Allan Cerda — OGILVIE

Allan CerdaOF Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 R/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .274 / .336

PA136

HR4

K%33

BB%8

ISO140

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	214	183	35	7	0	5	15	65	14	3	2	191	302	311	613	120	261	30	7	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	214	173	47	11	0	6	25	45	14	3	2	272	406	439	845	168	331	21	12	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	363	317	61	16	5	14	28	135	14	2	8	192	287	407	694	215	273	37	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	363	304	76	22	5	17	41	105	14	2	8	250	365	523	888	273	317	29	11	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	2 teams	—	506	431	64	13	1	19	61	210	13	7	4	148	273	316	589	167	222	42	12	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	2 teams	—	506	408	85	22	1	24	84	168	13	7	4	208	360	444	804	235	281	33	17	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	4 teams	—	272	233	30	6	1	7	30	132	8	6	6	129	251	253	504	124	242	49	11	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	4 teams	—	272	214	40	9	1	10	49	94	8	6	6	187	358	379	736	192	270	35	18	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	121	110	16	2	1	5	10	50	1	1	0	145	223	318	541	173	200	41	8	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	121	106	20	3	1	7	14	39	1	1	0	189	289	434	723	245	217	32	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	35	33	3	1	0	1	2	22	0	0	0	91	143	212	355	121	200	63	6	130	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	35	32	4	1	1	1	3	15	0	0	0	125	200	312	512	188	188	43	9	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIN	—	136	122	25	5	1	4	11	45	2	2	1	205	281	361	642	156	278	33	8	277	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	209	187	38	7	1	6	18	67	2	3	1	203	280	348	628	144	280	32	9	282	74	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2027	27	MLB	MIN	27%	56	50	10	2	0	2	5	18	1	1	0	200	286	360	646	160	280	32	9	273	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	56	50	10	2	0	2	5	18	1	1	0	200	286	360	646	160	267	32	9	273	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	116	23	0	23	58	209	12	12	0	200	286	359	645	159	267	32	9	273	67	-24	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	1856	1616	272	57	10	61	175	726	54	24	22	168	272	329	601	161	251	39	9	262	59	-87	-4	+0	-11	+53	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	95	20	4	21	61	254	19	8	8	168	271	329	600	161	251	39	9	262	59	-30	-2	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	214	173	47	11	0	6	25	45	14	3	2	272	406	439	845	168	331	21	12	381	150	+12	-0	—	—	+6	1.8
2021	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	87	77	21	8	1	3	10	20	0	1	1	273	356	519	876	247	333	23	11	382	151	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	276	227	55	14	4	14	31	85	14	1	7	242	368	524	892	282	311	31	11	385	153	+16	-3	—	—	+8	2.2
2022	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	257	207	41	9	0	11	42	77	7	4	1	198	352	401	753	203	250	30	16	342	120	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2022	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	249	201	44	13	1	13	42	91	6	3	3	219	369	488	857	269	320	37	17	379	148	+14	-1	—	—	+7	2.0
2023	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	193	155	28	7	0	6	31	71	7	5	6	181	342	342	684	161	282	37	16	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	30	21	5	1	0	0	7	8	1	0	0	238	448	286	734	48	357	27	23	351	127	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	22	21	3	0	1	1	1	7	0	0	0	143	182	381	563	238	154	32	5	241	43	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	23	ROK	ACL Reds	—	27	17	4	1	0	3	10	8	0	1	0	235	519	824	1.342	588	167	30	37	537	269	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	105	92	17	2	1	5	13	32	0	1	0	185	286	391	677	207	218	30	12	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	16	14	3	1	0	2	1	7	1	0	0	214	312	714	1.027	500	200	44	6	430	187	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	35	32	4	1	1	1	3	15	0	0	0	125	200	312	512	188	188	43	9	228	33	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Allan Cerda (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	198/274/336	139	278	4	2	33%	8%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→45	48→55	50	38	214/258/358	144	272	16	12	28%	4%	68	-0.5	199/252/326	127	273	14	11	31%	5%	57	-1.2	185/242/306	121	262	14	12	34%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	48→50	45	204/288/334	129	286	15	9	32%	9%	76	+0.0	216/303/373	157	299	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	212/305/392	180	282	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Sean Bouchard 2022 · AA	26	41	50→55	47→50	39	209/263/369	160	294	17	10	34%	6%	72	-0.2	219/309/394	175	294	19	14	30%	10%	98	+1.6	210/314/386	176	278	19	16	30%	12%	96	+0.7
✕Ray Sadler 2007 · AAA	26	39→43	49→55	46→50	39	206/256/351	145	275	17	11	32%	6%	65	-0.7	211/263/375	164	267	21	9	29%	6%	75	-0.0	202/255/365	163	248	21	8	28%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Corey Smith 2008 · AA	26	42→46	46→55	47→50	43	213/273/340	127	287	14	6	30%	7%	69	-0.4	224/266/385	161	272	20	10	26%	4%	78	+0.2	222/263/383	161	264	20	9	25%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	38→43	48→55	48→55	42	200/258/333	133	262	16	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/283/390	171	289	23	18	31%	8%	87	+0.8	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Mike Ahmed 2018 · AAA	26	43→45	46→50	46→50	43	213/279/339	126	301	14	11	33%	8%	71	-0.3	210/265/329	119	335	12	8	38%	6%	63	-0.9	199/251/315	116	325	11	6	40%	5%	51	-0.7
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	39→46	49→55	49→55	38	199/276/345	145	291	17	13	36%	6%	72	-0.2	222/309/399	177	296	21	15	31%	7%	101	+1.8	207/290/404	197	249	27	18	29%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Quincy Latimore 2015 · AA	26	42→41	46→50	47→50	41	216/269/342	126	284	15	13	29%	6%	68	-0.5	206/254/338	132	277	15	8	30%	6%	60	-1.0	194/241/323	129	259	15	5	31%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Brandon Barnes 2012 · AAA	26	37→47	50→55	49→50	38	198/248/355	157	263	18	10	32%	5%	63	-0.9	229/275/355	126	310	12	15	29%	5%	73	-0.1	236/281/354	118	320	11	16	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→40	51→55	46→45	46	191/276/352	161	267	19	7	34%	10%	75	-0.0	196/264/341	145	281	18	6	35%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/314	140	235	21	2	35%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	41→38	47→50	46→45	46	202/290/339	138	299	14	8	35%	10%	77	+0.1	192/287/329	137	262	16	9	31%	11%	74	-0.1	180/281/315	135	241	16	9	31%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	43→38	47→50	48→45	47	213/309/346	133	293	14	10	30%	9%	87	+0.8	198/267/323	125	326	14	8	41%	7%	63	-0.8	198/263/340	142	299	16	6	37%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→44	49→55	49→50	38	210/274/357	147	307	16	12	36%	6%	75	-0.0	212/284/368	156	323	18	15	38%	7%	82	+0.5	200/276/356	157	309	19	17	39%	7%	72	-0.1