Ricardo Yan
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 156147vR 137
ERA6.12
FIP6.12
K%16.7%
BB%20.2%
K-BB%-3.5%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 12 | 4 | 27 | 127 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 33% | 2.2 | 12.9% | 19.7% | -6.8% | 3.3% | 3.71 | 6.32 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 12 | 4 | 27 | 127 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 33% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.71 | 5.01 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 9 | 8 | 24 | 103 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 89% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 3.75 | 4.05 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 9 | 8 | 24 | 103 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 89% | 2.7 | 30.1% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 1.0% | 3.75 | 2.56 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 104 | 432 | 138 | 45 | 6 | 91% | 4.5 | 23.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 3.65 | 3.63 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 104 | 432 | 138 | 45 | 6 | 91% | 4.5 | 31.9% | 10.4% | 21.5% | 1.4% | 3.65 | 2.49 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 9 | 9 | 37 | 166 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 16.7% | 21.5% | -4.8% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 9 | 9 | 37 | 166 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.7% | 18.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 3.68 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 32 | 3 | 71 | 327 | 71 | 53 | 5 | 9% | 2.2 | 16.7% | 18.6% | -1.9% | 2.0% | 5.22 | 5.17 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 32 | 3 | 71 | 327 | 71 | 53 | 5 | 9% | 2.2 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 5.22 | 4.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 18 | 0 | 32 | 169 | 42 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 21.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 7.88 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 44 | 53 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 20.2% | -3.5% | 2.7% | 6.12 | 6.12 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.7% | 20.2% | -3.5% | 2.7% | 6.12 | 6.12 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 94 | 429 | 86 | 79 | 9 | — | — | 19.9% | 18.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 6.72 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 48 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 5.78 | 5.67 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 52 | 42 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.36 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 5.78 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 41 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.36 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 0 | 120 | 506 | 95 | 81 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.04 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 135 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 103 | 45 | 294 | 1324 | 259 | 210 | 28 | 44% | 2.9 | 19.6% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.51 | 4.62 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 31 | 200 | 902 | 176 | 143 | 19 | 44% | 2.9 | 19.6% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.51 | 4.62 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ricardo Yan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.12 | 16.7% | 20.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.46 | 18.7% | 2.5% | 191 | -0.66 | — | — | — |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 85 |
| Jon Keller R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.41 | 15.3% | 20.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.84 | 8.9% | -2.9% | 15 | -1.57 | 3.62 | 156 | 84 |
| Ted Stuka R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 83 |
| Drew Conover R 2026 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 82 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 80 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 79 |
| Jake Eddington R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.98 | 18.8% | 24.1% | 0.7% | .316 | 5.09 | 15.8% | -4.0% | 85 | +0.11 | 4.88 | 114 | 78 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.25 | 12.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .381 | 6.70 | 10.3% | -5.6% | 47 | +1.45 | 5.25 | 110 | 77 |
| Jordan Brink R 2026 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 77 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.06 | 12.6% | 24.0% | 1.8% | .242 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 144 | 77 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 76 |
| Cole Aker R 2025 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.51 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 2.6% | .239 | 6.10 | 12.0% | -9.9% | 28 | +0.59 | 3.60 | 147 | 76 |
| Ruben Castillo R 2026 · 5.64 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.64 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.4% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.33 | 140 | 76 |
| Josue Gerardo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.33 | 17.8% | 23.5% | 1.4% | .220 | 5.99 | 16.5% | -6.0% | 30 | +0.66 | 4.59 | 122 | 75 |
| Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 75 |
| Wills Montgomerie R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.03 | 19.3% | 19.1% | 2.1% | .275 | 4.55 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 105 | -0.48 | 4.55 | 153 | 75 |
| Ramsey David R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 74 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.84 | 16.6% | 14.9% | 4.1% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 74 |
| Kendy Richard R 2024 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 74 |
| Eury Rosado R 2025 · 6.29 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.29 | 17.8% | 18.2% | 4.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 109 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 18.2% | 17.2% | 1.05 | 5.69 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |