Ricardo Yan — OGILVIE

Ricardo Yan P Hillsboro Hops

+0.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2028

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.6%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%6.8%

IP64

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL D-backs 2	12	4	27	127	24	20	3	12.9%	19.7%	3.3%	3.71	6.32	-0.4
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	9	8	24	103	31	12	1	20.5%	14.6%	1.5%	3.75	4.04	+0.2
2023	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	23	21	104	432	138	45	6	23.9%	12.2%	1.8%	3.65	3.63	+2.0
2024	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	9	9	37	166	36	31	2	16.7%	21.5%	1.8%	3.68	5.38	-0.2
2025	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	32	3	71	327	71	53	5	16.7%	18.6%	2.0%	5.22	5.14	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	2	0	2	13	2	3	0	—	—	—	18.00	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	ARI	12	12	64	269	52	46	7	19.4%	16.9%	2.7%	5.46	5.46	-0.3
2026 Total	23	MLB	ARI	—	—	66	282	54	49	7	19.2%	17.2%	2.6%	5.84	5.29	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	ARI	12	12	65	276	56	42	7	20.3%	15.1%	2.7%	5.23	5.15	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	ARI	12	12	66	280	59	39	8	20.9%	13.9%	2.7%	5.04	4.96	+0.0
2029	26	MLB	ARI	12	12	66	280	59	38	8	21.3%	13.7%	2.7%	4.95	4.91	+0.1
2030	27	MLB	ARI	12	12	66	277	59	38	8	21.3%	13.6%	2.7%	4.91	4.90	+0.1
2031	28	MLB	ARI	12	12	65	273	58	37	8	21.3%	13.6%	2.8%	4.92	4.93	+0.0
2032	29	MLB	ARI	11	11	63	267	56	37	8	21.2%	13.7%	2.8%	4.95	4.97	+0.0
2033	30	MLB	ARI	11	11	61	259	54	36	7	21.0%	13.8%	2.9%	5.00	5.03	-0.0
2034	31	MLB	ARI	59	—	59	250	52	35	7	20.7%	13.9%	2.9%	5.06	5.11	-0.1
2035	32	MLB	ARI	57	—	57	240	49	34	7	20.5%	14.1%	3.0%	5.14	5.19	-0.2
2036	33	MLB	ARI	54	—	54	229	46	33	7	20.2%	14.2%	3.1%	5.23	5.29	-0.2
2037	34	MLB	ARI	52	—	52	217	43	31	7	19.8%	14.4%	3.2%	5.33	5.40	-0.3
2038	35	MLB	ARI	48	—	48	205	40	30	7	19.4%	14.7%	3.3%	5.45	5.52	-0.3
2039	36	MLB	ARI	45	—	45	191	36	29	7	19.0%	14.9%	3.4%	5.57	5.66	-0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			87	45	264	1168	225	192	23	19.3%	16.5%	2.0%	4.20	4.64	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—			66	34	200	886	171	146	17	19.3%	16.5%	2.0%	4.20	4.64	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Yan (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	19.4%	16.9%	2.7%	—	5.01	20.9%	6.6%	198	-0.45	—	—	—
Matt Brill R 2026 · 4.89 FIP	23	SW	4.89	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.88	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.74	161	91
Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	91
Will McAffer R 2025 · 4.71 FIP	22	SW	4.71	20.4%	18.1%	1.9%	.270	5.98	18.5%	-4.0%	77	+1.27	4.71	133	91
Aaron Hernandez R 2025 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.77	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.05	4.61	194	90
Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	23	SW	4.74	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.09	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.65	4.09	116	90
Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	16.9%	14.7%	2.1%	.297	3.79	18.1%	3.6%	58	-0.89	3.79	117	90
Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.40	17.1%	3.3%	48	-1.04	4.40	122	89
Jonathan Teaney R 2026 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	16.4%	15.7%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	108	89
Sal Biasi R 2026 · 5.22 FIP	23	SW	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.64	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.42	4.68	188	89
Kris Hall R 2027 · 4.64 FIP	24	SW	4.64	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.02	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.64	106	89
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	18.3%	14.4%	1.9%	.265	4.51	22.7%	9.8%	58	+0.09	4.42	155	88
Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.47 FIP	24	SW	5.47	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.60	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.87	4.27	132	88
Alex McFarlane R 2025 · 4.91 FIP	22	SW	4.91	21.9%	19.2%	2.2%	.344	4.23	17.8%	3.5%	74	-0.68	4.23	125	88
Kevin Kopps R 2028 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	88
Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 5.14 FIP	23	SW	5.14	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.54	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.40	3.93	178	87
Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SW	4.94	18.8%	13.8%	3.1%	.301	3.44	18.6%	10.2%	76	-1.50	3.36	178	87
Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.63	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.43	196	87
Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 4.69 FIP	23	SW	4.69	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.73	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.96	3.73	104	87
Craig Schlitter R 2027 · 4.61 FIP	24	SW	4.61	22.7%	15.4%	2.7%	.298	4.70	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.09	4.23	222	87
Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.21 FIP	23	SW	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.26	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.95	3.58	327	86

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.