Juneiker Caceres

OF Hill City Howlers
Age 19 L/L 5'10" / 168 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP40OGV rank#188ETA2028MLB%4%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL CLE Mendo…167.340/.433/.5040965—.216/.293/.311
202517A/ROK2 orgs290.270/.382/.4104773—.219/.306/.321
202618A+/ACLE337.301/.414/.484117119—.275/.367/.432
2027PROJMLE19MLBCLE8.243/.326/.374001000.0
2028PROJ45% MLB20MLBCLE132.248/.333/.391321060.3
2029PROJ62% MLB21MLBCLE247.252/.337/.403751110.7
Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$5M2034Arb-2$9M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%85
Whiff%78
wOBA61
wRC+57
K%55
BB%54
Career WAR2.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 48, comp-based) · star 20% · didn't stick 48%
CompsRoman Anthony (age 20) · Walker Jenkins (age 19) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†100
AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .326 / .374
PA8
HR0
K%25
BB%12
BABIP293
ISO141
MLB%4%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -0.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-0BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.01.02.00.00.30.71.01.21.41.51.51.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$43M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$6M+$6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$7M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$7M
2033Arb-1$5M+1.5$8M+$5M
2034Arb-2$9M+1.5$7M+$3M
2035Arb-3$12M+1.4$6M+$0.8M
Totals $29M $42M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL CLE Mendoza — 167141 481160 19184 90 340433504936 163381 1111 408 65 — — — — — —
202517 ALynchburg Hillcats — 130116 29801 9175 23 250331345676 95286 137 311 59 — — — — — —
202517 ROKACL Guardians — 160128 371023 27183 52 289424469893 180312 1117 395 85 — — — — — —
202618 A+Lake County Captains — 10082 21311 12236 00 256390354744 98345 2312 348 82 — — — — — —
202618 AHill City Howlers — 237197 6311110 31235 73 320425538963 218315 1013 418 135 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 167148 32640 12224 90 216293311603 95237 137 265 65 — — — — — —
202517 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 130118 25701 7235 23 212285297581 85257 185 255 59 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 160138 31812 17253 52 225323341663 116252 1611 294 85 — — — — — —
202618 A+ MLELake County Captains — 10085 19211 9296 00 224340306646 82325 299 289 82 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEHill City Howlers — 237206 611019 22315 73 296378485863 189297 139 368 135 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 167148 32640 12224 90 216293311603 95248 137 265 65 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL CLE Mendoza — 167141 481160 19184 90 340433504936 163381 1111 408 65 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 290257 561513 23488 75 218302319621 101255 178 277 73 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAW2 teams — 290244 661824 36358 75 270382410792 139300 1212 357 73 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 337291 791229 316011 73 271363419783 148310 189 345 119 — — — — — —
202618 A RAW2 teams — 337279 8414211 434611 73 301414484898 183323 1413 397 119 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 167149 32640 12224 90 215293309601 94237 137 265 65 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 290257 561513 23488 75 218302319621 101254 178 277 73 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 337292 791229 316011 73 271363418781 147305 189 345 119 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL CLE Mendoza — 167149 32640 12224 90 215293309601 94237 137 265 65 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLE2 teams — 290257 561513 23488 75 218302319621 101254 178 277 73 — — — — — —
202618 A MLE2 teams — 337292 791229 316011 73 271363418781 147305 189 345 119 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLECLE 4% 447395 9518210 389511 73 242326375701 132293 219 316 100 -0 +0 -1 -3 +10 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202719 MLB CTXCLE 4% 87 1000 120 00 243326374700 131293 2512 316 100 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLECLE 45% 294259 631217 26617 52 248333392725 144295 219 325 106 +2 +0 -1 -2 +6 0.6
202921 MLB MLECLE 62% 402353 8917211 368210 83 252337404741 152296 209 332 111 +5 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.1
203022 MLB MLECLE 68% 455400 10119213 419111 93 254340412752 157296 209 336 113 +7 +1 -1 -3 +10 1.5
203123 MLB MLECLE 71% 505443 11421315 4510112 104 256341417758 161297 209 338 115 +9 +0 -0 -3 +11 1.7
203224 MLB MLECLE 71% 557489 12623317 5011113 114 257342420762 163297 209 340 116 +11 +1 -0 -3 +12 2.0
203325 MLB MLECLE 71% 580509 13124318 5311513 114 257342422764 165297 209 340 117 +11 +1 -0 -3 +13 2.1
203426 MLB MLECLE 71% 590518 13325318 5411713 114 257342421764 164297 209 340 116 +12 +1 -0 -4 +13 2.2
203527 MLB MLECLE 69% 589517 13325318 5411813 104 256341419760 163296 209 339 115 +11 +0 -0 -4 +13 2.1
203628 MLB MLECLE 69% 580509 13024317 5311713 94 254339414753 160295 209 336 114 +9 +0 -1 -3 +13 1.8
203729 MLB MLECLE 67% 564496 12523316 5111612 84 252336407744 156294 219 332 111 +7 +0 -2 -3 +12 1.5
203830 MLB MLECLE 66% 550484 12022215 4911412 74 249333399732 151292 219 328 108 +5 -0 -2 -3 +12 1.2
203931 MLB MLECLE 65% 532469 11421214 4711311 56 244328389717 145290 219 322 104 +2 -1 -3 -3 +12 0.7
204032 MLB MLECLE 70% 509449 10719213 4511010 415 239322376698 137286 229 314 99 -1 -5 -4 -3 +11 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXCLE 45% 132117 29513 11273 21 248333391724 142296 208 325 106 +1 +0 -0 -1 +3 0.3
202921 MLB CTXCLE 62% 247217 551017 22506 52 252337403740 151296 209 331 111 +3 +0 -0 -1 +5 0.7
203022 MLB CTXCLE 68% 311272 691319 28628 62 255340411751 156296 209 335 113 +5 +0 -0 -2 +7 1.0
203123 MLB CTXCLE 71% 360317 8115211 32728 73 256341416757 160297 209 338 115 +6 +0 -0 -2 +8 1.2
203224 MLB CTXCLE 71% 396348 9017212 36799 73 257342419761 162297 209 339 116 +8 +0 -0 -2 +9 1.4
203325 MLB CTXCLE 71% 411362 9317213 37829 83 258343421763 163298 209 340 117 +8 +0 -0 -2 +9 1.5
203426 MLB CTXCLE 71% 418368 9518213 38839 73 257342420763 163297 209 340 116 +8 +0 -0 -3 +9 1.5
203527 MLB CTXCLE 69% 409360 9217212 37829 73 256342418759 162297 209 339 115 +7 +0 -0 -2 +9 1.4
203628 MLB CTXCLE 69% 399351 9017212 36819 63 254340413753 159296 209 336 114 +6 +0 -1 -2 +9 1.2
203729 MLB CTXCLE 67% 377332 8416111 34778 53 252337407743 155295 209 332 111 +5 -0 -1 -2 +8 1.0
203830 MLB CTXCLE 66% 362318 7915110 33758 43 249333399732 150293 219 328 108 +3 -0 -1 -2 +8 0.7
203931 MLB CTXCLE 65% 347306 751419 31747 34 245328389717 144290 219 322 104 +2 -1 -2 -2 +8 0.4
204032 MLB CTXCLE 70% 359318 761419 31787 211 239322376698 136286 229 314 99 -1 -4 -3 -2 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 45283986 100818819131 406922100 6944 253337408745 155297 209 333 109 +63 -4 -9 -27 +98 12.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 14527319 5813214 106 253336411747 157297 209 333 109 +9 -1 -1 -4 +14 1.8
Career— MLE — 77116776 169931740209 6881541178 13470 251336402738 151294 209 329 109 +91 -3 -15 -42 +150 18.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 14427318 5813015 116 252337405742 152295 209 329 109 +9 -0 -1 -4 +14 1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 237 PAwOBA .414 → .368 (−46)K% 9.7% → 13.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.70%÷1.000×1.360——13.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.08%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0459.43%
HBP% /PA2.11%—×0.780—×1.0451.72%
Singles /BIP23.56%÷1.000×0.920×1.010×1.04522.87%
Doubles /BIP6.32%÷1.000×0.830×1.010×1.0455.54%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.000×0.910×1.010×1.0450.55%
Home runs /BIP5.75%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0454.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .414 → .368; ISO .218 → .192; BABIP .315 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 100 PAwOBA .340 → .289 (−51)K% 23.0% → 29.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.00%÷1.000×1.270——29.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.00%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0508.95%
HBP% /PA6.00%—×0.790—×1.0504.98%
Singles /BIP27.12%÷1.000×0.920×0.999×1.05026.16%
Doubles /BIP5.08%÷1.000×0.810×0.999×1.0504.32%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷1.000×0.850×0.999×1.0501.51%
Home runs /BIP1.69%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0501.42%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .340 → .289; ISO .098 → .081; BABIP .345 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 160 PAwOBA .391 → .294 (−97)K% 11.2% → 15.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.25%÷1.041×1.440——15.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.88%÷1.018×0.620—×1.02210.51%
HBP% /PA1.88%—×0.720—×1.0221.38%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.985×0.820×1.005×1.02217.11%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷0.982×0.720×1.005×1.0226.85%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.075×0.720×1.005×1.0221.25%
Home runs /BIP2.73%÷1.388×0.780—×1.0221.57%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .391 → .294; ISO .180 → .127; BABIP .312 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 130 PAwOBA .303 → .255 (−48)K% 13.1% → 18.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.08%÷0.989×1.360——17.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.92%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0505.15%
HBP% /PA3.85%—×0.780—×1.0503.15%
Singles /BIP20.20%÷1.071×0.920×0.986×1.05017.97%
Doubles /BIP8.08%÷0.921×0.830×0.986×1.0507.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.910×0.986×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.01%÷1.184×0.800—×1.0500.72%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .303 → .255; ISO .095 → .080; BABIP .286 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 167 PAwOBA .401 → .265 (−137)K% 10.8% → 13.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.78%÷0.987×1.220——13.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.18%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0227.39%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.700—×1.0221.71%
Singles /BIP25.20%÷0.995×0.680×0.950×1.02216.73%
Doubles /BIP8.94%÷1.091×0.600×0.950×1.0224.78%
Triples /BIP4.88%÷1.045×0.600×0.950×1.0222.72%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .401 → .265; ISO .163 → .094; BABIP .381 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).