Franyer Mendez
P
DSL Rojos
Age 19
RHP
6'1" / 193 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 25 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 4 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 1.9 | 23.7% | 18.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.87 | 4.88 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 4 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 1.9 | 23.7% | 18.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 5.87 | 5.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 13 | 11 | 36 | 167 | 32 | 23 | 0 | 85% | 2.8 | 13.0% | 17.2% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 8.00 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 61 | 273 | 57 | 33 | 3 | — | — | 20.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 6.49 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | CIN | 5 | 5 | 26 | 112 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | CIN | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.85 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 77 | 31 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 15 | 44 | 205 | 31 | 36 | 1 | 88% | 2.6 | 15.0% | 17.4% | -2.4% | 0.5% | 7.63 | 4.31 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 69 | 200 | 939 | 141 | 164 | 5 | 88% | 2.6 | 15.0% | 17.4% | -2.4% | 0.5% | 7.63 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franyer Mendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.23 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 26 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 85 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 83 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 81 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 81 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2028 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 81 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 81 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 80 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .419 | 5.75 | 14.8% | -6.5% | 109 | +1.84 | 3.91 | 165 | 80 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 80 |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2029 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 79 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 79 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 79 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 79 |
| Chad Donato R 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 78 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 78 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 78 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 78 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.08 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% | .371 | 4.23 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 278 | -0.85 | 4.13 | 397 | 78 |
| Yorman Gómez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.47 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 346 | +0.46 | 3.19 | 451 | 78 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 1.14 | 4.30 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |