Morgan McSweeney

Morgan McSweeney P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%13.3%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%3.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	45	199	59	26	6	0%	1.5	21.9%	16.3%	5.5%	3.7%	4.43	5.36	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	45	199	59	26	6	0%	1.5	29.6%	13.1%	16.6%	3.0%	4.43	3.95	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	47	201	43	26	6	0%	1.2	18.0%	13.9%	4.2%	3.3%	4.05	5.16	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	47	201	43	26	6	0%	1.2	21.4%	12.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.05	4.60	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	42	0	46	207	46	29	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.6%	5.8%	3.7%	5.48	5.19	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	42	0	46	207	46	29	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.6%	5.8%	3.7%	5.48	5.19	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	42	0	46	207	46	29	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.0%	8.2%	3.4%	5.48	4.97	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	17	72	14	6	0	0%	1.4	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	0.0%	2.60	2.51	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	17	72	14	6	0	0%	1.4	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	0.0%	2.60	2.51	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	17	72	14	6	0	0%	1.4	19.4%	8.3%	11.1%	0.0%	2.60	2.52	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	13	12	61	246	42	22	3	92%	4.7	14.2%	8.0%	6.1%	1.5%	2.21	3.74	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	13	12	61	246	42	22	3	92%	4.7	14.2%	8.0%	6.1%	1.5%	2.21	3.74	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	13	12	61	246	42	22	3	92%	4.7	17.1%	8.9%	8.1%	1.2%	2.21	3.44	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	6	4	24	101	28	5	2	67%	4.1	22.5%	5.4%	17.0%	2.4%	5.55	3.20	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	6	4	24	101	28	5	2	67%	4.1	22.5%	5.4%	17.0%	2.4%	5.55	3.20	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	BOS	6	4	24	101	28	5	2	67%	4.0	27.7%	5.0%	22.8%	2.0%	5.55	2.47	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	BOS	1	1	6	25	3	2	1	100%	5.8	13.3%	9.6%	3.7%	2.6%	4.98	4.98	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	30	126	31	7	3	—	—	24.9%	5.9%	19.0%	2.1%	5.44	3.54	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BOS	63	0	66	280	39	27	8	0%	1.1	14.1%	9.8%	4.3%	2.8%	4.99	5.04	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	BOS	59	0	62	263	38	26	8	0%	1.1	14.4%	10.0%	4.4%	3.0%	5.07	5.16	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	BOS	20	0	21	89	12	9	2	0%	1.1	14.1%	9.8%	4.3%	2.8%	4.99	5.04	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	BOS	30	0	32	135	19	14	4	0%	1.1	14.4%	10.0%	4.4%	3.0%	5.07	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	223	32	22	6	0%	1.1	14.3%	9.9%	4.3%	2.9%	5.04	4.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	121	83	23	0%	1.1	14.3%	9.9%	4.3%	2.9%	5.04	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		141	16	240	1026	189	118	28	11%	1.7	18.5%	11.5%	7.0%	2.7%	3.97	4.48	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	13	200	855	158	98	23	11%	1.7	18.5%	11.5%	7.0%	2.7%	3.97	4.48	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Morgan McSweeney (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	13.3%	9.6%	2.6%	—	5.10	14.2%	4.3%	128	+0.12	—	—	—
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	85
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	84
Casey Coleman R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	12.6%	11.4%	1.5%	.349	4.14	18.3%	8.9%	146	-0.18	2.95	306	84
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	84
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	83
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	82
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.54	15.4%	4.1%	79	+0.34	4.46	215	82
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	81
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	79
Benjamin Sandoval R 2015 · 4.66 FIP	28	SU	4.66	8.6%	7.8%	2.4%	.253	5.16	5.8%	-5.7%	62	+0.50	4.66	146	79
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	79
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	79
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	78
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	78
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	78
Warwick Saupold R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	13.7%	7.6%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	389	78
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	78
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	77
Pedro Echemendia R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	11.0%	5.1%	2.7%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	141	77
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	13.9%	9.8%	1.06	5.01
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10