Alaska Abney
P
Akron RubberDucks
+0.2
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.6%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.8%
IP29
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 12 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 22 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.56 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 42 | 0 | 50 | 196 | 58 | 26 | 5 | 22.8% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 2.54 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 36 | 0 | 53 | 234 | 57 | 28 | 6 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 5.77 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 40 | 0 | 55 | 224 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 0.9% | 1.95 | 3.36 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 18 | 0 | 25 | 94 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 18.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.44 | 3.67 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 4 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 34 | 146 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 22.1% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 152 | 0 | 204 | 835 | 176 | 101 | 18 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 2.87 | 4.04 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 0 | 200 | 820 | 173 | 99 | 18 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 2.87 | 4.04 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alaska Abney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 21.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 29 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 92 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 90 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.21 | 2.96 | 114 | 88 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 87 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 87 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 87 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 87 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.10 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .289 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.67 | 3.10 | 220 | 86 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 85 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.58 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 169 | 85 |
| Esmerling De La Rosa R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.37 | 20.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .313 | 4.87 | 14.1% | 5.8% | 66 | +1.50 | 2.90 | 237 | 85 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .255 | 4.04 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 66 | -0.10 | 4.04 | 214 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 83 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 82 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 82 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .362 | 5.48 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.76 | 2.78 | 181 | 82 |
| Chuck King R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.18 | 19.4% | 9.9% | 0.8% | .308 | 4.87 | 15.9% | 8.3% | 123 | +1.69 | 3.18 | 161 | 82 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 82 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .289 | 4.21 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 181 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.