Alfredo Duno — OGILVIE

Alfredo DunoC Dayton Dragons

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 5.0 · 2032

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .322 / .384

PA320

HR10

K%29

BB%12

MLB%11%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗44

PWR

52↗64

SPD

49↘39

FLD

39↗52

EYE

68↘61

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.9peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+4.3	$38M	+$37M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+4.6	$41M	+$41M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.8	$45M	+$44M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+5.0	$48M	+$38M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+5.0	$49M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$24M	+4.8	$49M	+$25M
Totals		$53M		$269M	+$216M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	195	168	35	6	1	5	22	60	4	6	0	.208	.314	.345	.660	.137	.288	31	11	.299	87	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2024	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	139	120	24	5	1	2	14	57	2	2	0	.200	.294	.308	.602	.108	.344	41	10	.271	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2025	19	A	2 teams	554	462	108	30	2	17	81	144	6	7	6	.234	.355	.418	.773	.184	.297	26	15	.340	118	+11	-1	+0	+10	+16	3.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	68	57	9	2	0	1	9	23	1	0	0	.158	.284	.246	.529	.088	.235	34	13	.256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	CIN	252	216	46	11	1	7	31	74	3	2	1	.213	.320	.370	.690	.157	.284	29	12	.312	97	-1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.1
TOT	20	MLB	CIN	320	273	55	13	1	8	40	97	4	2	1	.201	.312	.344	.657	.143	.276	30	12	.300	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 32%	CIN	520	443	101	23	2	17	65	142	7	7	2	.228	.336	.404	.740	.176	.289	27	12	.328	109	+6	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2028	22	MLB 57%	CIN	520	443	104	23	2	19	65	138	7	7	2	.235	.342	.424	.766	.190	.292	27	12	.342	120	+12	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.8
2029	23	MLB 86%	CIN	520	442	107	23	2	22	66	134	7	7	2	.242	.350	.452	.802	.210	.294	26	13	.354	129	+17	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.3
2030	24	MLB	CIN	520	441	109	23	2	23	67	132	7	7	2	.247	.355	.465	.820	.218	.296	25	13	.361	134	+20	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.6
2031	25	MLB	CIN	520	440	110	23	2	24	68	131	7	7	2	.250	.359	.475	.834	.225	.297	25	13	.366	138	+22	+1	+0	+9	+15	4.8
2032	26	MLB	CIN	520	439	110	23	2	24	69	131	7	7	2	.251	.361	.476	.837	.226	.298	25	13	.369	140	+24	+1	+0	+9	+15	5.0
2033	27	MLB	CIN	520	438	109	23	2	24	70	132	7	7	2	.249	.361	.475	.836	.226	.298	25	13	.369	140	+24	+1	+0	+9	+15	5.0
2034	28	MLB	CIN	520	438	109	23	2	24	70	133	7	6	2	.249	.361	.475	.836	.226	.297	26	13	.368	140	+23	+0	-0	+9	+15	4.8
2035	29	MLB	CIN	520	438	109	23	2	24	70	134	7	6	1	.249	.361	.475	.836	.226	.296	26	13	.366	138	+22	+1	-1	+9	+15	4.7
2036	30	MLB	CIN	520	438	108	23	2	24	70	136	7	5	1	.247	.359	.473	.832	.226	.295	26	13	.362	136	+21	+1	-2	+9	+15	4.5
2037	31	MLB	CIN	504	425	103	22	1	23	68	134	6	4	0	.242	.355	.461	.816	.219	.293	27	13	.359	133	+19	+1	-2	+9	+14	4.1
2038	32	MLB	CIN	489	414	98	21	1	21	66	133	6	3	0	.237	.350	.444	.794	.208	.292	27	13	.354	129	+16	+1	-3	+9	+14	3.7
2039	33	MLB	CIN	473	400	92	19	1	20	64	131	6	2	0	.230	.345	.432	.777	.202	.290	28	14	.348	124	+13	+0	-4	+8	+13	3.2
2040	34	MLB	CIN	451	383	86	18	1	18	60	129	5	2	0	.225	.337	.418	.755	.193	.287	29	13	.341	119	+10	+0	-5	+8	+13	2.7
2041	35	MLB	CIN	387	329	72	15	1	15	51	115	4	2	0	.219	.331	.407	.738	.188	.284	30	13	.332	112	+5	+0	-5	+7	+11	1.9
2042	36	MLB	CIN	323	274	59	12	1	12	42	99	4	2	0	.215	.328	.398	.726	.182	.281	31	13	.322	105	+2	+0	-6	+6	+9	1.1
2043	37	MLB	CIN	259	220	46	9	1	9	34	82	3	2	0	.209	.323	.382	.705	.173	.276	32	13	.311	96	-1	+0	-7	+5	+7	0.5
2044	38	MLB	CIN	196	167	33	7	0	6	25	64	2	1	0	.198	.309	.347	.657	.150	.269	33	13	.299	87	-3	+0	-8	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9422	7978	1878	405	32	380	1238	2565	121	101	25	.235	.347	.437	.784	.202	.294	27	13	.347	124	+253	+10	-41	+168	+267	67.1
/ 162G	—			650	550	129	28	2	26	85	177	8	7	2	.235	.345	.435	.779	.200	.293	27	13	.347	124	+17	+1	-3	+12	+18	4.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Reds	195	152	46	9	1	6	38	41	4	6	0	.303	.454	.493	.947	.191	.377	21	19	.422	181	+18	+1	—	—	+6	2.5
