David Dahl — OGILVIE

David DahlLF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 32 L/R 6'1" / 197 lbs AAA HR +11%H +4% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.9 · 2026

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .304 / .432

PA350

HR13

SB5

K%26

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

36→36

PWR

48→48

SPD

51→51

EYE

42↘34

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+0.9	$4M	-$2M
Totals		$5M		$4M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	306	290	83	16	7	7	11	61	2	12	7	.286	.317	.462	.779	.176	.339	20	4	.331	111	+4	-0	+0	-3	+9	0.9
2013	19	A	Asheville Tourists	42	41	8	2	1	0	1	11	0	2	0	.195	.214	.293	.507	.098	.267	26	2	.218	25	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2014	20	A	2 teams	547	522	121	28	7	9	18	124	1	21	5	.232	.259	.364	.623	.132	.286	23	3	.266	62	-24	+2	+0	-6	+15	-1.2
2015	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	302	291	70	13	3	5	8	94	0	22	7	.241	.261	.357	.618	.117	.339	31	3	.258	56	-15	+2	+0	-3	+9	-0.8
2016	22	AA	3 teams	637	587	165	33	7	20	45	180	2	22	7	.281	.334	.463	.798	.182	.374	28	7	.343	120	+15	+2	+1	-7	+18	2.9
2017	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	74	71	12	1	1	1	2	23	0	1	1	.169	.192	.254	.445	.085	.234	31	3	.205	15	-7	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.6
2018	24	MLB	2 teams	349	326	80	15	2	16	20	93	1	6	3	.245	.291	.451	.742	.206	.292	27	6	.308	94	-2	+0	-3	-4	+10	0.1
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	413	374	106	28	2	13	28	110	4	4	4	.283	.340	.473	.813	.190	.363	27	7	.349	125	+12	-1	-0	-4	+12	1.8
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	99	93	15	2	1	0	4	28	1	1	0	.161	.204	.204	.408	.043	.227	28	4	.193	6	-11	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.9
2021	27	MLB	3 teams	376	352	87	22	1	7	17	86	2	3	1	.247	.286	.375	.661	.128	.304	23	5	.289	79	-9	+0	-1	-4	+11	-0.3
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	359	329	81	18	1	8	24	97	1	4	0	.246	.299	.380	.679	.134	.319	27	7	.293	82	-7	+1	+0	-4	+10	-0.0
2023	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	313	290	65	21	0	7	22	64	1	3	0	.224	.281	.369	.650	.145	.265	20	7	.283	75	-9	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.4
2024	30	AAA	2 teams	357	335	78	12	1	14	21	105	0	5	4	.233	.278	.400	.678	.167	.295	29	6	.296	84	-6	-1	+1	-4	+10	0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	PHI	350	322	81	17	1	13	24	90	1	5	1	.252	.305	.432	.737	.180	.307	26	7	.325	107	+3	+1	-1	-4	+10	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB 20%	PHI	349	321	80	16	1	13	24	92	1	3	1	.249	.303	.427	.730	.178	.305	26	7	.319	102	+1	+0	-5	-4	+10	0.2
2028	34	MLB 33%	PHI	305	281	69	14	1	11	20	83	1	2	0	.246	.298	.420	.718	.174	.303	27	7	.311	96	-1	+0	-6	-3	+9	-0.1
2029	35	MLB 43%	PHI	252	233	55	11	1	8	17	71	0	1	0	.236	.288	.395	.683	.159	.300	28	7	.302	89	-3	+0	-6	-3	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5430	5058	1256	269	38	152	306	1412	18	117	41	.248	.294	.407	.700	.158	.313	26	6	.302	90	-64	+7	-23	-57	+154	1.8
/ 162G	—			650	605	150	32	5	18	37	169	2	14	5	.248	.293	.407	.700	.159	.313	26	6	.302	90	-8	+1	-3	-7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	306	280	106	22	10	9	21	42	2	12	7	.379	.426	.625	1.051	.246	.420	14	7	.451	203	+36	-0	—	—	+9	4.5
2013	19	A	Asheville Tourists	42	40	11	4	1	0	2	8	0	2	0	.275	.310	.425	.735	.150	.344	19	5	.323	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2014	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	125	120	32	8	2	4	5	27	0	3	0	.267	.296	.467	.763	.200	.315	22	4	.333	113	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2014	20	A	Asheville Tourists	422	392	121	33	6	10	23	65	1	18	5	.309	.349	.500	.849	.191	.348	15	5	.367	139	+19	+2	—	—	+12	3.3
2015	21	AA	New Britain Rock Cats	302	288	80	16	3	6	11	72	0	22	7	.278	.304	.417	.721	.139	.352	24	4	.316	100	-0	+2	—	—	+9	1.0
2016	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	237	222	70	12	4	7	15	59	0	5	0	.315	.359	.500	.859	.185	.404	25	6	.377	147	+13	+1	+1	-7	+7	1.4
2016	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	68	62	30	6	2	5	6	11	0	1	2	.484	.529	.887	1.417	.403	.543	16	9	.602	318	+17	-1	—	—	+2	1.8
2016	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	332	288	80	21	2	13	39	85	2	16	5	.278	.368	.500	.868	.222	.351	26	12	.379	148	+18	+1	—	—	+9	2.9
2017	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	74	70	17	2	2	2	3	17	0	1	1	.243	.274	.414	.688	.171	.294	23	4	.297	86	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	271	249	68	11	3	16	19	68	1	5	3	.273	.327	.534	.861	.261	.311	25	7	.371	142	+13	-0	-3	-4	+8	1.4
2018	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	78	77	22	7	0	2	1	19	0	1	0	.286	.295	.455	.749	.169	.357	24	1	.328	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	413	374	113	28	5	15	28	110	4	4	4	.302	.357	.524	.881	.222	.386	27	7	.379	148	+22	-1	-0	-4	+12	2.9
2020	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	99	93	17	2	2	0	4	28	1	1	0	.183	.224	.247	.472	.065	.258	28	4	.213	21	-9	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.7
2021	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	220	205	43	11	0	4	10	59	1	2	1	.210	.250	.322	.572	.112	.269	27	5	.252	51	-12	+0	-1	-4	+6	-1.1
2021	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	131	121	38	13	2	3	8	20	1	0	0	.314	.362	.529	.890	.215	.354	15	6	.386	154	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	25	23	12	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	.522	.560	.652	1.212	.130	.579	12	8	.537	269	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	359	319	89	20	1	10	34	84	1	4	0	.279	.350	.442	.792	.163	.343	23	9	.348	125	+10	+1	—	—	+10	2.1
2023	29	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	313	281	78	26	0	9	31	50	1	3	0	.278	.351	.466	.818	.189	.311	16	10	.362	135	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2024	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	62	58	12	2	0	3	3	21	0	0	0	.207	.246	.397	.642	.190	.257	34	5	.278	71	-2	+0	+1	-4	+2	-0.3
2024	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	295	267	76	12	2	14	28	71	0	5	4	.285	.353	.502	.854	.217	.341	24	9	.375	145	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1302	1201	323	66	14	45	79	345	7	17	8	.269	.318	.460	.777	.191	.338	26	6	.338	117	+25	+0	-4	-22	+37	3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Dahl (OGILVIE)	32	36	48	51	34	.251/.304/.432	.181	.307	13	5	26%	7%	107	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	45	54→60	44→30	42	.236/.286/.411	.175	.295	23	5	28%	6%	93	+1.3	.245/.305/.459	.214	.291	28	5	26%	7%	115	+2.7	.242/.309/.492	.250	.271	34	0	25%	8%	127	+2.0
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	43	55→60	45→50	46	.231/.292/.412	.181	.284	24	5	28%	8%	96	+1.5	.221/.276/.380	.159	.283	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.199/.255/.342	.143	.252	20	4	29%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Shelley Duncan 2012 · MLB	32	43	55→60	45	49	.229/.301/.412	.184	.263	23	3	23%	8%	101	+1.8	.205/.276/.358	.153	.244	19	4	24%	8%	76	+0.1	.178/.249/.316	.138	.209	17	1	25%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	49→54	56→55	48→45	48	.255/.326/.453	.198	.293	24	4	22%	8%	121	+3.2	.222/.282/.386	.164	.268	20	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.196/.249/.341	.145	.238	17	1	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	41	54→60	47→45	42	.219/.284/.396	.177	.269	22	7	28%	6%	89	+1.0	.205/.270/.344	.139	.260	17	6	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.170/.239/.268	.098	.215	12	0	27%	7%	35	-0.9
✕Graham Koonce 2007 · AAA	32	41	54→55	44→30	46	.220/.290/.397	.178	.268	23	4	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.214/.286/.390	.176	.272	22	5	29%	8%	89	+0.9	.184/.266/.368	.183	.226	24	0	30%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Rick Ankiel 2011 · MLB	32	46→48	54→65	45→50	47	.240/.305/.423	.183	.293	21	6	26%	8%	105	+2.1	.233/.291/.388	.155	.307	17	10	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.226/.281/.386	.159	.301	17	9	30%	7%	80	+0.1
●Kevin Barker 2007 · MLB	32	47	53→55	44→40	46	.239/.301/.414	.174	.297	20	5	26%	8%	101	+1.8	.232/.295/.395	.163	.287	20	3	26%	8%	93	+1.3	.260/.327/.442	.182	.299	20	1	20%	9%	118	+1.9
✕Ricky Ledee 2006 · MLB	32	50→47	53→60	50	54	.254/.332/.434	.180	.296	20	5	21%	10%	118	+3.0	.233/.295/.379	.146	.281	16	5	22%	8%	89	+0.9	.215/.269/.337	.122	.265	15	2	25%	6%	65	-0.4
✕John Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	32	44→47	50→55	41→40	44	.225/.296/.381	.157	.283	18	3	27%	7%	91	+1.1	.220/.284/.367	.147	.265	16	7	23%	6%	82	+0.5	.193/.271/.342	.148	.205	12	8	13%	7%	68	-0.1
✕Dallas McPherson 2012 · MLB	32	44	54→65	43→50	36	.229/.271/.400	.171	.312	23	4	34%	5%	85	+0.7	.227/.275/.389	.162	.334	21	6	36%	6%	83	+0.6	.214/.269/.380	.165	.325	22	4	39%	7%	76	+0.0
✕John Mabry 2003 · MLB	32	47	55→60	44→30	46	.246/.305/.432	.186	.286	23	5	23%	7%	108	+2.3	.254/.324/.437	.183	.293	22	4	21%	9%	116	+2.8	.251/.323/.426	.175	.294	21	0	22%	9%	105	+0.8
✕Garrett Jones 2013 · MLB	32	49→53	57→60	46→50	50	.258/.317/.459	.202	.287	25	6	20%	8%	119	+3.1	.245/.303/.430	.185	.285	22	4	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.233/.292/.397	.165	.275	18	1	22%	7%	88	+0.6
✕Kyle Garlick 2023 · MLB	31	43→48	58→60	49→40	40	.234/.290/.430	.196	.296	27	6	31%	6%	101	+1.8	.197/.266/.352	.155	.282	21	4	36%	7%	70	-0.3	.170/.244/.307	.137	.246	19	2	38%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Pedro Álvarez 2018 · MLB	31	43→47	59→65	48→45	45	.235/.291/.437	.203	.277	28	3	27%	7%	103	+1.9	.232/.285/.414	.182	.285	26	4	28%	7%	94	+1.3	.224/.285/.403	.179	.268	29	0	28%	8%	89	+0.5
●Danny Dorn 2015 · AAA	31	41→47	52→60	48→45	43	.219/.277/.381	.163	.271	20	7	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.266/.317/.430	.164	.326	17	6	23%	6%	111	+2.5	.321/.368/.501	.181	.387	15	3	20%	6%	148	+3.0
✕Valentino Pascucci 2011 · AAA	32	41→45	54→55	47→45	50	.217/.303/.391	.174	.282	22	4	31%	10%	95	+1.4	.214/.297/.379	.165	.305	21	3	34%	10%	90	+1.0	.203/.294/.363	.160	.292	21	0	35%	11%	82	+0.4
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	41→44	52→55	52→50	43	.217/.277/.384	.167	.274	20	11	29%	7%	83	+0.6	.230/.298/.415	.185	.307	23	9	31%	8%	100	+1.7	.210/.276/.403	.193	.274	26	2	33%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jason Dubois 2010 · AAA	31	42→45	53→60	44→40	39	.224/.281/.393	.170	.289	22	4	30%	6%	88	+0.9	.239/.299/.451	.212	.302	29	6	31%	6%	110	+2.4	.236/.301/.514	.277	.269	43	0	30%	7%	124	+1.4
✕Mike Yastrzemski 2023 · MLB	32	43→49	56→65	51→50	53	.229/.318/.433	.204	.272	23	6	25%	10%	113	+2.6	.230/.316/.426	.196	.277	22	6	25%	10%	110	+2.4	.230/.321/.425	.195	.272	22	5	23%	11%	107	+1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)