Jackson Rose — OGILVIE

Jackson Rose P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.46

FIP4.46

K%23.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	10	0	11	51	13	7	1	0%	1.1	17.3%	17.2%	0.2%	2.7%	4.91	5.32	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Marlins	10	0	11	51	13	7	1	0%	1.1	25.5%	13.7%	11.8%	2.0%	4.91	3.83	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	0	67	278	89	17	11	0%	2.3	23.5%	7.0%	16.5%	5.0%	2.82	4.77	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	0	67	278	89	17	11	0%	2.3	32.0%	6.1%	25.9%	4.0%	2.82	3.34	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	8	59	235	62	10	6	32%	2.3	21.0%	4.3%	16.6%	2.7%	2.30	3.33	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	8	59	235	62	10	6	32%	2.3	26.4%	4.3%	22.1%	2.6%	2.30	2.83	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	14	0	26	114	32	16	4	0%	1.8	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.7%	4.91	4.79	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	14	0	26	114	32	16	4	0%	1.8	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.7%	4.91	4.79	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	14	0	26	114	32	16	4	0%	1.8	28.1%	14.0%	14.0%	3.5%	4.91	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.0%	4.46	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.4%	12.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.65	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	MIA	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.4%	12.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.4%	12.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	82	27	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.4%	12.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		78	8	162	678	150	53	26	10%	2.1	22.1%	7.8%	14.3%	3.8%	3.10	4.32	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	10	200	835	185	65	32	10%	2.1	22.1%	7.8%	14.3%	3.8%	3.10	4.32	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Rose (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.46	23.4%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.65	23.0%	12.5%	20	+0.19	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	76
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	75
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	75
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	74
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	74
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	74
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	74
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	72
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	72
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	72
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	72
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	72
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	72
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	72
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	71