marlins	—	48	45	11	4	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	244	292	333	625	89	297	17	4	283	86	-1	+0	-2	+2	+1	0.1
2011	21	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	356	325	84	18	1	12	24	50	3	0	1	258	315	431	746	172	270	14	7	328	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	19	15	2	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	0	133	316	133	449		154	11	16	244	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	18	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	167	250	167	417		200	15	5	207	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	95	84	19	2	0	4	8	19	2	0	0	226	309	393	701	167	242	20	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB	Houston Astros	—	113	109	31	2	2	5	4	17	0	0	0	284	310	477	787	193	299	15	4	344	115	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.8
2012	22	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	492	447	115	24	0	9	34	52	3	0	1	257	314	371	685	114	271	11	7	304	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB	Houston Astros	—	589	543	131	25	0	21	30	96	7	0	1	241	290	403	693	162	254	16	5	304	90	-7	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2014	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	607	564	121	17	0	16	29	125	5	0	1	215	259	330	589	115	244	21	5	261	61	-28	-0	-1	+2	+13	-1.5
2015	25	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	475	442	119	30	1	10	19	65	9	0	0	269	313	410	722	140	294	14	4	319	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	514	475	128	18	0	18	29	70	5	1	0	269	318	421	739	152	281	14	6	326	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	451	424	112	20	0	16	19	68	2	3	2	264	299	425	723	160	277	15	4	316	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1357	1261	294	48	2	42	65	246	13	0	2	233	278	374	652	141	255	18	5	287	81	-31	-1	-2	+8	+29	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		88	14	5	93	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	381	354	89	13	0	15	19	91	5	0	1	251	299	415	714	164	291	24	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	114	101	18	7	0	2	10	29	1	0	0	178	259	307	566	129	207	25	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	429	391	90	23	1	10	28	97	5	1	0	230	290	371	661	141	270	23	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	577	524	125	35	2	13	36	114	9	0	2	239	299	387	686	149	271	20	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Florida Marlins	—	48	45	11	4	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	244	292	333	625	89	297	17	4	295	86	-1	+0	-2	+2	+1	0.1
2011	21	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	356	330	75	15	1	10	19	64	3	0	1	227	276	370	645	142	247	18	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	19	16	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	125	263	125	388		149	11	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	20	18	3	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	167	250	167	417		192	20	5	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	113	110	31	2	2	5	3	17	0	0	0	282	301	473	774	191	299	15	3	338	115	+2	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.8
2012	22	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City RedHawks	—	492	459	104	21	0	7	22	66	3	0	1	227	267	318	585	92	244	13	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	589	544	131	24	0	22	29	96	7	0	1	241	288	406	694	165	254	16	5	301	90	-7	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2014	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	607	566	120	16	0	16	27	125	5	0	1	212	254	325	579	113	244	21	4	258	61	-28	-0	-1	+2	+13	-1.5
2015	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	475	449	94	19	1	9	12	86	9	0	0	209	245	316	561	107	235	18	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	514	484	112	16	0	13	20	89	5	1	0	231	269	345	614	114	253	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	451	429	97	17	0	12	14	83	2	3	2	226	254	350	604	124	246	18	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		111	14	5	93	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	—	22	20	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	100	143	100	243		105	9	5	114	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	381	354	89	13	0	15	19	91	5	0	1	251	299	415	714	164	295	24	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	381	345	102	16	0	18	28	68	5	0	1	296	357	499	856	203	321	18	7	375	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	543	492	106	30	1	11	38	126	6	1	0	215	280	348	627	132	263	23	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	543	478	118	32	1	13	52	92	6	1	0	247	328	400	728	153	277	17	10	323	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	577	524	125	35	2	13	36	114	9	0	2	239	299	387	686	149	277	20	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA RAW	Jacksonville Suns	—	577	504	127	34	2	14	56	96	9	0	2	252	337	411	748	159	282	17	10	332	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	538	497	111	24	1	12	28	96	8	0	1	223	276	348	624	125	251	18	5	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA RAW	5 teams	—	538	487	119	24	1	16	38	82	8	0	1	244	310	396	706	152	261	15	7	314	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	569	135	23	2	12	25	83	3	0	1	237	273	348	621	111	257	14	4	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	605	556	146	26	2	14	38	69	3	0	1	263	313	392	705	129	276	11	6	312	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	589	544	131	24	0	22	29	96	7	0	1	241	288	406	694	165	252	16	5	301	90	-7	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2013	23	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	589	543	131	25	0	21	30	96	7	0	1	241	290	403	693	162	254	16	5	304	90	-7	-0	+0	+2	+13	0.8
2014	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	607	566	120	16	0	16	27	125	5	0	1	212	254	325	579	113	241	21	4	258	61	-28	-0	-1	+2	+13	-1.5
2014	24	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	607	564	121	17	0	16	29	125	5	0	1	215	259	330	589	115	244	21	5	261	61	-28	-0	-1	+2	+13	-1.5
2015	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	475	449	94	19	1	9	12	86	9	0	0	209	245	316	561	107	237	18	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	475	442	119	30	1	10	19	65	9	0	0	269	313	410	722	140	294	14	4	319	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	514	484	112	16	0	13	20	89	5	1	0	231	269	345	614	114	256	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	514	475	128	18	0	18	29	70	5	1	0	269	318	421	739	152	281	14	6	326	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	451	429	97	17	0	12	14	83	2	3	2	226	254	350	604	124	250	18	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	451	424	112	20	0	16	19	68	2	3	2	264	299	425	723	160	277	15	4	316	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	95	143	95	238		88	14	5	93	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	381	354	89	13	0	15	19	91	5	0	1	251	299	415	714	164	291	24	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	543	494	106	30	1	11	38	126	6	1	0	215	280	346	626	132	257	23	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	577	527	125	35	2	13	36	114	9	0	2	237	299	385	684	148	271	20	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA MLE	5 teams	—	538	497	111	24	1	12	28	96	8	0	1	223	276	348	624	125	246	18	5	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	572	135	23	2	12	25	83	3	0	1	236	273	346	619	110	254	14	4	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	589	548	131	24	0	22	29	96	7	0	1	239	288	403	691	164	254	16	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	607	570	120	16	0	16	27	125	5	0	1	211	254	323	577	112	244	21	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	475	451	94	19	1	9	12	86	9	0	0	208	245	315	560	106	235	18	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	514	484	112	16	0	13	20	89	5	1	0	231	269	345	614	114	253	17	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	451	432	97	17	0	12	14	83	2	3	2	225	254	347	601	123	246	18	3	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1357	1261	294	48	2	42	65	246	13	0	2	233	278	374	652	141	255	18	5	287	72	-31	-1	-2	+8	+29	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	141	23	1	20	31	118	6	0	1	233	278	374	652	141	256	18	5	287	72	-15	-0	-1	+4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5302	4928	1122	217	7	135	249	992	59	5	9	228	273	357	630	129	256	19	5	275	72	-31	-1	-2	+8	+29	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	139	27	1	17	31	122	7	1	1	230	276	363	638	132	258	19	5	275	72	-15	-0	-1	+4	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 451 PAwOBA .311 → .260 (−51)K% 15.1% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.08%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	18.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.21%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.08%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.41%
Singles /BIP	21.35%	÷0.987	×0.930	×0.973	×0.992	19.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.62%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.973	×0.992	4.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.973	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.49%	÷1.106	×0.840	—	×0.992	3.39%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .311 → .260; ISO .160 → .124; BABIP .277 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 514 PAwOBA .320 → .267 (−53)K% 13.6% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.62%	÷0.937	×1.200	—	—	17.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.64%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.78%
HBP% /PA	0.97%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.92%
Singles /BIP	22.72%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.991	×1.003	20.84%
Doubles /BIP	4.44%	÷0.917	×0.830	×0.991	×1.003	4.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.991	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.44%	÷1.164	×0.840	—	×1.003	3.22%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .320 → .267; ISO .152 → .115; BABIP .281 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 475 PAwOBA .311 → .245 (−66)K% 13.7% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.68%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	18.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.58%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×1.018	2.55%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.89%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷1.044	×0.900	×0.975	×1.018	17.70%
Doubles /BIP	7.96%	÷1.214	×0.810	×0.975	×1.018	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.27%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.975	×1.018	0.19%
Home runs /BIP	2.65%	÷0.886	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.38%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .311 → .245; ISO .140 → .106; BABIP .294 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 492 PAwOBA .298 → .259 (−39)K% 10.6% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.57%	÷1.018	×1.290	—	—	13.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.50%	÷1.079	×0.710	—	×1.050	4.49%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.63%
Singles /BIP	20.76%	÷1.001	×0.900	×0.973	×1.050	19.07%
Doubles /BIP	6.08%	÷0.960	×0.810	×0.973	×1.050	5.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.101	×0.810	×0.973	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.28%	÷1.033	×0.780	—	×1.050	1.81%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 92, 3B 120, K 104, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .298 → .259; ISO .114 → .096; BABIP .271 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 356 PAwOBA .322 → .282 (−40)K% 14.0% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.04%	÷1.007	×1.290	—	—	18.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.74%	÷0.973	×0.710	—	×1.050	5.16%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.87%
Singles /BIP	19.27%	÷0.983	×0.900	×0.982	×1.050	18.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.55%	÷0.971	×0.810	×0.982	×1.050	5.63%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.982	×1.050	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	4.36%	÷0.939	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.80%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .322 → .282; ISO .172 → .147; BABIP .270 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 20 PAwOBA .203 → .179 (−24)K% 15.0% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.00%	÷1.005	×1.420	—	—	21.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.016	×0.750	—	×1.012	3.73%
HBP% /PA	5.00%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	4.71%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.971	×0.920	—	×1.012	19.18%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.960	—	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.943	×0.810	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.848	×0.880	—	×1.012	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 94, 2B 88, 3B 89, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .203 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAJacksonville Suns · 19 PAwOBA .240 → .205 (−35)K% 10.5% → 12.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.53%	÷1.046	×1.220	—	—	12.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.79%	÷1.001	×0.680	—	×1.042	11.18%
HBP% /PA	5.26%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	4.61%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷0.992	×0.920	—	×1.042	14.87%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.935	×0.910	—	×1.042	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.936	×0.880	—	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.800	—	×1.042	0.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 87, K 109, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .240 → .205; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .154 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAJacksonville Suns · 577 PAwOBA .325 → .298 (−27)K% 16.6% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.64%	÷1.030	×1.220	—	—	19.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.19%	÷1.037	×0.680	—	×1.050	6.32%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	1.38%
Singles /BIP	18.87%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.006	×1.050	17.81%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.953	×0.910	×1.006	×1.050	8.40%
Triples /BIP	0.49%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.006	×1.050	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	3.43%	÷0.955	×0.800	—	×1.050	3.02%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 106, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .325 → .298; ISO .159 → .153; BABIP .282 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .