Jason Ruffcorn — OGILVIE

Jason Ruffcorn P Arkansas Travelers

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%19.8%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	12	0	12	58	13	7	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	2.3%	5.84	4.74	—
2021	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	12	0	12	58	13	7	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.1%	10.3%	1.7%	5.84	3.75	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	45	211	40	37	4	0%	1.2	14.6%	20.2%	-5.6%	2.7%	5.80	5.90	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	45	211	40	37	4	0%	1.2	19.0%	17.5%	1.4%	1.9%	5.80	4.94	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	44	0	50	225	52	21	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.7%	7.1%	1.9%	5.01	4.02	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	44	0	50	225	52	21	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.7%	7.1%	1.9%	5.01	4.02	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	44	0	50	225	52	21	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	9.3%	13.8%	1.3%	5.01	3.06	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	3.44	4.18	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	3.44	4.18	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	26.1%	8.1%	18.0%	2.8%	3.44	3.48	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.1%	3.02	4.01	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.1%	3.02	4.01	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	25.1%	10.4%	14.7%	1.4%	3.02	3.08	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	32	6	66	306	58	24	7	19%	2.1	15.4%	8.6%	6.7%	2.7%	6.27	4.40	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	32	6	66	306	58	24	7	19%	2.1	15.4%	8.6%	6.7%	2.7%	6.27	4.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	SEA	32	6	66	306	58	24	7	19%	2.1	19.0%	7.8%	11.1%	2.3%	6.27	3.75	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	19.8%	11.0%	8.8%	2.8%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	72	331	63	27	8	—	—	19.0%	8.1%	10.9%	2.3%	6.15	4.43	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	63	0	66	280	56	31	8	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.0%	8.9%	2.9%	4.76	4.81	-0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	59	0	62	263	52	29	8	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.86	4.95	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	20	0	21	89	18	10	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.0%	8.9%	2.9%	4.76	4.81	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	30	0	32	135	27	15	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.2%	8.6%	3.1%	4.86	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	223	44	25	7	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.1%	8.7%	3.1%	4.82	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	95	27	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.1%	8.7%	3.1%	4.82	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		215	6	289	1290	228	153	32	3%	1.3	17.6%	11.8%	5.8%	2.5%	4.73	4.48	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	4	200	893	157	106	22	3%	1.3	17.6%	11.8%	5.8%	2.5%	4.73	4.48	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jason Ruffcorn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	19.8%	11.0%	2.8%	—	4.88	19.8%	8.7%	128	+0.16	—	—	—
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	89
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	86
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	86
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	85
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	85
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	84
Murphy Smith R 2016 · 3.54 FIP	28	SU	3.54	19.3%	9.3%	1.6%	.245	4.43	13.6%	6.8%	145	+0.89	3.16	300	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	83
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	83
Logan Bawcom R 2017 · 4.06 FIP	28	SU	4.06	18.2%	10.7%	2.1%	.298	5.19	15.0%	6.4%	164	+1.13	3.73	399	83
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	82
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	82
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	19.8%	11.1%	1.14	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99