Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 12 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 6.14 | 4.78 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 12 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 1.6% | 6.14 | 3.51 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 32 | 0 | 46 | 184 | 57 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 4.5% | 18.4% | 1.4% | 1.96 | 2.50 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 32 | 0 | 46 | 184 | 57 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.0% | 3.8% | 27.2% | 1.1% | 1.96 | 1.64 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 43 | 0 | 57 | 230 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 3.18 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 43 | 0 | 57 | 230 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.8% | 8.7% | 19.1% | 3.0% | 3.18 | 3.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 85 | 346 | 81 | 32 | 11 | 0% | 2.1 | 18.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.38 | 5.22 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 85 | 346 | 81 | 32 | 11 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 72 | 300 | 73 | 36 | 8 | 3% | 2.0 | 20.0% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 3.98 | 4.46 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 72 | 300 | 73 | 36 | 8 | 3% | 2.0 | 24.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 4.01 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 15 | 0 | 25 | 113 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.3% | 13.6% | 0.7% | 4.1% | 8.28 | 5.85 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 15 | 0 | 25 | 113 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.7% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 8.28 | 5.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 4.63 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 104 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.93 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 179 | 1 | 300 | 1237 | 240 | 131 | 38 | 1% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.81 | 4.48 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 1 | 200 | 825 | 160 | 88 | 25 | 1% | 1.7 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.81 | 4.48 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Crawford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 20.5% | 11.2% | 3.1% | — | 5.01 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 24 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 89 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 83 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 81 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 79 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 78 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 78 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 78 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.54 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 187 | 78 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 77 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.58 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 77 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 20.4% | 11.3% | 1.24 | 4.91 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |