Brooks Crawford P Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 246 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%20.5%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%9.2%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.10 (26 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201922ROKAZL Giants Black120156414710%1.214.9%13.7%1.2%2.2%6.144.78
201922ROKAZL Giants Black120156414710%1.221.9%10.9%10.9%1.6%6.143.51
202124ASan Jose Giants3204618457720%1.422.9%4.5%18.4%1.4%1.962.50
202124ASan Jose Giants3204618457720%1.431.0%3.8%27.2%1.1%1.961.64
202225A+Eugene Emeralds43057230642070%1.321.4%10.0%11.4%3.1%3.184.24
202225A+Eugene Emeralds43057230642070%1.327.8%8.7%19.1%3.0%3.183.51
202326MIX2 levels400853468132110%2.118.0%10.7%7.3%4.2%3.385.22
202326MIX2 levels400853468132110%2.123.4%9.2%14.2%3.2%3.384.00
202427MIX2 levels37172300733683%2.020.0%13.0%7.1%2.6%3.984.46
202427MIX2 levels37172300733683%2.024.3%12.0%12.3%2.7%3.984.01
202528AAChattanooga Lookouts15025113201440%1.714.3%13.6%0.7%4.1%8.285.85
202528AAChattanooga Lookouts15025113201440%1.717.7%12.4%5.3%3.5%8.285.26
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBCIN25026110231230%1.020.5%11.2%9.2%3.1%4.894.89-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBCIN23024103211230%1.120.4%11.3%9.1%3.3%4.935.01-0.1
202730MLBCIN808347410%1.020.4%11.3%9.1%3.3%4.935.01-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career708327410%1.120.4%11.3%9.1%3.3%4.934.63-0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844183104260%1.120.4%11.3%9.1%3.3%4.934.63+1.8
Career17913001237240131381%1.719.4%10.6%8.8%3.0%3.814.48+3.2
/ 200 IP119120082516088251%1.719.4%10.6%8.8%3.0%3.814.48+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brooks Crawford (OGILVIE) 4.89 20.5%11.2%3.1% 5.01 20.4%9.1%24 +0.12
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 89
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 84
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 83
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 82
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 82
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 82
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 81
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 29 SU 4.19 24.4%10.9%3.2%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.81 2.38 160 81
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 19.0%12.3%2.4%.333 3.24 22.5%15.8%120 -1.15 2.96 230 81
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 79
Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 79
Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP 31 SU 3.69 17.5%8.8%1.8%.244 4.74 17.6%7.8%377 +1.05 3.69 521 79
Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 79
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 29 SU 4.86 19.2%8.5%4.2%.275 3.73 18.5%11.1%152 -1.13 3.40 295 78
Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 29 SU 3.80 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.81 21.6%12.6%179 +0.01 2.40 617 78
Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP 28 SU 4.11 17.9%7.7%2.8%.344 3.13 120 78
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 29 SU 4.54 16.5%10.4%2.8%.288 3.57 187 78
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 29 SU 4.18 22.7%13.7%2.3%.310 4.93 15.3%5.5%154 +0.75 4.02 748 77
Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 29 SU 4.58 20.8%11.1%3.3%.276 4.12 230 77
Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 28 SU 4.58 17.9%13.1%2.4%.359 2.12 162 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22520.4%11.3%1.244.91
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07