Ricardo Yan — OGILVIE

Ricardo Yan P Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.16

FIP6.16

K%16.7%

BB%20.7%

K-BB%-4.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	12	4	27	127	24	20	3	33%	2.2	12.9%	19.7%	-6.8%	3.3%	3.71	6.32	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	12	4	27	127	24	20	3	33%	2.2	18.9%	15.7%	3.1%	2.4%	3.71	5.01	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	9	8	24	103	31	12	1	89%	2.7	20.5%	14.6%	5.9%	1.4%	3.75	4.00	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	9	8	24	103	31	12	1	89%	2.7	30.1%	11.7%	18.4%	1.0%	3.75	2.56	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	91%	4.5	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	1.8%	3.65	3.62	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	91%	4.5	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	1.8%	3.65	3.62	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	91%	4.5	31.9%	10.4%	21.5%	1.4%	3.65	2.49	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	16.7%	21.5%	-4.8%	1.7%	3.68	5.36	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	16.7%	21.5%	-4.8%	1.7%	3.68	5.36	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	100%	4.1	21.7%	18.7%	3.0%	1.2%	3.68	4.38	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	2.0%	5.22	5.13	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	2.0%	5.22	5.13	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	9%	2.2	21.7%	16.2%	5.5%	1.5%	5.22	4.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	33	0	50	267	64	47	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	18.8%	0.2%	2.0%	7.15	4.97	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	33	0	50	267	64	47	3	0%	1.5	19.0%	18.8%	0.2%	2.0%	7.15	4.97	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	ARI	5	0	9	44	11	5	0	0%	1.7	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	0.0%	7.27	2.43	—
2026	23	A RAW	ARI	24	0	39	195	50	31	3	0%	1.6	25.6%	15.9%	9.7%	1.5%	5.35	3.79	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	ARI	4	0	3	28	3	11	0	0%	0.8	10.7%	39.3%	-28.6%	0.0%	30.00	7.17	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	ARI	5	0	5	22	4	5	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	20.7%	-4.0%	2.7%	6.16	6.16	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	56	289	68	52	4	—	—	23.4%	17.8%	5.6%	1.2%	7.06	5.08	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	65	275	50	49	7	0%	1.1	18.1%	17.9%	0.2%	2.7%	5.81	5.70	-0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	279	53	45	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.1%	2.8%	2.7%	5.52	5.41	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	ARI	63	0	66	279	54	44	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	2.7%	5.38	5.33	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	ARI	62	0	65	274	53	43	8	0%	1.0	19.4%	15.6%	3.8%	2.8%	5.35	5.34	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	266	51	42	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.40	5.43	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	27	0	28	118	21	21	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	17.9%	0.2%	2.7%	5.81	5.70	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	42	0	44	186	35	30	5	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.1%	2.8%	2.7%	5.52	5.41	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	52	220	42	34	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	15.7%	3.6%	2.7%	5.38	5.33	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52	0	55	232	45	36	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.6%	3.8%	2.8%	5.35	5.34	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	45	37	7	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.9%	5.40	5.43	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		224	0	235	994	189	159	27	0%	1.1	19.1%	16.0%	3.0%	2.8%	5.45	5.03	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	135	23	0%	1.1	19.1%	16.0%	3.0%	2.8%	5.45	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		118	45	312	1422	274	239	28	38%	2.6	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	2.0%	4.59	4.69	-3.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	29	200	912	175	153	18	38%	2.6	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	2.0%	4.59	4.69	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Yan (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.16	16.7%	20.7%	2.7%	—	5.48	18.7%	2.2%	197	-0.68	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	88
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	87
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	86
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	84
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	83
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	81
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	80
Josue Gerardo R 2016 · 5.33 FIP	23	SU	5.33	17.8%	23.5%	1.4%	.220	5.99	16.5%	-6.0%	30	+0.66	4.59	122	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	79
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	78
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	78
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	78
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	78
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	78
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	77
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	76
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	75
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	64	18.6%	16.9%	1.06	5.60
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77