Alfredo Duno — OGILVIE

Alfredo DunoC Dayton Dragons

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION433 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO156

MLB%11%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$73M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-1	$7M	+2.8	$18M	+$13M
2031	Arb-2	$13M	+2.9	$17M	+$10M
2032	Arb-3	$19M	+2.9	$16M	+$6M
Totals		$42M		$90M	+$65M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	195	152	46	9	1	6	38	41	4	6	0	303	454	493	947	191	377	21	19	422	172	+17	+1	—	—	+4	2.2
2024	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	116	31	7	1	3	18	40	2	2	0	267	375	422	797	155	368	29	13	352	125	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	495	390	112	32	2	18	95	91	6	6	6	287	434	518	952	231	330	18	19	418	169	+41	-1	—	—	+11	5.1
2025	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	59	47	10	2	1	0	11	16	0	1	0	213	362	298	660	85	312	27	19	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	195	168	35	6	1	5	22	60	4	6	0	208	314	345	660	137	287	31	11	297	87	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	120	24	5	1	2	14	57	2	2	0	200	294	308	602	108	328	41	10	271	70	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	495	411	97	27	2	15	74	128	6	6	6	236	360	421	781	185	293	26	15	340	116	+10	-1	—	—	+11	1.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	195	168	35	6	1	5	22	60	4	6	0	208	314	345	660	137	288	31	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	195	152	46	9	1	6	38	41	4	6	0	303	454	493	947	191	377	21	19	422	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	120	24	5	1	2	14	57	2	2	0	200	294	308	602	108	344	41	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	116	31	7	1	3	18	40	2	2	0	267	375	422	797	155	368	29	13	352	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	554	460	108	30	2	17	83	143	6	7	6	235	359	420	778	185	298	26	15	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	554	437	122	34	3	18	106	107	6	7	6	279	426	494	921	215	328	19	19	406	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	195	167	35	6	1	5	22	60	4	6	0	210	314	347	662	138	287	31	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	122	24	5	1	2	14	57	2	2	0	197	294	303	597	107	328	41	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	554	460	108	30	2	17	83	143	6	7	6	235	359	420	778	185	293	26	15	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	195	167	35	6	1	5	22	60	4	6	0	210	314	347	662	138	287	31	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	139	122	24	5	1	2	14	57	2	2	0	197	294	303	597	107	328	41	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	554	460	108	30	2	17	83	143	6	7	6	235	359	420	778	185	293	26	15	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	CIN	—	433	384	84	17	1	15	45	135	3	5	0	219	306	385	691	167	294	31	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	CIN	—	295	242	63	13	0	16	49	79	3	2	0	260	391	512	904	252	318	27	17	397	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA RAW	CIN	—	138	121	39	9	1	3	17	23	0	3	0	322	406	488	893	165	379	17	12	397	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	CIN	11%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		266	30	10	305	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	20	MLB CTX	CIN	11%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						270	0	0	305	92	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	MLB A+C	CIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	305	91	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	CIN	—	443	393	85	17	1	15	46	138	3	5	0	216	303	379	682	163	290	31	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CIN	59%	520	449	96	20	1	18	61	147	5	5	1	214	315	383	698	169	272	28	12	313	98	-1	+1	+1	+9	+11	2.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	76%	520	450	102	21	1	21	60	141	5	5	1	227	324	418	742	191	275	27	12	328	108	+5	+1	+1	+9	+11	2.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	520	450	105	21	2	22	60	137	5	5	1	233	330	436	766	202	277	26	12	337	114	+9	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	520	449	106	21	2	23	61	135	5	5	1	236	334	445	779	209	279	26	12	343	118	+11	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	520	449	107	21	2	24	61	134	5	5	1	238	336	454	790	216	279	26	12	347	121	+13	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	520	449	108	21	2	25	61	134	5	5	1	241	338	463	801	223	279	26	12	348	122	+14	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	80%	520	448	107	21	1	25	62	134	5	5	1	239	338	458	795	219	279	26	12	348	122	+14	+1	+1	+9	+11	3.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	80%	520	447	105	21	1	24	63	135	5	4	1	235	336	447	783	213	278	26	12	347	121	+13	+0	-0	+9	+11	3.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	77%	520	447	104	20	1	24	63	136	5	4	1	233	334	443	777	210	277	26	12	345	120	+12	+0	-1	+9	+11	3.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CIN	76%	520	447	104	20	1	24	63	138	5	4	1	233	334	443	777	210	276	27	12	343	118	+11	+0	-1	+9	+11	3.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	CIN	76%	504	433	99	19	1	23	61	135	5	3	1	229	331	436	767	208	273	27	12	339	115	+9	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.8
2038	32	MLB MLE	CIN	75%	489	423	95	18	1	22	59	133	4	2	1	225	325	428	753	203	269	27	12	333	111	+7	+0	-3	+9	+11	2.4
2039	33	MLB MLE	CIN	75%	473	409	90	17	1	20	57	131	4	2	0	220	321	413	734	193	265	28	12	326	107	+4	+0	-4	+8	+10	2.0
2040	34	MLB MLE	CIN	71%	439	380	80	14	1	18	52	124	4	1	0	211	312	395	707	184	258	28	12	316	100	+0	+0	-4	+8	+10	1.4
2041	35	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	377	326	66	11	1	15	45	110	3	1	0	202	305	380	685	178	251	29	12	306	93	-3	+0	-5	+7	+8	0.7
2042	36	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	313	271	54	9	1	12	37	93	2	0	0	199	300	373	673	173	244	30	12	295	86	-5	+0	-6	+6	+7	0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	CIN	59%	308	266	58	12	1	11	36	87	3	3	1	218	318	395	713	177	276	28	12	314	98	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	76%	394	341	79	16	1	17	46	107	4	3	1	232	330	434	764	202	279	27	12	329	108	+4	+0	+1	+7	+9	2.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	424	368	87	17	1	20	49	112	4	4	1	236	333	451	784	215	282	26	12	339	114	+7	+0	+1	+8	+9	2.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	426	369	88	17	1	21	50	111	4	4	1	238	336	461	796	222	283	26	12	345	118	+9	+0	+1	+8	+9	2.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	426	369	88	17	1	21	50	110	4	4	1	238	336	461	796	222	283	26	12	349	121	+10	+0	+1	+8	+9	2.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	426	369	89	17	1	22	50	110	4	4	1	241	338	472	810	230	283	26	12	351	122	+11	+0	+1	+8	+9	2.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	80%	418	361	87	17	1	21	50	108	4	4	1	241	340	468	808	227	283	26	12	351	122	+11	+0	+1	+7	+9	2.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	80%	414	357	87	17	1	21	50	108	4	3	1	244	343	473	816	230	282	26	12	350	121	+10	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	77%	403	347	83	16	1	20	49	106	4	3	1	239	340	464	804	225	281	26	12	348	120	+10	+0	-1	+7	+9	2.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	CIN	76%	397	342	82	16	1	20	48	105	4	3	1	240	340	468	808	228	280	26	12	345	118	+9	+0	-1	+7	+9	2.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	CIN	76%	382	329	78	15	1	19	46	102	4	2	1	237	338	462	800	225	277	27	12	341	115	+7	+0	-2	+7	+8	2.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	CIN	75%	369	319	74	14	1	18	44	100	3	2	0	232	331	451	782	219	274	27	12	335	111	+5	+0	-2	+7	+8	1.8
2039	33	MLB CTX	CIN	75%	356	307	69	13	1	16	43	98	3	1	0	225	326	430	756	205	269	28	12	328	107	+3	+0	-3	+6	+8	1.5
2040	34	MLB CTX	CIN	71%	310	267	58	10	1	14	37	88	3	1	0	217	319	419	739	202	262	28	12	318	100	+0	+0	-3	+6	+7	1.0
2041	35	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	250	216	45	8	0	11	30	73	2	1	0	208	310	398	709	190	254	29	12	308	93	-2	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.5
2042	36	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	179	155	30	5	0	7	21	53	1	0	0	194	294	361	655	168	247	30	12	296	86	-3	+0	-3	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5883	5083	1182	227	14	279	699	1578	55	42	11	233	332	447	779	215	277	27	12	337	111	+90	+4	-14	+105	+127	31.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	131	25	2	31	77	174	6	5	1	233	332	450	782	217	278	27	12	337	111	+10	+0	-2	+12	+14	3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8693	7484	1696	336	24	364	1046	2360	84	71	18	227	328	424	752	197	277	27	12	332	111	+112	+6	-21	+139	+169	41.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	560	127	25	2	27	78	176	6	5	1	227	328	423	751	196	277	27	12	332	111	+9	+1	-2	+12	+14	3.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	11.0	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
/162	664	18	2	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#2Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.9	5,914	258	41	228	324	431	+90	+15	36.1	28.5
/162	664	29	5	+10.1	+1.7	4.0	pk7: 21
#4Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	6.6	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Duno (OGILVIE)	20	38→47	49→63	45→40	63	206/305/366	160	266	10	3	29%	12%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	89	+0.5	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	88	+0.5	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	99	+0.5
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→65	49→45	44	225/281/373	148	272	18	5	25%	7%	84	+0.1	251/299/413	162	303	21	7	24%	6%	99	+1.3	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	38→48	54→70	46→45	42	204/276/383	178	286	22	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	224/304/440	216	310	27	7	35%	9%	108	+1.9	243/334/470	227	339	30	2	35%	11%	122	+2.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	41→51	47→50	40→50	47	212/289/339	127	271	16	4	28%	9%	79	-0.2	238/325/362	124	309	12	10	25%	10%	97	+1.1	268/364/419	151	313	19	10	19%	10%	122	+2.5
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	44→52	48→50	37→45	54	224/307/363	140	262	17	3	22%	10%	91	+0.7	226/294/349	123	276	12	5	21%	8%	82	+0.0	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Danny Jansen 2015 · A	20	44→54	42→65	46→45	51	214/287/314	101	243	9	5	16%	8%	73	-0.6	206/273/301	95	247	9	6	20%	7%	64	-1.3	233/314/474	241	240	33	1	20%	9%	117	+1.1
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	43→50	48→65	47→45	41	221/272/359	138	282	16	6	28%	6%	77	-0.3	238/288/385	147	290	18	6	24%	6%	88	+0.5	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	43→53	48→65	41→55	41	222/274/364	142	285	17	4	28%	6%	78	-0.3	244/298/390	146	312	16	5	26%	6%	93	+0.8	284/359/486	202	320	21	8	18%	10%	133	+3.9
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	44	50	42→40	46	227/300/377	150	271	18	4	23%	7%	92	+0.7	203/249/312	109	269	10	4	27%	5%	57	-1.8	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Victor Castillo 2007 · A	22	47	47→50	42→40	57	235/333/368	134	274	14	5	19%	11%	103	+1.5	229/283/304	75	292	7	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	240/288/298	58	301	6	3	21%	6%	66	-0.4
●Kurt Suzuki 2006 · A	22	48→58	45→60	46→45	53	236/311/367	131	265	12	5	16%	8%	93	+0.8	249/320/359	110	286	10	4	16%	8%	95	+0.9	269/335/479	210	264	29	0	12%	6%	125	+1.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	48→56	51→65	42→40	45	246/280/408	162	260	19	3	15%	4%	91	+0.7	252/288/395	143	274	14	2	14%	5%	91	+0.6	284/358/521	237	296	31	2	16%	10%	138	+4.6
✕Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→57	48→55	41→30	43	244/288/390	146	290	16	5	22%	6%	90	+0.6	259/299/413	154	303	18	2	21%	5%	99	+1.3	261/303/419	158	303	20	0	21%	5%	99	+1.0
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	49→56	47→60	48→55	41	242/295/387	145	313	13	6	26%	5%	91	+0.7	282/340/472	190	354	23	23	26%	7%	128	+3.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	45→55	49→50	47→40	44	228/278/377	149	272	16	3	23%	6%	83	+0.1	216/262/347	131	267	14	2	24%	5%	70	-0.8	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
●Tyler Flowers 2008 · A	22	48→55	46→50	41→40	46	237/294/376	139	294	13	4	24%	7%	88	+0.5	238/320/392	154	323	15	5	29%	10%	103	+1.5	260/361/411	151	335	17	0	25%	10%	120	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps