Axiel Plaz — OGILVIE

Axiel PlazC Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION259 act + 172 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .299 / .385

PA172

HR6

K%27

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED24

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$19M	+$18M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+3.3	$18M	+$14M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+3.3	$17M	+$11M
2033	Arb-3	$16M	+3.3	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$36M		$106M	+$87M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	72	19	7	1	2	9	25	4	2	0	264	376	472	849	208	370	29	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	68	26	11	1	3	13	16	4	2	0	382	506	706	1.212	324	460	19	15	511	249	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	131	107	10	2	1	1	13	64	10	0	1	93	254	159	413	65	209	49	10	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	131	99	15	4	1	1	21	40	10	0	1	152	354	242	596	91	237	31	16	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	306	272	38	8	0	10	25	129	4	1	0	140	223	279	502	140	203	42	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A	2 teams	—	306	261	53	12	0	15	36	87	4	1	0	203	309	421	730	218	232	28	12	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	334	300	59	11	0	11	21	91	8	1	0	197	267	343	611	147	236	27	6	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	334	285	73	12	0	10	36	61	8	1	0	256	356	404	759	147	288	18	11	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	PIT	—	259	235	64	10	0	8	14	64	8	3	0	272	335	417	752	145	339	25	5	324	106	+2	+1	+0	+5	+7	1.5
YTD	20	A+	PIT	—	259	227	71	12	0	10	21	48	8	3	0	313	389	498	887	185	357	19	8	390	157	+17	+1	+0	+5	+7	3.0
ROS	20	A+	PIT	0%	172	155	36	6	0	6	11	46	4	1	0	231	299	385	684	154	293	27	6	305	92	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
ROS	20	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						291	0	0	286	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	A+	PIT	—	260	236	64	10	0	8	14	64	8	3	0	271	333	415	749	144	337	25	5	324	106	+2	+1	+0	+5	+7	1.5
TOT	20	A+	PIT	—	431	390	100	16	0	14	25	110	12	4	0	256	320	404	725	148	319	25	6	317	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	PIT	43%	416	377	89	15	1	14	27	110	9	3	0	236	303	393	695	156	293	26	6	310	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.8
2028	22	MLB	PIT	61%	486	440	106	18	1	18	33	125	10	3	0	241	308	409	718	168	294	26	7	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.5
2029	23	MLB	PIT	68%	520	468	115	20	1	20	36	130	11	4	0	246	315	421	736	175	295	25	7	325	107	+4	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2030	24	MLB	PIT	70%	520	467	117	20	1	21	37	128	11	4	0	251	320	433	753	182	295	25	7	329	110	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.2
2031	25	MLB	PIT	70%	520	466	117	20	1	21	38	128	11	4	0	251	322	433	756	182	295	25	7	332	112	+7	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2032	26	MLB	PIT	71%	520	466	116	20	1	21	38	128	11	4	0	249	320	431	752	182	295	25	7	333	113	+7	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	27	MLB	PIT	69%	520	465	116	20	1	21	39	128	11	4	0	249	322	432	755	183	295	25	8	333	113	+7	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2034	28	MLB	PIT	69%	520	465	116	20	1	21	39	129	11	3	0	249	322	432	755	183	295	25	8	332	112	+7	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.2
2035	29	MLB	PIT	67%	520	465	115	19	1	21	39	130	11	3	0	247	320	428	748	181	294	25	8	330	110	+6	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.0
2036	30	MLB	PIT	66%	520	466	113	19	1	20	39	131	10	3	0	242	315	416	731	174	292	25	8	327	108	+5	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.8
2037	31	MLB	PIT	65%	504	451	108	18	0	19	38	128	10	2	0	239	313	406	718	166	290	25	8	323	105	+3	+0	-3	+9	+14	2.4
2038	32	MLB	PIT	65%	478	430	101	17	0	18	36	124	9	2	0	235	307	400	707	165	287	26	8	317	101	+0	+0	-3	+9	+14	2.0
2039	33	MLB	PIT	65%	436	392	90	14	0	16	33	115	8	1	0	230	303	388	690	158	282	26	8	310	95	-2	+0	-4	+8	+12	1.4
2040	34	MLB	PIT	60%	380	342	76	12	0	13	28	103	7	1	0	222	294	371	666	149	276	27	7	301	88	-5	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.8
2041	35	MLB	PIT	56%	320	288	62	9	0	11	23	89	6	1	0	215	287	361	648	146	270	28	7	291	81	-7	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.3
2027	21	MLB	PIT	43%	180	162	38	7	0	6	12	47	4	1	0	235	303	389	692	154	291	26	7	293	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	22	MLB	PIT	61%	296	268	65	11	1	11	20	76	6	2	0	243	310	414	724	172	292	26	7	302	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2029	23	MLB	PIT	68%	354	319	78	13	1	14	25	89	7	2	0	245	313	423	737	179	293	25	7	309	94	-2	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2030	24	MLB	PIT	70%	362	326	81	14	1	14	26	89	7	2	0	248	318	426	744	178	294	25	7	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.7
2031	25	MLB	PIT	70%	365	329	82	14	1	15	26	90	7	3	0	249	318	435	752	185	294	25	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.8
2032	26	MLB	PIT	71%	367	329	82	14	1	15	27	90	8	3	0	249	321	435	756	185	294	25	7	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.8
2033	27	MLB	PIT	69%	361	324	81	14	1	15	27	89	7	2	0	250	321	438	760	188	294	25	7	316	100	+0	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.8
2034	28	MLB	PIT	69%	357	320	79	13	1	14	27	88	7	2	0	247	319	425	744	178	293	25	8	315	99	-0	+0	-0	+6	+10	1.7
2035	29	MLB	PIT	67%	348	312	77	13	1	14	26	87	7	2	0	247	319	429	748	183	292	25	7	313	98	-1	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.5
2036	30	MLB	PIT	66%	342	306	74	13	0	13	26	86	7	2	0	242	316	412	727	170	291	25	8	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.4
2037	31	MLB	PIT	65%	328	293	71	12	0	13	25	84	7	2	0	242	317	416	733	174	288	26	8	307	93	-3	+0	-2	+6	+9	1.1
2038	32	MLB	PIT	65%	310	278	66	11	0	12	23	80	6	1	0	237	309	406	716	169	285	26	7	301	89	-4	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.9
2039	33	MLB	PIT	65%	282	254	57	9	0	10	21	74	5	1	0	224	296	378	674	154	281	26	7	294	83	-5	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.5
2040	34	MLB	PIT	60%	228	205	46	7	0	8	17	62	4	1	0	224	296	376	672	151	275	27	7	286	77	-6	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.2
2041	35	MLB	PIT	56%	178	160	34	5	0	6	13	49	3	0	0	212	284	356	640	144	268	28	7	276	69	-6	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4659	4186	1011	170	8	180	341	1180	92	26	0	242	313	415	728	173	291	25	7	307	93	-37	+5	-14	+83	+132	17.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	141	24	1	25	48	165	13	4	0	241	313	414	728	173	292	25	7	307	93	-5	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.4
Career	—			—	8209	7354	1719	295	12	305	602	2181	176	47	1	234	307	402	709	168	287	27	7	314	99	-12	+9	-22	+147	+233	36.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	136	23	1	24	48	173	14	4	0	234	307	400	708	167	288	27	7	314	99	-1	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	68	26	11	1	3	13	16	4	2	0	382	506	706	1.212	324	460	19	15	511	249	+14	+0	—	—	+2	1.8
2023	17	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	131	99	15	4	1	1	21	40	10	0	1	152	354	242	596	91	237	31	16	298	86	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	18	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	281	242	50	11	0	15	32	82	3	1	0	207	307	438	745	231	235	29	11	326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.1
2024	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	25	19	3	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	158	333	211	544	53	200	20	16	265	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	42	35	3	1	0	1	5	6	1	0	0	86	220	200	420	114	69	14	12	202	13	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	233	202	53	11	0	9	21	47	7	1	0	262	352	450	803	188	295	20	9	354	129	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2025	19	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	59	48	17	0	0	0	10	8	0	0	0	354	466	354	820		415	14	17	379	148	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,660	180	26	243	311	416	+77	-30	24.3	19.7
	/162	664	26	4	243	311	416	+11.0	-4.3	3.5	pk7: 15
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Axiel Plaz (OGILVIE)	20	40	57	24	50	256/320/404	148	319	14	4	25%	6%	100	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→51	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.7	228/303/362	134	273	15	4	21%	9%	88	+0.9	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	44→54	51→60	40→55	39	229/277/388	159	294	19	4	29%	5%	84	+0.6	255/309/387	132	320	13	6	23%	7%	96	+1.5	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	40→50	49→50	40→50	46	210/286/345	135	271	18	4	29%	8%	77	+0.1	236/321/369	133	306	14	10	26%	10%	98	+1.6	276/369/436	160	338	18	13	22%	11%	130	+2.7
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	220/283/396	176	316	23	4	37%	8%	89	+0.9	203/255/348	145	298	17	4	36%	6%	64	-0.8	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	45→50	49→50	43→45	42	229/288/376	147	300	16	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	233/302/365	132	310	15	6	28%	8%	88	+0.9	229/307/354	125	306	14	5	28%	9%	84	+0.4
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	204/249/316	112	271	10	4	28%	5%	53	-1.5	166/216/270	104	214	12	1	28%	5%	24	-1.2
●Josmil Pinto 2011 · A	22	41→51	48→55	41→40	42	214/260/353	139	256	15	3	24%	5%	67	-0.5	230/280/375	145	283	16	2	24%	6%	82	+0.5	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	88	+0.9	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
✕Matt Dominguez 2011 · AA	21	44→47	48→50	40→30	45	223/278/366	143	265	15	2	22%	6%	79	+0.3	227/272/357	130	256	14	2	17%	5%	73	-0.1	227/270/354	128	247	15	0	16%	5%	69	-0.4
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	42→52	48→45	46→40	40	218/258/353	135	265	17	4	25%	5%	66	-0.6	222/276/323	101	282	11	5	24%	6%	66	-0.6	284/349/396	112	346	10	3	20%	8%	112	+1.4
✕Chris Marrero 2008 · A	20	45→52	50→55	38→30	40	230/272/380	150	289	18	2	27%	5%	79	+0.3	232/279/376	144	298	17	2	27%	5%	81	+0.4	247/294/373	126	312	15	2	25%	5%	83	+0.6
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	44→54	42→45	37→40	44	216/277/321	104	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.6	239/305/344	105	301	8	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Welington Castillo 2008 · A	21	45→55	44→55	41→30	37	223/271/336	113	301	13	4	30%	5%	67	-0.5	226/265/350	124	297	14	3	28%	4%	69	-0.4	252/308/433	181	306	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2012 · A	20	39→47	51→60	45→30	38	212/244/366	154	247	21	3	25%	4%	64	-0.8	210/245/350	140	262	16	3	26%	4%	60	-1.0	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Andy Marte 2006 · MLB	22	43→48	52→55	37→40	51	225/294/392	168	259	19	3	22%	9%	92	+1.2	222/270/374	152	260	18	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1	238/288/397	159	268	19	2	19%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Sebastian Valle 2011 · A	21	42→49	48→50	42→40	38	218/258/361	143	277	16	3	28%	4%	68	-0.5	206/233/315	109	291	11	2	32%	3%	45	-2.1	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
●Jose Miranda 2019 · A	21	44→54	44→50	37→40	43	219/263/329	110	245	12	2	17%	4%	62	-0.9	235/278/349	114	271	11	3	18%	4%	73	-0.1	261/311/404	143	294	18	2	17%	5%	99	+1.4