Axiel Plaz

C Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP50OGV rank#44ETA2028MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418A/ROKPIT306.203/.309/.42115143—.151/.233/.301
202519A+/A/INTL2 orgs334.256/.356/.40410182—.203/.277/.349
202620A+PIT412.305/.391/.513183110—.265/.330/.440
2027PROJMLE21MLBPIT9.227/.291/.38400920.0
2028PROJ45% MLB22MLBPIT164.232/.298/.39761980.6
2029PROJ62% MLB23MLBPIT251.235/.302/.405921021.1
Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$8M2033Arb-3$11M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
K%85
wOBA83
wRC+80
ISO75
Z-Con%72
Whiff%67
Career WAR0.3 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 27, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 66%
CompsMark Vientos (age 22) · Travis Denker (age 21) · Ryan Lavarnway (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .291 / .384
PA9
HR0
K%22
BB%11
BABIP265
ISO168
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.00.91.90.00.61.11.31.41.41.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$32M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$8M+$7M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$8M+$8M
2031Arb-1$5M+1.4$8M+$5M
2032Arb-2$8M+1.4$8M+$3M
2033Arb-3$11M+1.4$7M+$1M
Totals $26M $41M +$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202216 ROKDSL PIT Gold — 8668 261113 13164 20 3825067061.212 324460 1915 511 107 — — — — — —
202317 ROKFCL Pirates — 13199 15411 214010 01 152354242596 91237 3116 298 18 — — — — — —
202418 ABradenton Marauders — 281242 5011015 32823 10 207307438745 231235 2911 326 45 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Pirates — 2519 3100 451 00 158333211544 53200 2016 265 24 — — — — — —
202519 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 4235 3101 561 00 86220200420 11469 1412 202 -6 — — — — — —
202519 ABradenton Marauders — 233202 531109 21477 10 262352450803 188295 209 354 82 — — — — — —
202519 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 5948 17000 1080 00 354466354820 415 1417 379 143 — — — — — —
202620 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers — 412357 10920018 397112 31 305391513904 207336 179 397 110 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202216 ROK MLEDSL PIT Gold — 8671 17711 10204 20 239365408773 169288 2312 327 107 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 131107 10211 136110 01 93254159413 65185 4710 195 18 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 281252 387011 221143 10 151227310537 159201 418 235 45 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 2520 3100 371 00 150292200492 50163 2812 203 24 — — — — — —
202519 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 4237 3101 381 00 81171189360 10861 197 159 -6 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 233209 47808 14647 10 225296378674 153269 276 289 82 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 412373 9917016 249312 31 265330440770 174306 236 331 110 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL PIT Gold — 8671 17711 10204 20 239365408773 169314 2312 327 107 — — — — — —
202216 ROK RAWDSL PIT Gold — 8668 261113 13164 20 3825067061.212 324460 1915 511 107 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 131107 10211 136110 01 93254159413 65196 4710 195 18 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 13199 15411 214010 01 152354242596 91237 3116 298 18 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 306272 418011 251214 10 151233301534 151207 408 232 43 — — — — — —
202418 A RAW2 teams — 306261 5312015 36874 10 203309421730 218232 2812 321 43 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE3 teams — 334300 5911010 21878 10 197267333601 137236 266 269 68 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW3 teams — 334285 7312010 36618 10 256356404759 147288 1811 339 68 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 412373 9917016 249312 31 265330440770 174311 236 331 110 — — — — — —
202620 A+ RAWGreensboro Grasshoppers — 412357 10920018 397112 31 305391513904 207336 179 397 110 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL PIT Gold — 8672 17711 10204 20 236365403767 167288 2312 327 107 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 131107 10211 136110 01 93254159413 65185 4710 195 18 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 306274 418011 251214 10 150233299532 150198 408 232 43 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE3 teams — 334302 5911010 21878 10 195267331599 136237 266 269 68 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 412373 9917016 249312 31 265330440770 174306 236 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLE2 teams — 306274 418011 251214 10 150233299532 150198 408 232 43 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE3 teams — 334302 5911010 21878 10 195267331599 136237 266 269 68 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEGreensboro Grasshoppers — 412373 9917016 249312 31 265330440770 174306 236 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEPIT 4% 522474 10919119 3212211 31 229293393686 164265 236 305 92 -5 +0 -1 +9 +11 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXPIT 4% 98 1000 120 00 227291384675 157265 2211 300 92 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEPIT 45% 364330 7814114 24837 31 234300407707 173267 237 313 98 -1 +0 -1 +7 +8 1.3
202923 MLB MLEPIT 62% 408370 8715116 27918 41 237304415719 178269 227 318 102 +1 +0 -0 +7 +9 1.7
203024 MLB MLEPIT 67% 445403 9717118 31988 41 240307420728 181271 227 322 104 +2 +0 -0 +8 +10 2.0
203125 MLB MLEPIT 69% 445403 9717118 31988 41 241309422731 181272 227 323 105 +3 +0 -0 +8 +10 2.1
203226 MLB MLEPIT 70% 445402 9717118 32988 31 241310421731 180272 227 323 105 +3 +0 -0 +8 +10 2.1
203327 MLB MLEPIT 69% 445402 9717118 32988 31 240309418727 179272 227 322 104 +2 +0 -0 +8 +10 2.0
203428 MLB MLEPIT 68% 445402 9517117 32998 21 238306414720 176271 227 319 102 +1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.8
203529 MLB MLEPIT 67% 445402 9517117 321018 10 235304407711 172269 237 315 99 -0 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.6
203630 MLB MLEPIT 66% 445403 9417017 311028 00 232300399699 167267 237 310 96 -2 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.4
203731 MLB MLEPIT 65% 426386 8715015 30997 00 228295389684 161264 237 304 92 -4 +0 -3 +8 +9 1.0
203832 MLB MLEPIT 65% 407369 8214014 28977 00 222289376665 154260 247 296 87 -6 +0 -4 +7 +9 0.6
203933 MLB MLEPIT 70% 366333 7212012 24896 00 216281361641 145255 247 287 80 -9 +0 -4 +7 +8 0.2
204034 MLB MLEPIT 66% 296271 56909 19744 00 208271342613 134248 256 275 72 -10 +0 -5 +5 +6 -0.3
202822 MLB CTXPIT 45% 164149 34606 11373 10 232298397695 165267 237 309 98 -0 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.6
202923 MLB CTXPIT 62% 251227 531009 17565 20 235302405707 170269 227 314 102 +0 +0 -0 +4 +5 1.1
203024 MLB CTXPIT 67% 296268 6412111 20656 31 238305410715 172271 227 317 104 +1 +0 -0 +5 +6 1.3
203125 MLB CTXPIT 69% 306275 6612111 22676 31 238307412719 173272 227 318 105 +2 +0 -0 +5 +7 1.4
203226 MLB CTXPIT 70% 311280 6713111 22686 21 239308411718 172273 227 318 105 +2 +0 -0 +6 +7 1.4
203327 MLB CTXPIT 69% 307277 6612111 22685 21 237307408715 171272 227 317 104 +1 +0 -0 +5 +7 1.4
203428 MLB CTXPIT 68% 305275 6512111 22685 10 236305404708 168271 227 314 102 +1 +0 -1 +5 +7 1.3
203529 MLB CTXPIT 67% 297269 6312011 21675 00 233302397699 164270 237 311 99 -0 +0 -1 +5 +6 1.1
203630 MLB CTXPIT 66% 292264 6011010 21675 00 230298390688 160268 237 306 96 -1 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.9
203731 MLB CTXPIT 65% 277251 561009 19655 00 226293380673 154265 237 300 92 -3 +0 -2 +5 +6 0.7
203832 MLB CTXPIT 65% 264240 531008 18634 00 221287367654 147261 247 292 87 -4 +0 -2 +5 +6 0.4
203933 MLB CTXPIT 70% 257234 50908 17634 00 214279352631 138255 257 283 80 -6 +0 -3 +5 +6 0.1
204034 MLB CTXPIT 66% 194176 37606 13493 00 206270334604 128249 257 271 72 -6 +0 -3 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 35213185 7341355122 24580362 144 230298391689 160269 237 307 92 -14 +1 -14 +63 +76 11.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13625123 4514811 31 231298395692 163269 237 307 92 -3 +0 -3 +12 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 68616190 140425110250 4791658137 329 227297392689 165267 247 305 92 -23 +2 -22 +100 +121 18.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 13424124 4515713 31 229298396694 167269 247 305 92 -3 +0 -3 +12 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 412 PAwOBA .389 → .331 (−58)K% 17.2% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.23%÷1.000×1.310——22.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.47%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0275.83%
HBP% /PA2.91%—×0.770—×1.0272.30%
Singles /BIP24.83%÷1.000×0.870×1.050×1.02723.29%
Doubles /BIP6.99%÷1.000×0.780×1.050×1.0275.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.050×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP6.29%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0275.69%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .389 → .331; ISO .207 → .183; BABIP .336 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 233 PAwOBA .349 → .289 (−60)K% 20.2% → 27.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.17%÷1.000×1.360——27.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.01%÷1.052×0.690—×1.0306.09%
HBP% /PA3.00%—×0.780—×1.0302.41%
Singles /BIP21.29%÷0.993×0.920×1.007×1.03020.46%
Doubles /BIP7.10%÷1.084×0.830×1.007×1.0305.64%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.910×1.007×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP5.81%÷0.932×0.800—×1.0305.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .349 → .289; ISO .188 → .155; BABIP .295 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 42 PAwOBA .202 → .159 (−43)K% 14.3% → 18.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷0.994×1.310——18.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.90%÷0.980×0.600—×1.0427.60%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.770—×1.0421.91%
Singles /BIP3.45%÷0.950×0.870—×1.0423.29%
Doubles /BIP3.45%÷0.998×0.780—×1.0422.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.025×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷1.048×0.880—×1.0423.02%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .202 → .159; ISO .114 → .102; BABIP .069 → .061. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ABradenton Marauders · 281 PAwOBA .320 → .235 (−85)K% 29.2% → 40.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.18%÷0.975×1.360——40.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.03%÷1.010×0.690—×1.0457.87%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.780—×1.0450.87%
Singles /BIP15.00%÷0.977×0.920×0.954×1.04514.08%
Doubles /BIP6.88%÷1.124×0.830×0.954×1.0455.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.052×0.910×0.954×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP9.38%÷1.046×0.800—×1.0457.50%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .320 → .235; ISO .231 → .162; BABIP .235 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 25 PAwOBA .270 → .203 (−67)K% 20.0% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.032×1.440——27.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.00%÷0.964×0.620—×1.00810.36%
HBP% /PA4.00%—×0.720—×1.0082.90%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.003×0.820—×1.00811.76%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.917×0.720—×1.0085.65%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.978×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.921×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .270 → .203; ISO .053 → .044; BABIP .200 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 131 PAwOBA .294 → .195 (−99)K% 30.5% → 46.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.53%÷0.949×1.440——46.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.03%÷1.002×0.620—×1.02210.15%
HBP% /PA7.63%—×0.720—×1.0225.62%
Singles /BIP15.25%÷0.984×0.820×0.970×1.02212.61%
Doubles /BIP6.78%÷1.026×0.720×0.970×1.0224.72%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷0.966×0.720×0.970×1.0221.25%
Home runs /BIP1.69%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0221.46%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .294 → .195; ISO .091 → .058; BABIP .237 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 86 PAwOBA .504 → .327 (−177)K% 18.6% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.60%÷0.969×1.220——23.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.12%÷0.956×0.700—×1.02211.32%
HBP% /PA4.65%—×0.700—×1.0223.33%
Singles /BIP21.15%÷1.004×0.680—×1.02214.65%
Doubles /BIP21.15%÷1.007×0.600—×1.02212.88%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.091×0.600—×1.0221.08%
Home runs /BIP5.77%÷1.111×0.470—×1.0222.49%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 118, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .504 → .327; ISO .324 → .176; BABIP .460 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .