Axiel Plaz — OGILVIE

Axiel PlazC Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION412 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO156

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$79M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED24

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$14M	+$13M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$14M	+$14M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.5	$14M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$12M	+2.5	$13M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$17M	+2.5	$12M	+$3M
Totals		$39M		$78M	+$57M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	68	26	11	1	3	13	16	4	2	0	382	506	706	1.212	324	460	19	15	511	232	+14	+0	—	—	+2	1.6
2023	17	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	131	99	15	4	1	1	21	40	10	0	1	152	354	242	596	91	237	31	16	298	88	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	18	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	281	242	50	11	0	15	32	82	3	1	0	207	307	438	745	231	235	29	11	326	107	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	25	19	3	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	158	333	211	544	53	200	20	16	265	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	42	35	3	1	0	1	5	6	1	0	0	86	220	200	420	114	69	14	12	202	23	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	233	202	53	11	0	9	21	47	7	1	0	262	352	450	803	188	295	20	9	354	126	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	19	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	59	48	17	0	0	0	10	8	0	0	0	354	466	354	820		415	14	17	379	143	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	73	20	8	1	2	8	24	4	2	0	274	376	493	870	219	344	28	9	357	128	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	131	107	10	2	1	1	13	61	10	0	1	93	254	159	413	65	181	47	10	191	15	-13	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	18	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	281	251	37	8	0	11	23	119	3	1	0	147	227	311	538	163	201	42	8	235	45	-18	+0	—	—	+6	-1.2
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	25	20	3	1	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	150	292	200	492	50	162	28	12	202	23	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	19	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	42	37	3	1	0	1	3	8	1	0	0	81	171	189	360	108	61	19	7	156	-8	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	19	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	233	208	46	9	0	8	15	67	7	1	0	221	296	380	675	159	271	29	6	294	85	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	73	20	8	1	2	8	24	4	2	0	274	376	493	870	219	375	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	68	26	11	1	3	13	16	4	2	0	382	506	706	1.212	324	460	19	15	511	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	131	107	10	2	1	1	13	61	10	0	1	93	254	159	413	65	196	47	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	131	99	15	4	1	1	21	40	10	0	1	152	354	242	596	91	237	31	16	298	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	306	271	39	8	0	11	26	126	4	1	0	144	229	295	524	151	201	41	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	306	261	53	12	0	15	36	87	4	1	0	203	309	421	730	218	232	28	12	321	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	334	299	59	12	0	11	22	91	8	1	0	197	271	348	618	151	238	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	334	285	73	12	0	10	36	61	8	1	0	256	356	404	759	147	288	18	11	339	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	86	74	20	8	1	2	8	24	4	2	0	270	376	486	863	216	344	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	131	107	10	2	1	1	13	61	10	0	1	93	254	159	413	65	181	47	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	306	273	39	8	0	11	26	126	4	1	0	143	229	293	522	150	198	41	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	334	301	59	12	0	11	22	91	8	1	0	196	271	346	616	150	239	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	131	107	10	2	1	1	13	61	10	0	1	93	254	159	413	65	181	47	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	306	273	39	8	0	11	26	126	4	1	0	143	229	293	522	150	198	41	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	334	301	59	12	0	11	22	91	8	1	0	196	271	346	616	150	239	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	PIT	—	412	371	100	17	0	15	26	95	12	3	1	270	337	437	774	167	322	23	6	328	108	+4	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	PIT	—	412	357	109	20	0	18	39	71	12	3	1	305	391	513	904	207	336	17	9	397	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	PIT	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		293	22	11	319	102	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	PIT	—	421	379	101	17	0	15	27	97	12	3	1	266	335	430	765	164	319	23	6	328	108	+4	+0	+0	+8	+9	2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	425	384	93	17	0	15	29	103	9	2	1	242	310	404	714	161	291	24	7	320	103	+1	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.9
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	68%	490	442	111	20	1	19	35	115	10	3	1	251	320	430	750	179	291	23	7	328	108	+5	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	76%	520	467	118	21	1	21	38	119	10	3	1	253	322	437	759	184	292	23	7	334	112	+8	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	78%	520	466	118	21	1	21	39	117	10	3	1	253	324	438	762	185	293	22	8	338	115	+9	+0	+0	+9	+11	3.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	79%	520	466	119	21	1	22	39	117	10	3	1	255	326	446	773	191	293	22	8	340	116	+10	+0	+0	+9	+11	3.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	79%	520	465	119	21	1	22	40	116	10	3	1	256	328	447	775	191	293	22	8	341	117	+11	+0	+0	+9	+11	3.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	78%	520	465	119	21	1	22	40	117	10	3	1	256	328	447	775	191	293	22	8	341	117	+11	+0	+0	+9	+11	3.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	77%	520	464	119	21	1	22	41	118	10	3	1	256	330	448	778	192	292	23	8	340	117	+10	+0	-0	+9	+11	3.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	75%	520	464	118	21	1	22	41	119	10	2	1	254	328	446	774	192	291	23	8	339	115	+9	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	PIT	74%	520	464	115	20	0	21	41	120	10	2	1	248	322	427	749	179	290	23	8	336	113	+8	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	PIT	73%	504	449	110	19	0	20	40	118	10	2	1	245	321	421	742	176	288	23	8	332	111	+6	+0	-3	+9	+11	2.4
2038	32	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	478	429	104	18	0	19	37	114	9	1	0	242	316	417	733	175	284	24	8	326	107	+4	+0	-3	+9	+10	2.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	436	391	91	15	0	16	34	106	8	1	0	233	307	394	701	161	280	24	8	318	102	+1	+0	-4	+8	+9	1.5
2040	34	MLB MLE	PIT	68%	380	341	78	12	0	14	29	95	7	1	0	229	302	387	689	158	274	25	8	309	95	-2	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.9
2041	35	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	320	287	64	10	0	11	24	82	6	0	0	223	297	373	669	150	267	26	8	299	88	-4	+0	-5	+6	+7	0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	206	186	44	8	0	7	14	50	4	1	0	237	304	392	696	156	288	24	7	298	103	+1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	68%	334	300	73	13	0	12	24	78	7	2	1	243	314	407	721	163	289	23	7	306	108	+3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.7
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	76%	397	357	89	16	1	15	29	91	8	2	1	249	320	426	746	176	289	23	7	312	112	+6	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	78%	405	364	90	16	1	15	30	91	8	2	1	247	318	420	739	173	290	22	7	316	115	+7	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	79%	409	367	92	16	1	16	31	92	8	2	1	251	323	431	753	180	290	22	8	318	116	+8	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	79%	411	369	93	17	1	16	31	92	8	2	1	252	324	434	757	182	290	22	8	319	117	+8	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	78%	403	361	91	16	1	16	31	91	8	2	1	252	325	435	760	183	290	23	8	319	117	+8	+0	+0	+7	+9	2.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	77%	400	358	90	16	1	16	31	90	8	2	1	251	325	436	761	184	289	22	8	318	117	+8	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	75%	389	347	85	15	0	15	31	89	8	2	1	245	321	418	739	173	288	23	8	317	115	+7	+0	-1	+7	+8	2.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	PIT	74%	382	341	84	15	0	15	30	88	8	2	0	246	322	422	744	176	287	23	8	314	113	+6	+0	-1	+7	+8	2.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	PIT	73%	367	328	80	14	0	14	29	86	7	1	0	244	319	415	733	171	285	23	8	310	111	+5	+0	-2	+7	+8	1.8
2038	32	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	346	309	74	13	0	13	27	82	7	1	0	239	315	408	723	168	281	24	8	305	107	+3	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.4
2039	33	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	315	281	65	11	0	11	25	76	6	1	0	231	308	388	696	157	277	24	8	298	102	+1	+0	-3	+6	+7	1.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	PIT	68%	257	230	52	8	0	9	20	64	5	0	0	226	302	378	680	152	271	25	8	289	95	-1	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.6
2041	35	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	202	181	39	6	0	6	15	52	4	0	0	215	290	348	638	133	265	26	7	279	88	-3	+0	-3	+4	+4	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5223	4679	1141	200	6	196	398	1212	104	22	8	244	317	415	732	171	287	23	8	310	105	+66	+1	-15	+93	+113	26.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	142	25	1	24	50	151	13	3	1	244	318	414	732	170	288	23	8	310	105	+8	+0	-2	+12	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	8059	7202	1725	308	10	312	617	1980	165	36	12	240	314	415	729	176	285	25	8	323	105	+87	+2	-22	+129	+156	35.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	139	25	1	25	50	160	13	3	1	239	314	415	728	176	285	25	8	323	105	+8	+0	-2	+12	+14	3.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.9	5,225	210	23	249	318	431	+86	-33	30.5	24.6
/162	664	27	3	+10.9	-4.2	3.9	pk7: 19
#4Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#5Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Axiel Plaz (OGILVIE)	20	40	57	24	51	241/310/400	160	293	11	2	25%	7%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→52	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.3	228/303/363	135	273	15	4	21%	9%	89	+0.5	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	41→51	47→50	40→50	47	212/289/339	127	271	16	4	28%	9%	79	-0.2	238/325/362	124	309	12	10	25%	10%	97	+1.1	268/364/419	151	313	19	10	19%	10%	122	+2.5
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	219/282/393	174	319	23	4	37%	8%	88	+0.5	203/256/343	140	302	16	4	36%	6%	68	-1.0	216/289/434	218	283	32	7	35%	9%	100	+1.1
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	41→50	55→60	38→30	37	222/269/403	181	298	24	3	34%	5%	86	+0.3	239/296/423	184	323	24	2	32%	7%	101	+1.4	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	46→56	50→65	41→55	40	236/284/393	158	301	18	4	28%	5%	89	+0.5	258/312/389	131	323	13	6	23%	7%	98	+1.2	284/359/486	202	320	21	8	18%	10%	133	+3.9
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	92	+0.7	203/249/312	109	269	10	4	27%	5%	57	-1.8	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→57	48→55	41→30	43	244/288/390	146	290	16	5	22%	6%	90	+0.6	259/299/413	154	303	18	2	21%	5%	99	+1.3	261/303/419	158	303	20	0	21%	5%	99	+1.0
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	89	+0.5	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	88	+0.5	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	99	+0.5
✕Francisco Alvarez 2023 · AAA	21	44→45	58→60	43→40	47	233/313/435	202	294	27	4	30%	9%	110	+2.1	231/305/429	198	282	27	4	28%	8%	106	+1.8	229/304/430	202	273	28	2	27%	9%	104	+1.1
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→50	50→65	45	38	219/270/369	150	311	18	4	35%	6%	79	-0.2	226/275/362	136	297	16	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	38→48	54→70	46→45	42	204/276/383	178	286	22	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	224/304/440	216	310	27	7	35%	9%	108	+1.9	243/334/470	227	339	30	2	35%	11%	122	+2.7
●Brandon Drury 2015 · AA	22	47→54	48→60	41→40	42	239/281/385	146	284	15	3	22%	5%	86	+0.3	257/299/392	135	305	13	3	20%	5%	94	+0.9	254/305/466	211	299	27	1	24%	6%	113	+1.8
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	38→48	55	45→50	44	207/289/391	184	267	23	6	31%	8%	92	+0.7	240/307/413	173	302	20	9	27%	7%	103	+1.5	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→53	48→50	43→45	42	228/289/370	142	302	15	5	29%	7%	86	+0.3	233/302/363	130	307	14	6	27%	8%	89	+0.5	229/307/352	123	302	14	5	27%	9%	86	+0.2
●Robinson Chirinos 2006 · A	22	46	44→60	41→50	42	229/277/335	106	286	12	7	24%	5%	73	-0.6	217/297/324	107	272	8	9	22%	8%	78	-0.3	231/343/438	208	297	26	2	29%	11%	118	+1.7
●Josmil Pinto 2011 · A	22	41→51	47→50	41→40	42	213/260/352	138	256	15	3	24%	5%	70	-0.8	232/281/369	137	286	14	2	23%	6%	82	+0.0	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
●Tyler Flowers 2008 · A	22	48→55	46→50	41→40	46	237/294/376	139	294	13	4	24%	7%	88	+0.5	238/320/392	154	323	15	5	29%	10%	103	+1.5	260/361/411	151	335	17	0	25%	10%	120	+1.5
●Max Ramirez 2006 · A	21	52	45→50	42→40	46	252/309/376	123	309	12	4	22%	7%	94	+0.9	250/330/394	144	330	16	3	27%	10%	107	+1.8	253/341/414	160	333	19	2	27%	10%	113	+1.7
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	48→56	51→65	42→40	45	246/280/408	162	260	19	3	15%	4%	91	+0.7	252/288/395	143	274	14	2	14%	5%	91	+0.6	284/358/521	237	296	31	2	16%	10%	138	+4.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps