Alexis Liebano
P
Visalia Rawhide
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.07
FIP5.07
K%20.6%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 6 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.1% | 3.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 1.04 | 1.50 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 6 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.1% | 3.4% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 1.04 | 1.83 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 14 | 1 | 30 | 150 | 26 | 29 | 2 | 7% | 2.1 | 11.8% | 24.2% | -12.4% | 1.7% | 7.80 | 6.12 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 14 | 1 | 30 | 150 | 26 | 29 | 2 | 7% | 2.1 | 17.3% | 19.3% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 7.80 | 5.13 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 34 | 0 | 35 | 159 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 5.60 | 5.05 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 34 | 0 | 35 | 159 | 48 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.2% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 3.8% | 5.60 | 4.03 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 210 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.9% | 16.6% | -3.7% | 5.8% | 7.05 | 7.29 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 45 | 210 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.05 | 6.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 25 | 0 | 33 | 159 | 43 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 5.13 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.07 | 5.07 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 57 | 260 | 64 | 28 | 7 | — | — | 24.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 23 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.46 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 95 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 116 | 1 | 152 | 707 | 118 | 111 | 27 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.7% | 15.6% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 5.74 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 1 | 200 | 930 | 155 | 146 | 35 | 1% | 1.3 | 16.7% | 15.6% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 6.10 | 5.74 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alexis Liebano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 3.4% | — | 4.84 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 91 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 91 |
| Justin Evans R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.29 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% | .333 | 3.97 | 22.0% | 5.5% | 65 | -1.32 | 3.73 | 105 | 88 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 88 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 88 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 88 |
| Vince Arobio R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.47 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | .365 | 3.84 | 24.1% | 16.2% | 55 | -0.63 | 3.84 | 118 | 88 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 88 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 88 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 19.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% | .342 | 3.78 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 128 | -0.49 | 3.26 | 155 | 87 |
| Kelvin Ramirez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 20.4% | 11.5% | 3.0% | .307 | 4.97 | 21.3% | 2.2% | 89 | +0.47 | 3.36 | 219 | 87 |
| Kasey Ford R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.68 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .310 | 4.31 | 21.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 114 | 87 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 86 |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 86 |
| Ralston Cash R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.78 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .240 | 3.92 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 185 | -0.86 | 3.03 | 242 | 86 |
| Max Alba R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 86 |
| Brett Standlee R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% | .322 | 4.33 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 75 | +0.33 | 4.00 | 128 | 86 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.13 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.66 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.47 | 3.77 | 215 | 86 |