2024	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	139	116	31	7	1	3	18	40	2	2	0	.267	.375	.422	.797	.155	.368	29	13	.352	128	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	495	390	112	32	2	18	95	91	6	6	6	.287	.434	.518	.952	.231	.330	18	19	.418	178	+44	-1	—	—	+14	5.7
2025	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	59	47	10	2	1	0	11	16	0	1	0	.213	.362	.298	.660	.085	.312	27	19	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Duno (OGILVIE)	20	30→44	52→64	49→39	61	.218/.322/.384	.166	.290	10	4	29%	12%	103	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	39→49	53→70	46→45	43	.208/.278/.385	.177	.285	21	5	34%	8%	84	+0.6	.226/.306/.449	.223	.311	28	7	35%	9%	112	+2.6	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	46→56	50→60	41→55	40	.235/.283/.391	.156	.298	18	4	28%	5%	87	+0.8	.256/.310/.394	.138	.321	14	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	42→52	52→55	45→50	47	.217/.293/.381	.164	.280	20	5	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.205/.301/.370	.165	.275	20	8	31%	11%	90	+1.0	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	43→51	50→65	47→45	37	.223/.267/.374	.151	.302	18	8	32%	5%	76	+0.0	.229/.278/.368	.139	.290	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	41→51	48→50	41→50	47	.213/.289/.342	.129	.274	17	4	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.236/.321/.368	.132	.306	14	9	26%	10%	97	+1.5	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	48→56	47→60	50→55	41	.239/.291/.385	.146	.305	14	6	26%	5%	89	+0.9	.279/.337/.469	.190	.351	23	22	26%	7%	130	+3.8	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	46→56	50→65	50→45	44	.234/.288/.389	.155	.291	18	9	26%	7%	89	+0.9	.267/.315/.453	.186	.327	20	6	24%	6%	116	+2.8	.291/.353/.484	.193	.337	22	4	20%	8%	135	+4.6
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	45→52	52→50	38→45	49	.233/.303/.397	.164	.282	20	4	25%	9%	97	+1.5	.226/.299/.365	.139	.268	16	4	21%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.308/.392	.159	.261	18	0	18%	8%	97	+0.8
●Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	46→43	60→65	44→40	48	.244/.326/.461	.216	.304	28	8	29%	9%	124	+3.4	.232/.309/.442	.210	.286	29	4	29%	9%	111	+2.5	.225/.302/.431	.206	.269	29	2	28%	9%	103	+1.4
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→52	51→65	52→45	44	.239/.294/.391	.152	.285	20	9	24%	6%	92	+1.2	.256/.303/.451	.195	.298	27	6	24%	6%	111	+2.5	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	51→60	46→50	41	.257/.304/.425	.168	.315	17	9	24%	5%	105	+2.1	.220/.283/.330	.110	.348	9	5	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.183/.261/.257	.074	.337	5	0	43%	8%	40	-0.6
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	48→65	46→40	45	.235/.283/.379	.144	.263	16	5	18%	6%	83	+0.6	.245/.298/.376	.131	.281	12	5	17%	6%	89	+0.9	.268/.322/.383	.115	.301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	44→45	53→55	46→45	55	.224/.324/.409	.186	.277	19	7	26%	12%	109	+2.4	.223/.304/.395	.172	.319	18	6	33%	9%	97	+1.5	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
★Troy Tulowitzki 2006 · A	21	45→55	47→65	49→50	45	.227/.287/.361	.134	.282	14	8	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.258/.322/.409	.151	.303	15	7	19%	8%	108	+2.3	.293/.370/.518	.226	.311	27	14	15%	10%	146	+4.8
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	48→56	50→70	42→40	45	.242/.275/.399	.156	.256	18	3	15%	4%	85	+0.7	.251/.288/.401	.150	.273	16	2	14%	5%	91	+1.1	.280/.354/.523	.243	.291	31	2	16%	10%	138	+5.0
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	42	54→60	47→30	47	.217/.313/.400	.183	.293	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.9	.199/.291/.357	.158	.331	19	4	42%	10%	82	+0.5	.142/.252/.289	.146	.259	20	0	49%	11%	47	-0.5
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	50	.238/.334/.407	.169	.308	18	8	27%	10%	113	+2.6	.239/.320/.369	.130	.299	14	4	23%	9%	97	+1.5	.244/.320/.354	.110	.300	12	1	21%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	45	52→55	41→40	46	.234/.307/.396	.162	.276	20	4	23%	7%	99	+1.7	.206/.253/.320	.114	.268	10	4	26%	5%	55	-1.4	.188/.232/.316	.127	.234	15	3	26%	5%	42	-1.2
●Tyler Flowers 2008 · A	22	46→54	47→55	42→40	45	.231/.287/.371	.140	.284	14	4	24%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.318/.398	.160	.320	16	5	29%	10%	104	+2.0	.261/.361/.419	.158	.334	18	0	25%	10%	124	+1.9
★Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	46→56	57→65	46→50	40	.249/.285/.444	.194	.281	27	8	23%	4%	102	+1.9	.260/.328/.468	.208	.306	27	6	24%	8%	126	+3.5	.273/.365/.510	.238	.300	28	8	19%	12%	140	+4.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)