David Dahl — OGILVIE

David DahlLF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 32 L/R 6'1" / 197 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .302 / .436

PA350

HR14

SB5

K%25

BB%6

ISO185

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2024

CONTACT37

Whiff%

2214.1%

xwOBA

270.282

POWER48

Barrel%

396.7

Avg EV

1085.2

Bat Spd

2068.1

EYE34

Chase%

1040.5%

SPEED51

Sprint

4227.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$3M
Totals		$3M		$0.1M	-$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	306	290	83	16	7	7	11	61	2	12	7	286	317	462	779	176	339	20	4	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	306	280	106	22	10	9	21	42	2	12	7	379	426	625	1.051	246	420	14	7	451	203	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	42	41	8	2	1	0	1	12	0	2	0	195	214	293	507	98	276	29	2	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	42	40	11	4	1	0	2	8	0	2	0	275	310	425	735	150	344	19	5	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	2 teams	—	547	520	121	26	8	8	20	129	1	21	5	233	262	360	622	127	294	24	4	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	2 teams	—	547	512	153	41	8	14	28	92	1	21	5	299	336	492	829	193	341	17	5	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	302	290	64	12	3	4	9	98	0	22	7	221	244	324	568	103	319	32	3	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	302	288	80	16	3	6	11	72	0	22	7	278	304	417	721	139	352	24	4	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	3 teams	—	637	588	154	31	7	18	44	180	2	22	7	262	315	430	746	168	348	28	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	3 teams	—	637	572	180	39	8	25	60	155	2	22	7	315	382	542	924	227	394	24	9	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	74	71	12	1	1	1	2	24	0	1	1	169	192	254	445	85	239	32	3	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	74	70	17	2	2	2	3	17	0	1	1	243	274	414	688	171	294	23	4	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	2 teams	—	349	326	74	14	3	13	20	94	1	6	3	227	274	408	682	181	276	27	6	287	78	-9	+0	-3	-4	+10	-0.5
2018	24	MLB	2 teams	—	349	326	90	18	3	18	20	87	1	6	3	276	320	515	835	239	323	25	6	362	135	+14	+0	-3	-4	+10	1.8
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	413	374	96	23	4	11	28	110	4	4	4	257	315	428	743	171	329	27	7	324	106	+3	-1	-0	-4	+12	0.9
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	413	374	113	28	5	15	28	110	4	4	4	302	357	524	881	222	386	27	7	379	148	+22	-1	-0	-4	+12	2.9
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	99	93	16	2	2	0	4	28	1	1	0	172	214	237	451	65	242	28	4	189	3	-11	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.9
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	99	93	17	2	2	0	4	28	1	1	0	183	224	247	472	65	258	28	4	213	21	-9	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.7
2021	27	MLB	3 teams	—	376	352	88	21	1	8	17	85	2	3	1	250	288	384	672	134	304	23	5	292	82	-8	+0	-1	-4	+11	-0.2
2021	27	MLB	3 teams	—	376	349	93	24	2	8	20	82	2	3	1	266	310	415	725	149	323	22	5	318	101	+1	+0	-1	-4	+11	0.6
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	328	82	20	1	7	25	92	1	4	0	250	305	381	686	131	321	26	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	319	89	20	1	10	34	84	1	4	0	279	350	442	792	163	343	23	9	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	313	289	64	21	0	7	23	64	1	3	0	221	281	367	648	145	261	20	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	313	281	78	26	0	9	31	50	1	3	0	278	351	466	818	189	311	16	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	357	336	81	13	1	15	20	102	0	5	4	241	284	420	703	179	300	29	6	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	—	357	325	88	14	2	17	31	92	0	5	4	271	334	483	817	212	327	26	9	358	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	PHI	—	350	324	82	16	1	14	22	88	1	5	1	253	303	438	741	185	306	25	6	326	107	+3	+1	+1	-4	+10	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	PHI	36%	350	324	79	15	1	13	22	90	1	4	1	244	294	417	711	173	299	26	6	316	100	+0	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.4
2028	34	MLB	PHI	31%	306	283	67	12	1	11	19	80	1	2	1	237	287	403	690	166	290	26	6	304	91	-3	+0	-4	-3	+9	-0.2
2029	35	MLB	PHI	27%	253	235	54	9	1	9	15	68	1	1	0	230	279	391	670	162	280	27	6	291	81	-5	+0	-5	-3	+7	-0.6
2027	33	MLB	PHI	36%	125	116	29	6	0	5	8	32	0	1	0	250	298	431	729	181	301	26	6	317	100	+0	+0	-1	-1	+4	0.1
2028	34	MLB	PHI	31%	96	90	21	4	0	3	6	25	0	1	0	233	281	378	659	144	292	26	6	305	91	-1	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	35	MLB	PHI	27%	68	64	14	3	0	2	4	18	0	0	0	219	265	359	624	141	282	26	6	292	81	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1591	1471	387	79	14	55	97	420	7	19	8	263	312	448	760	185	329	26	6	333	113	+23	+1	-8	-26	+45	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	158	32	6	22	40	172	3	8	3	263	312	446	758	183	330	26	6	333	113	+9	+0	-3	-10	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	5433	5064	1225	254	43	146	302	1405	19	118	42	242	287	396	683	154	305	26	6	296	85	-95	+7	-16	-57	+154	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	146	30	5	17	36	168	2	14	5	241	286	391	677	150	304	26	6	296	85	-11	+1	-2	-7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	306	280	106	22	10	9	21	42	2	12	7	379	426	625	1.051	246	420	14	7	451	203	+36	-0	—	—	+9	4.5
2013	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	42	40	11	4	1	0	2	8	0	2	0	275	310	425	735	150	344	19	5	323	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2014	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	125	120	32	8	2	4	5	27	0	3	0	267	296	467	763	200	315	22	4	333	113	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2014	20	A	Asheville Tourists	—	422	392	121	33	6	10	23	65	1	18	5	309	349	500	849	191	348	15	5	367	139	+19	+2	—	—	+12	3.3
2015	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	—	302	288	80	16	3	6	11	72	0	22	7	278	304	417	721	139	352	24	4	316	100	-0	+2	—	—	+9	1.0
2016	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	237	222	70	12	4	7	15	59	0	5	0	315	359	500	859	185	404	25	6	377	147	+13	+1	+1	-7	+7	1.4
2016	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	68	62	30	6	2	5	6	11	0	1	2	484	529	887	1.417	403	543	16	9	602	318	+17	-1	—	—	+2	1.8
2016	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	332	288	80	21	2	13	39	85	2	16	5	278	368	500	868	222	351	26	12	379	148	+18	+1	—	—	+9	2.9
2017	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	74	70	17	2	2	2	3	17	0	1	1	243	274	414	688	171	294	23	4	297	86	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	271	249	68	11	3	16	19	68	1	5	3	273	327	534	861	261	311	25	7	371	142	+13	-0	-3	-4	+8	1.4
2018	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	78	77	22	7	0	2	1	19	0	1	0	286	295	455	749	169	357	24	1	328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	413	374	113	28	5	15	28	110	4	4	4	302	357	524	881	222	386	27	7	379	148	+22	-1	-0	-4	+12	2.9
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	99	93	17	2	2	0	4	28	1	1	0	183	224	247	472	65	258	28	4	213	21	-9	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.7
2021	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	220	205	43	11	0	4	10	59	1	2	1	210	250	322	572	112	269	27	5	252	51	-12	+0	-1	-4	+6	-1.1
2021	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	131	121	38	13	2	3	8	20	1	0	0	314	362	529	890	215	354	15	6	386	154	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	25	23	12	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	522	560	652	1.212	130	579	12	8	537	269	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	359	319	89	20	1	10	34	84	1	4	0	279	350	442	792	163	343	23	9	348	125	+10	+1	—	—	+10	2.1
2023	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	313	281	78	26	0	9	31	50	1	3	0	278	351	466	818	189	311	16	10	362	135	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2024	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	62	58	12	2	0	3	3	21	0	0	0	207	246	397	642	190	257	34	5	278	71	-2	+0	+1	-4	+2	-0.3
2024	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	295	267	76	12	2	14	28	71	0	5	4	285	353	502	854	217	341	24	9	375	145	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1302	1201	323	66	14	45	79	345	7	17	8	269	318	460	777	191	338	26	6	338	117	+25	+0	-4	-22	+37	3.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Olmedo Saenzlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,582 PA	7	1,582	62	2	263	337	465	-19	-10	6.0	6.0
	/162	664	26	1	263	337	465	-8.0	-4.2	2.5	pk7: 6
#2Jeff Bakerlast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,915 PA	10	1,915	53	14	266	318	432	-17	-17	4.6	5.3
	/162	664	18	5	266	318	432	-5.7	-5.8	1.6	pk7: 6
#3Daryle Wardlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,297 PA	9	2,297	82	1	262	321	445	-28	-23	4.7	5.3
	/162	664	24	0	262	321	445	-8.1	-6.6	1.4	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	1,626	57	20	264	309	450	-17	-9	4.7	5.1
	/162	664	23	8	264	309	450	-7.1	-3.6	1.9	pk7: 6
#4Ruben Sierralast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,740 PA	6	1,740	67	10	264	310	446	-14	-10	4.5	4.5
	/162	664	26	4	264	310	446	-5.5	-3.9	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Shane Spencerlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA	5	1,568	41	13	261	325	410	-12	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	6	261	325	410	-5.3	-2.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Wil Corderolast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,639 PA	6	1,639	43	5	262	325	416	-17	-13	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	17	2	262	325	416	-7.0	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Dahl (OGILVIE)	32	37	48	51	34	252/302/436	183	306	14	5	25%	6%	107	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕Rick Ankiel 2011 · MLB	32	46→48	53→65	45→50	46	237/302/413	176	296	20	6	27%	8%	101	+1.8	232/289/389	157	308	17	9	29%	7%	89	+0.9	225/280/383	158	299	17	9	30%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	45→49	54→60	44→30	42	236/287/415	179	296	23	5	29%	6%	95	+1.4	240/299/439	199	287	25	6	25%	7%	107	+2.2	234/300/461	228	264	30	0	24%	8%	115	+1.5
✕Pedro Álvarez 2018 · MLB	31	42→46	60	48→45	44	234/288/442	208	274	29	3	27%	7%	103	+1.9	233/287/417	184	286	26	5	28%	7%	95	+1.4	224/285/402	178	267	29	0	28%	8%	89	+0.5
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	44	55	44→50	44	233/292/412	179	293	24	4	29%	8%	96	+1.5	222/276/377	155	292	20	6	30%	7%	81	+0.4	199/256/342	143	257	19	4	30%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Dallas McPherson 2012 · MLB	32	44	54→65	42→50	37	232/273/403	171	311	23	4	33%	5%	86	+0.8	227/274/384	157	332	20	7	36%	6%	82	+0.5	212/265/373	161	320	21	4	39%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Cody Ransom 2009 · MLB	33	39→42	54→55	48→50	44	213/277/392	179	263	23	11	29%	7%	85	+0.7	220/281/396	176	280	21	10	29%	7%	88	+0.9	216/283/399	183	290	24	7	33%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Graham Koonce 2007 · AAA	32	40→41	55	44→30	47	218/289/396	178	266	23	4	28%	8%	92	+1.2	215/286/389	174	275	22	6	29%	8%	89	+0.9	184/266/367	183	225	24	0	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Tim Beckham 2022 · MLB	32	45→55	54→55	45→50	40	235/281/415	180	297	23	6	29%	6%	92	+1.2	261/311/409	148	342	19	9	28%	6%	103	+1.9	321/370/451	131	434	19	6	28%	6%	132	+1.1
✕Laynce Nix 2013 · MLB	32	49→48	53→60	43→45	47	249/310/428	180	305	21	4	25%	8%	108	+2.3	225/286/362	137	302	15	8	29%	8%	80	+0.4	177/225/253	76	253	9	4	32%	6%	17	-0.9
●Danny Dorn 2015 · AAA	31	40→47	53→55	48→45	43	217/273/387	170	267	22	6	28%	7%	82	+0.5	269/318/434	165	330	16	7	23%	6%	112	+2.6	329/374/516	187	397	15	3	20%	5%	155	+3.3
✕John Mabry 2003 · MLB	32	47	56→60	44→30	46	249/308/439	190	285	24	5	22%	7%	110	+2.4	254/325/437	183	294	22	4	21%	9%	117	+2.9	251/323/426	175	294	21	0	22%	9%	105	+0.8
✕Brooks Conrad 2012 · MLB	32	46→44	51→55	53→50	47	233/307/399	166	301	19	13	28%	9%	99	+1.7	227/290/424	197	302	26	5	32%	8%	98	+1.6	188/249/350	162	244	21	1	32%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Garrett Jones 2013 · MLB	32	49→53	58→60	47→50	49	259/318/468	208	289	25	6	20%	8%	121	+3.2	248/306/435	187	290	21	3	22%	8%	108	+2.3	240/299/413	173	284	19	1	22%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Shelley Duncan 2012 · MLB	32	43→45	54→60	44→45	49	230/303/410	180	267	23	3	24%	8%	101	+1.8	198/269/344	146	237	18	4	24%	8%	69	-0.4	170/240/300	130	201	16	1	25%	8%	44	-1.3
●Kevin Barker 2007 · MLB	32	46→47	52→55	43→40	47	238/301/412	174	297	20	5	26%	8%	100	+1.7	231/295/395	164	285	20	3	25%	8%	93	+1.3	258/324/436	178	298	19	1	20%	8%	115	+1.8
✕Lorenzo Quintana 2021 · AAA	32	44	53→55	45	37	231/274/405	174	281	22	9	27%	4%	87	+0.8	244/292/407	163	302	19	5	25%	5%	95	+1.4	244/292/411	168	297	20	2	25%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Ryan Mulhern 2013 · AAA	32	47→48	55	43→40	39	243/293/426	183	310	23	6	30%	5%	101	+1.8	236/287/401	165	295	19	8	27%	5%	92	+1.2	229/283/414	185	264	22	3	22%	4%	94	+0.3
✕Didi Gregorius 2022 · MLB	32	45→54	53→60	48→50	49	233/292/403	170	243	21	6	15%	6%	94	+1.3	214/277/343	129	239	12	6	16%	6%	72	-0.2	190/251/287	98	217	6	3	15%	5%	44	-0.7
✕Jason Dubois 2010 · AAA	31	42→45	54→60	44→40	39	225/284/396	172	291	23	5	31%	6%	89	+1.0	243/301/464	221	304	31	6	30%	6%	115	+2.7	244/305/546	301	270	47	0	30%	7%	134	+1.7